Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $233.1600 (-0.29%) ($232.7600 - $237.1200) on Wed. Jan. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $233.1600(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $231.59(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $230.45(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $227(2.71%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2013	219.94	227	230.45	231.59			233.16(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	4	78	0.92	62%	0.04	103.3	1.32%	0	1.5	79	0
2	Jan_29_2013	219.85	226.17	229.75	230.98			233.84(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	2	77	0.89	62%	0.06	99.4	1.33%	0	2	70	0
3	Jan_28_2013	219.72	225.04	228.78	230.64			229.44(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	1	78	0.81	60%	0.04	79.2	1.32%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Jan_25_2013	219.64	224.32	228.31	230.51			231.6(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	5	81	0.54	60%	0.07	56.7	1.31%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Jan_24_2013	219.49	223.53	227.53	229.81			229.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	5	79	0.7	57%	0.09	45	1.31%	0	1.2	69	0

6	Jan_23_2013	219.3	222.86	226.62	229.07			230.08(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	70	0.71	53%	0.1	39.9	1.33%	0	1.3	71	0
7	Jan_22_2013	219.09	222.34	225.92	228.27			232.16(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	10	75	0.88	53%	0.1	41.4	1.37%	0	1.9	82	0
8	Jan_18_2013	218.87	221.83	224.95	226.66			228.8(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	6	79	0.58	49%	0.1	44.9	1.38%	0	1.5	85	0
9	Jan_17_2013	218.65	221.42	224.43	225.8			228.08(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	6	89	0.85	49%	0.08	46.3	1.38%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Jan_16_2013	218.48	221.15	223.77	224.94			226.24(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	92	0.55	51%	0.06	51.6	1.39%	0	1.2	67	0

11	Jan_15_2013	218.35	220.73	223.25	223.78			226.08(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	4	87	0.46	51%	0.07	47.8	1.41%	0	1.3	65	0
12	Jan_14_2013	218.2	220.19	222.3	223.19			224.12(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	1	75	0.63	51%	0.06	44.3	1.4%	0	1	55	0
13	Jan_11_2013	218.06	219.73	221.04	222.96			224.48(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	1	51	0.51	51%	0.07	41.8	1.41%	0	1.2	50	0
14	Jan_10_2013	217.9	219.38	220.04	222.87			223.8(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	39	0.57	49%	0.05	44.1	1.42%	0	1.1	52	0
15	Jan_9_2013	217.8	219.03	219.24	222.44			220.4(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	20	1.07	49%	0.03	52	1.42%	0	0.4	45	0

16	Jan_8_2013	217.74	218.82	218.88	222.58			223.16(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	9	23	0.72	49%	0.04	59.9	1.43%	0	1.2	57	0
17	Jan_7_2013	217.65	218.51	218.52	221.21			222.96(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	16	20	0.77	49%	0.03	58.7	1.43%	0	1.2	60	0
18	Jan_4_2013	217.58	218.12	218.44	218.72			224.04(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	-10000	12	6	0.55	49%	0.03	44.1	1.43%	0	1.7	62	0
19	Jan_3_2013	217.51	217.69	218.09	216.78			221.64(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	7	-10	0.89	47%	0.04	37.7	1.43%	0	1.2	55	0
20	Jan_2_2013	217.43	217.1	218.19	215.63			221.08(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	6	-12	1	47%	0.07	30.1	1.46%	0	1.3	55	0

21	Dec_31_2012	217.27	216.59	217.87	214.75			216.32(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-23	1.41	44%	0.01	18.8	1.43%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Dec_28_2012	217.24	216.4	217.82	215.54			210.52(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-17	-23	0.91	40%	-0.02	20.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	41	0
23	Dec_27_2012	217.28	216.57	218.37	218.08			214.36(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-6	-10000	-10	6	0.56	46%	0.01	42	1.38%	0	-0.6	51	0
24	Dec_26_2012	217.25	216.45	218.78	219.52			215.88(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-10	26	0.48	44%	0.07	52.3	1.41%	0	-0.1	52	0
25	Dec_24_2012	217.09	216.16	218.95	221.05			216.68(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-2	60	0.59	44%		56.8	1.43%	0	0.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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