Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $259.3600 (1.03%) ($254.2800 - $259.4800) on Wed. Sep. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $259.3600(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $256.23(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $253.42(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.14(3.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2013	243.79	250.14	253.42	256.23			259.36(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	10	102	0.86	54%	0.15	31.7	1.15%	0	2	81	0
2	Sep_10_2013	243.43	249.64	252.24	254.73			256.72(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	90	0.92	54%	0.15	21	1.18%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Sep_9_2013	243.07	249.31	251.51	253.51			257.32(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	13	95	0.54	54%	0.16	7.4	1.18%	0	2.2	74	0
4	Sep_6_2013	242.69	249	250.65	251.65			254.36(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	7	77	0.77	56%	0.14	-11.3	1.18%	0	1.6	60	0
5	Sep_5_2013	242.36	248.86	249.89	250.67			253.4(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	3	63	0.82	53%	0.15	-26.6	1.19%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Sep_4_2013	242	248.7	248.75	250.2			251.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	46	0.54	53%	0.11	-30.1	1.2%	0	1	53	0
7	Sep_3_2013	241.73	248.79	248.02	249.39			250.64(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	24	0.59	53%	0.15	-25.4	1.2%	0	0.6	49	0
8	Aug_30_2013	241.36	249.05	247.17	249.22			248(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.79	50%	0.03	-11.8	1.22%	0	-0.3	44	0
9	Aug_29_2013	241.28	249.39	247.06	249.46			249.48(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-0	0.84	50%	0.03	-1.8	1.22%	0	0	44	0
10	Aug_28_2013	241.2	249.7	246.87	248.93			251.04(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	12	-11	1.51	50%	0.05	2.5	1.22%	0	0.3	45	0

11	Aug_27_2013	241.08	249.7	246.6	247.06			247.8(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.78	47%	0.05	-7.3	1.22%	0	-0.4	44	0
12	Aug_26_2013	240.97	249.62	246.82	246.38			249.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	10	-51	0.66	47%	0.07	-15.8	1.23%	0	0	40	0
13	Aug_23_2013	240.8	249.5	246.89	244.82			249.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	3	-82	0.54	47%	0.08	-30.1	1.23%	0	-0.1	36	0
14	Aug_22_2013	240.61	249.46	247.13	244.38			246.84(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0.68	47%	0.07	-37.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	35	0
15	Aug_21_2013	240.44	249.61	247.66	244.62			241.68(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.28	43%	0.03	-35.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	22	0

16	Aug_20_2013	240.37	249.91	248.64	246.1			244.44(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-89	1.29	48%	0.02	-26.7	1.2%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Aug_19_2013	240.32	250.28	249.64	247.31			241.96(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-12	-64	1.11	48%	0.01	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.3	45	0
18	Aug_16_2013	240.3	250.76	251.15	249.17			246.96(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.83	55%	0.02	18.3	1.23%	0	-1.3	53	0
19	Aug_15_2013	240.25	251	252	250.26			248.04(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.04	55%	0.02	39.3	1.24%	0	-1	52	0
20	Aug_14_2013	240.2	251.08	252.85	251.18			249.08(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	21	0.94	58%	0.02	51.2	1.24%	0	-0.6	51	0

21	Aug_13_2013	240.14	250.92	252.97	251.55			250.52(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	29	1.2	58%	0.04	51.4	1.26%	0	-0.1	60	0
22	Aug_12_2013	240.04	250.57	252.73	252.35			251.24(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-7	31	0.67	58%	0.04	52.9	1.26%	0	0.2	50	0
23	Aug_9_2013	239.95	250.2	252.39	253.46			252.44(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.41	58%	0.05	63.1	1.26%	0	0.6	53	0
24	Aug_8_2013	239.83	249.84	252.01	254.05			252.6(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	1.12	58%	0.03	72.4	1.26%	0	0.7	52	0
25	Aug_7_2013	239.75	249.49	251.72	254.82			250.96(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	2	53	1.05	58%		85.9	1.26%	0	0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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