Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $241.5600 (-2.11%) ($241.4000 - $247.0800) on Fri. May. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $241.5600(-2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $242.71
5 Day Moving Average   $245.62(-1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $246.25(-1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $242.71(-0.47%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20130701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2013	235.45	242.71	246.25	245.62			241.56(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	42	1.36	53%	0.08	95.1	1.54%	0	-0.3	57	0
2	May_30_2013	235.27	242.14	246.16	246.39			246.76(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	55	1.21	56%	0.12	82.9	1.52%	0	0.9	65	0
3	May_29_2013	234.99	241.08	245.66	246.1			247.72(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	1.05	56%	0.11	64.9	1.53%	0	1	64	0
4	May_28_2013	234.74	240.19	245.1	246.35			247.88(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.97	56%	0.15	68.5	1.53%	0	1.1	63	0
5	May_24_2013	234.38	239.35	244.07	246.86			244.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-1	68	0.98	54%	0.1	75.5	1.56%	0	0.7	64	0

6	May_23_2013	234.15	238.55	243.52	246.99			245.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	6	78	1.92	54%	0.11	80.4	1.57%	0	1	69	0
7	May_22_2013	233.9	237.76	242.82	245.81			245.28(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	4	82	1.87	55%	0.05	81.5	1.58%	0	1.1	75	0
8	May_21_2013	233.78	236.95	242.21	245.01			249(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	100	1.06	55%	0.14	82.6	1.58%	0	1.6	84	0
9	May_20_2013	233.45	235.68	241.23	243.63			250.44(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	14	108	1.36	52%	0.18	76.9	1.58%	0	2	74	0
10	May_17_2013	233.03	234.22	239.78	240.97			244.84(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	89	0.89	51%	0.13	70.8	1.62%	0	1.5	67	0

11	May_16_2013	232.72	233.01	238.76	239.63			239.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	1	88	1.36	49%	0.1	57.2	1.61%	0	0.9	67	0
12	May_15_2013	232.48	232.13	237.76	239.37			241.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	2	87	0.91	47%	0.04	42.7	1.62%	0	1.3	66	0
13	May_14_2013	232.38	231.02	236.16	238.95			242.12(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	78	1.06	47%	0.11	28.6	1.64%	0	1.6	67	0
14	May_13_2013	232.12	230.15	234.88	238.48			237.12(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	0	84	1.3	45%	0.08	18.6	1.62%	0	1	69	0
15	May_10_2013	231.94	229.33	234.29	238.39			238.16(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	4	103	1.23	45%	0.06	7.9	1.6%	0	1.3	73	0

16	May_9_2013	231.79	229.09	233.25	237.71			238.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	10	112	1.08	45%	0.07	6.1	1.61%	0	1.3	74	0
17	May_8_2013	231.62	229.06	232.36	235.79			239.2(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	16	109	0.9	46%	0.07	4.6	1.63%	0	1.4	72	0
18	May_7_2013	231.45	229.03	231.3	232.83			239.76(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	11	98	1.45	46%	0.1	-0.3	1.63%	0	1.5	76	0
19	May_6_2013	231.23	228.9	229.66	230.78			236.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	0.93	46%	0.1	-6	1.63%	0	1.1	61	0
20	May_3_2013	231.01	228.81	228.14	229.68			234.76(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.16	48%	0.09	-12.3	1.62%	0	0.9	64	0

21	May_2_2013	230.8	228.68	226.7	228.24			228.56(1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	1.55	46%	0.05	-24.7	1.6%	0	-0	44	0
22	May_1_2013	230.69	228.74	226.03	228.44			224.4(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.97	44%	0.03	-33	1.59%	0	-0.7	36	0
23	Apr_30_2013	230.61	229.04	225.56	229.4			229.48(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-11	1.36	46%	0.06	-37.9	1.56%	0	0.1	38	0
24	Apr_29_2013	230.47	229.31	225.11	228.23			231.2(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	11	-43	0.86	48%	0.06	-44.4	1.56%	0	0.3	41	0
25	Apr_26_2013	230.33	229.65	224.02	226.31			227.56(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	8	-87	1.02	46%		-52.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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