Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $249.0000 (-0.57%) ($248.6200 - $252.7600) on Tue. May. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $249.0000(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $245.01(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $242.21(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $236.95(5.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2013	233.78	236.95	242.21	245.01			249(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	100	1.06	55%	0.14	82.6	1.58%	0	1.6	84	0
2	May_20_2013	233.45	235.68	241.23	243.63			250.44(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	14	108	1.36	52%	0.18	76.9	1.58%	0	2	74	0
3	May_17_2013	233.03	234.22	239.78	240.97			244.84(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	89	0.89	51%	0.13	70.8	1.62%	0	1.5	67	0
4	May_16_2013	232.72	233.01	238.76	239.63			239.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	1	88	1.36	49%	0.1	57.2	1.61%	0	0.9	67	0
5	May_15_2013	232.48	232.13	237.76	239.37			241.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	2	87	0.91	47%	0.04	42.7	1.62%	0	1.3	66	0

6	May_14_2013	232.38	231.02	236.16	238.95			242.12(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	78	1.06	47%	0.11	28.6	1.64%	0	1.6	67	0
7	May_13_2013	232.12	230.15	234.88	238.48			237.12(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	0	84	1.3	45%	0.08	18.6	1.62%	0	1	69	0
8	May_10_2013	231.94	229.33	234.29	238.39			238.16(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	4	103	1.23	45%	0.06	7.9	1.6%	0	1.3	73	0
9	May_9_2013	231.79	229.09	233.25	237.71			238.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	10	112	1.08	45%	0.07	6.1	1.61%	0	1.3	74	0
10	May_8_2013	231.62	229.06	232.36	235.79			239.2(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	16	109	0.9	46%	0.07	4.6	1.63%	0	1.4	72	0

11	May_7_2013	231.45	229.03	231.3	232.83			239.76(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	11	98	1.45	46%	0.1	-0.3	1.63%	0	1.5	76	0
12	May_6_2013	231.23	228.9	229.66	230.78			236.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	0.93	46%	0.1	-6	1.63%	0	1.1	61	0
13	May_3_2013	231.01	228.81	228.14	229.68			234.76(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.16	48%	0.09	-12.3	1.62%	0	0.9	64	0
14	May_2_2013	230.8	228.68	226.7	228.24			228.56(1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	1.55	46%	0.05	-24.7	1.6%	0	-0	44	0
15	May_1_2013	230.69	228.74	226.03	228.44			224.4(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.97	44%	0.03	-33	1.59%	0	-0.7	36	0

16	Apr_30_2013	230.61	229.04	225.56	229.4			229.48(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-11	1.36	46%	0.06	-37.9	1.56%	0	0.1	38	0
17	Apr_29_2013	230.47	229.31	225.11	228.23			231.2(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	11	-43	0.86	48%	0.06	-44.4	1.56%	0	0.3	41	0
18	Apr_26_2013	230.33	229.65	224.02	226.31			227.56(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	8	-87	1.02	46%	0.06	-52.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	41	0
19	Apr_25_2013	230.2	230.32	224.6	224.87			229.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	9	-99	1.51	46%	0.06	-54.7	1.57%	0	-0.1	47	0
20	Apr_24_2013	230.06	230.93	225.43	223.3			229.2(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	12	-99	1.37	46%	0.09	-58.5	1.57%	0	-0.2	50	0

21	Apr_23_2013	229.85	231.6	226.41	221.22			223.64(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-2	-111	1.07	43%	0.06	-62.1	1.54%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Apr_22_2013	229.72	232.46	227.91	221.58			221.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	1	-103	1.66	45%	0.04	-65.1	1.54%	0	-1.3	38	0
23	Apr_19_2013	229.62	233.48	229.42	221.41			220.36(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-17	-116	1.68	45%	0.03	-71.2	1.55%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Apr_18_2013	229.54	234.55	230.79	224.31			221.68(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-21	-105	1.78	45%	0.05	-70.2	1.56%	0	-1.7	33	0
25	Apr_17_2013	229.43	235.72	231.74	227.98			218.84(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-10000	-24	-94	1.59	45%		-60.1	1.55%	0	-2.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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