Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $270.2400 (2.46%) ($265.4800 - $270.2400) on Tue. Jan. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $270.2400(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $265.61(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $265.11(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $267.84(0.9%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2014	269.47	267.84	265.11	265.61			270.24(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-18	1	40%	0.09	5.6	1.4%	0	0.6	47	0
2	Jan_17_2014	269.24	267.69	264.49	263.35			263.76(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	1.38	39%	0.06	-3.1	1.37%	0	-0.9	35	0
3	Jan_16_2014	269.09	267.79	264.71	263.88			266.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	2	-65	1.02	43%	0.06	5.7	1.37%	0	-0.3	42	0
4	Jan_15_2014	268.93	267.65	264.86	263.54			263.64(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-2	-77	1.1	43%	0.06	1.9	1.41%	0	-0.9	37	0
5	Jan_14_2014	268.77	267.66	265.83	263.98			264(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-3	-73	1.01	43%	0.06	3.1	1.41%	0	-0.8	40	0

6	Jan_13_2014	268.62	267.59	266.54	264.58			258.96(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-6	-71	1.75	40%	0.04	3.7	1.39%	0	-2	36	0
7	Jan_10_2014	268.52	267.81	268.18	265.7			266.4(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-49	1.14	49%	0.07	3.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	50	0
8	Jan_9_2014	268.32	267.55	268.78	265.62			264.72(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-40	1.75	49%	0.09	-7.4	1.42%	0	-0.6	52	0
9	Jan_8_2014	268.08	267.58	269.72	266.36			265.8(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0.99	47%	0.08	-8	1.42%	0	-0.4	57	0
10	Jan_7_2014	267.86	267.53	270.4	268.02			267(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.01	45%	0.1	-5.1	1.44%	0	-0.1	59	0

11	Jan_6_2014	267.6	267.43	270.83	268.9			264.56(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-11	27	1.09	45%	0.07	-5.6	1.45%	0	-0.6	58	0
12	Jan_3_2014	267.42	267.68	271.23	271.06			266(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-7	56	1.21	47%	0.07	4	1.46%	0	-0.4	60	0
13	Jan_2_2014	267.24	267.86	271.25	272.36			268.44(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-6	76	1.51	47%	0.14	6.2	1.46%	0	0.1	66	0
14	Dec_31_2013	266.87	267.95	270.81	273.5			274.12(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	90	0.57	51%	0.09	9.7	1.43%	0	1.3	64	0
15	Dec_30_2013	266.64	267.76	269.73	273.14			271.36(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	0	86	0.71	51%	0.08	2.4	1.45%	0	0.8	62	0

16	Dec_27_2013	266.44	267.71	268.79	273.06			275.36(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	8	86	0.51	53%	0.09	-3	1.44%	0	1.7	69	0
17	Dec_26_2013	266.21	267.48	267.42	271.47			272.52(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	8	63	0.53	53%	0.13	-9.4	1.43%	0	1.2	53	0
18	Dec_24_2013	265.87	267.57	266.18	269.94			274.16(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	12	39	0.26	53%	0.06	-10.6	1.42%	0	1.4	55	0
19	Dec_23_2013	265.7	267.49	265.16	267.7			272.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	10	10	1.45	53%	0.06	-19.4	1.42%	0	1.1	50	0
20	Dec_20_2013	265.53	267.66	264.27	265.82			270.92(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	10	-17	1.69	53%	0.06	-29	1.42%	0	0.7	45	0

21	Dec_19_2013	265.38	267.84	263.57	263.91			267.44(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	6	-45	1.66	53%	0.07	-38.9	1.42%	0	-0.1	38	0
22	Dec_18_2013	265.2	267.87	263.66	262.8			264.84(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	5	-61	1.44	54%	0.07	-50.5	1.41%	0	-0.6	29	0
23	Dec_17_2013	265.02	268.04	264.07	261.85			262.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	-2	-81	1.15	55%	0.06	-58.9	1.42%	0	-1	18	0
24	Dec_16_2013	264.86	268.38	264.79	262.22			262.96(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-83	1.34	55%	0.06	-62.5	1.43%	0	-1.1	25	0
25	Dec_13_2013	264.71	269.09	265.59	262.48			261.36(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-92	1.75	55%		-55.3	1.43%	0	-1.5	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.