Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $245.6800 (1.64%) ($241.8000 - $246.2000) on Fri. Jun. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $245.6800(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    BNDX(1%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $242.82(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $244.13(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $243.82(0.76%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2013	236.33	243.82	244.13	242.82			245.68(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	4	-32	0.73	53%	0.08	31.5	1.53%	0	0.5	52	0
2	Jun_6_2013	236.14	243.46	244.08	241.99			241.72(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.98	51%	0.06	35.9	1.54%	0	-0.5	56	0
3	Jun_5_2013	235.99	243.37	244.45	243			239.48(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.87	51%	0.06	60.5	1.54%	0	-1	50	0
4	Jun_4_2013	235.85	243.42	245.42	244.65			243.48(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-5	3	1.07	53%	0.08	86	1.53%	0	0	54	0
5	Jun_3_2013	235.65	243.12	246.09	245.53			243.72(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	32	1.64	53%	0.08	93.5	1.53%	0	0.1	61	0

6	May_31_2013	235.45	242.71	246.25	245.62			241.56(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	42	1.36	53%	0.08	95.1	1.54%	0	-0.3	57	0
7	May_30_2013	235.27	242.14	246.16	246.39			246.76(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	55	1.21	56%	0.12	82.9	1.52%	0	0.9	65	0
8	May_29_2013	234.99	241.08	245.66	246.1			247.72(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	1.05	56%	0.11	64.9	1.53%	0	1	64	0
9	May_28_2013	234.74	240.19	245.1	246.35			247.88(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.97	56%	0.15	68.5	1.53%	0	1.1	63	0
10	May_24_2013	234.38	239.35	244.07	246.86			244.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-1	68	0.98	54%	0.1	75.5	1.56%	0	0.7	64	0

11	May_23_2013	234.15	238.55	243.52	246.99			245.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	6	78	1.92	54%	0.11	80.4	1.57%	0	1	69	0
12	May_22_2013	233.9	237.76	242.82	245.81			245.28(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	4	82	1.87	55%	0.05	81.5	1.58%	0	1.1	75	0
13	May_21_2013	233.78	236.95	242.21	245.01			249(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	100	1.06	55%	0.14	82.6	1.58%	0	1.6	84	0
14	May_20_2013	233.45	235.68	241.23	243.63			250.44(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	14	108	1.36	52%	0.18	76.9	1.58%	0	2	74	0
15	May_17_2013	233.03	234.22	239.78	240.97			244.84(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	89	0.89	51%	0.13	70.8	1.62%	0	1.5	67	0

16	May_16_2013	232.72	233.01	238.76	239.63			239.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	1	88	1.36	49%	0.1	57.2	1.61%	0	0.9	67	0
17	May_15_2013	232.48	232.13	237.76	239.37			241.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	2	87	0.91	47%	0.04	42.7	1.62%	0	1.3	66	0
18	May_14_2013	232.38	231.02	236.16	238.95			242.12(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	78	1.06	47%	0.11	28.6	1.64%	0	1.6	67	0
19	May_13_2013	232.12	230.15	234.88	238.48			237.12(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	0	84	1.3	45%	0.08	18.6	1.62%	0	1	69	0
20	May_10_2013	231.94	229.33	234.29	238.39			238.16(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	4	103	1.23	45%	0.06	7.9	1.6%	0	1.3	73	0

21	May_9_2013	231.79	229.09	233.25	237.71			238.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	10	112	1.08	45%	0.07	6.1	1.61%	0	1.3	74	0
22	May_8_2013	231.62	229.06	232.36	235.79			239.2(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	16	109	0.9	46%	0.07	4.6	1.63%	0	1.4	72	0
23	May_7_2013	231.45	229.03	231.3	232.83			239.76(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	11	98	1.45	46%	0.1	-0.3	1.63%	0	1.5	76	0
24	May_6_2013	231.23	228.9	229.66	230.78			236.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	0.93	46%	0.1	-6	1.63%	0	1.1	61	0
25	May_3_2013	231.01	228.81	228.14	229.68			234.76(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.16	48%		-12.3	1.62%	0	0.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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