Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $246.7600 (-0.39%) ($245.2800 - $248.0800) on Thu. May. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $246.7600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $246.39(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $246.16(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $242.14(1.91%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2013	235.27	242.14	246.16	246.39			246.76(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	55	1.21	56%	0.12	82.9	1.52%	0	0.9	65	0
2	May_29_2013	234.99	241.08	245.66	246.1			247.72(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	1.05	56%	0.11	64.9	1.53%	0	1	64	0
3	May_28_2013	234.74	240.19	245.1	246.35			247.88(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.97	56%	0.15	68.5	1.53%	0	1.1	63	0
4	May_24_2013	234.38	239.35	244.07	246.86			244.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-1	68	0.98	54%	0.1	75.5	1.56%	0	0.7	64	0
5	May_23_2013	234.15	238.55	243.52	246.99			245.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	6	78	1.92	54%	0.11	80.4	1.57%	0	1	69	0

6	May_22_2013	233.9	237.76	242.82	245.81			245.28(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	4	82	1.87	55%	0.05	81.5	1.58%	0	1.1	75	0
7	May_21_2013	233.78	236.95	242.21	245.01			249(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	100	1.06	55%	0.14	82.6	1.58%	0	1.6	84	0
8	May_20_2013	233.45	235.68	241.23	243.63			250.44(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	14	108	1.36	52%	0.18	76.9	1.58%	0	2	74	0
9	May_17_2013	233.03	234.22	239.78	240.97			244.84(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	89	0.89	51%	0.13	70.8	1.62%	0	1.5	67	0
10	May_16_2013	232.72	233.01	238.76	239.63			239.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	1	88	1.36	49%	0.1	57.2	1.61%	0	0.9	67	0

11	May_15_2013	232.48	232.13	237.76	239.37			241.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	2	87	0.91	47%	0.04	42.7	1.62%	0	1.3	66	0
12	May_14_2013	232.38	231.02	236.16	238.95			242.12(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	78	1.06	47%	0.11	28.6	1.64%	0	1.6	67	0
13	May_13_2013	232.12	230.15	234.88	238.48			237.12(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	0	84	1.3	45%	0.08	18.6	1.62%	0	1	69	0
14	May_10_2013	231.94	229.33	234.29	238.39			238.16(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	4	103	1.23	45%	0.06	7.9	1.6%	0	1.3	73	0
15	May_9_2013	231.79	229.09	233.25	237.71			238.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	10	112	1.08	45%	0.07	6.1	1.61%	0	1.3	74	0

16	May_8_2013	231.62	229.06	232.36	235.79			239.2(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	16	109	0.9	46%	0.07	4.6	1.63%	0	1.4	72	0
17	May_7_2013	231.45	229.03	231.3	232.83			239.76(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	11	98	1.45	46%	0.1	-0.3	1.63%	0	1.5	76	0
18	May_6_2013	231.23	228.9	229.66	230.78			236.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	0.93	46%	0.1	-6	1.63%	0	1.1	61	0
19	May_3_2013	231.01	228.81	228.14	229.68			234.76(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.16	48%	0.09	-12.3	1.62%	0	0.9	64	0
20	May_2_2013	230.8	228.68	226.7	228.24			228.56(1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	1.55	46%	0.05	-24.7	1.6%	0	-0	44	0

21	May_1_2013	230.69	228.74	226.03	228.44			224.4(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.97	44%	0.03	-33	1.59%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Apr_30_2013	230.61	229.04	225.56	229.4			229.48(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-11	1.36	46%	0.06	-37.9	1.56%	0	0.1	38	0
23	Apr_29_2013	230.47	229.31	225.11	228.23			231.2(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	11	-43	0.86	48%	0.06	-44.4	1.56%	0	0.3	41	0
24	Apr_26_2013	230.33	229.65	224.02	226.31			227.56(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	8	-87	1.02	46%	0.06	-52.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Apr_25_2013	230.2	230.32	224.6	224.87			229.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	9	-99	1.51	46%		-54.7	1.57%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.