Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $239.7600 (1.3%) ($236.3200 - $240.8800) on Tue. May. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $239.7600(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $232.83(2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $231.3(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $229.03(4.68%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2013	231.45	229.03	231.3	232.83			239.76(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	11	98	1.45	46%	0.1	-0.3	1.63%	0	1.5	76	0
2	May_6_2013	231.23	228.9	229.66	230.78			236.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	0.93	46%	0.1	-6	1.63%	0	1.1	61	0
3	May_3_2013	231.01	228.81	228.14	229.68			234.76(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.16	48%	0.09	-12.3	1.62%	0	0.9	64	0
4	May_2_2013	230.8	228.68	226.7	228.24			228.56(1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	1.55	46%	0.05	-24.7	1.6%	0	-0	44	0
5	May_1_2013	230.69	228.74	226.03	228.44			224.4(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.97	44%	0.03	-33	1.59%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Apr_30_2013	230.61	229.04	225.56	229.4			229.48(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-11	1.36	46%	0.06	-37.9	1.56%	0	0.1	38	0
7	Apr_29_2013	230.47	229.31	225.11	228.23			231.2(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	11	-43	0.86	48%	0.06	-44.4	1.56%	0	0.3	41	0
8	Apr_26_2013	230.33	229.65	224.02	226.31			227.56(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	8	-87	1.02	46%	0.06	-52.9	1.56%	0	-0.3	41	0
9	Apr_25_2013	230.2	230.32	224.6	224.87			229.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	9	-99	1.51	46%	0.06	-54.7	1.57%	0	-0.1	47	0
10	Apr_24_2013	230.06	230.93	225.43	223.3			229.2(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	12	-99	1.37	46%	0.09	-58.5	1.57%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Apr_23_2013	229.85	231.6	226.41	221.22			223.64(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-2	-111	1.07	43%	0.06	-62.1	1.54%	0	-0.9	45	0
12	Apr_22_2013	229.72	232.46	227.91	221.58			221.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	1	-103	1.66	45%	0.04	-65.1	1.54%	0	-1.3	38	0
13	Apr_19_2013	229.62	233.48	229.42	221.41			220.36(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-17	-116	1.68	45%	0.03	-71.2	1.55%	0	-1.6	34	0
14	Apr_18_2013	229.54	234.55	230.79	224.31			221.68(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-21	-105	1.78	45%	0.05	-70.2	1.56%	0	-1.7	33	0
15	Apr_17_2013	229.43	235.72	231.74	227.98			218.84(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-10000	-24	-94	1.59	45%	0.04	-60.1	1.55%	0	-2.3	29	0

16	Apr_16_2013	229.33	236.97	233.03	232.38			225.44(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-16	-74	1.8	48%	0.07	-51.9	1.51%	0	-1.8	32	0
17	Apr_15_2013	229.18	238.04	234.11	235.21			220.72(-6.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-28	-10000	-18	-59	2.54	45%	0.03	-39.7	1.48%	0	-2.9	31	0
18	Apr_12_2013	229.12	239.45	236.07	238.41			234.88(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-6	-10000	2	-30	1.13	53%	0.03	-26.4	1.26%	0	-0.9	40	0
19	Apr_11_2013	229.06	240.11	236.74	238.06			240(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	14	-29	1.3	56%	0.13	-20	1.23%	0	-0	47	0
20	Apr_10_2013	228.77	240.2	236.93	236.06			240.88(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	15	-54	0.74	58%	0.14	-24.2	1.23%	0	0.1	43	0

21	Apr_9_2013	228.45	240.3	237.09	233.87			239.56(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-16	-10000	6	-81	1.18	58%	0.13	-26.9	1.24%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Apr_8_2013	228.16	240.44	237.14	233.05			236.72(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-30	-10000	-4	-106	1.18	58%	0.15	-21.1	1.25%	0	-0.7	35	0
23	Apr_5_2013	227.82	240.73	237.59	233.56			233.16(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-118	1.21	56%	0.14	-9.1	1.23%	0	-1.5	27	0
24	Apr_4_2013	227.5	241.11	238.41	235.32			229.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-43	-10000	-18	-116	1.26	54%	0.12	8.2	1.23%	0	-2.4	19	0
25	Apr_3_2013	227.22	241.43	239.9	237.92			229.96(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-10000	-18	-85	1.55	54%		28.8	1.23%	0	-2.7	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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