Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $231.3800 (2.13%) ($224.6800 - $232.8000) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $231.3800(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $225.34(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $218.95(5.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $216.2(7.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2012	203.5	216.2	218.95	225.34			231.38(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	38	-10000	13	112	1.17	59%	0.06	55.3	1.94%	0	2.5	78	0
2	Sep_12_2012	203.37	215.27	216.91	222.46			226.56(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	14	87	0.69	59%	0.07	53.8	1.97%	0	2.2	64	0
3	Sep_11_2012	203.22	214.54	215.52	219.42			225.32(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	14	63	0.91	57%	0.08	45.3	1.98%	0	2.5	63	0
4	Sep_10_2012	203.06	213.76	214.07	216.5			220.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	9	33	0.66	55%	0.05	37.5	2.01%	0	1.9	57	0
5	Sep_7_2012	202.96	213.35	213.03	214.55			222.76(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	14	-10000	14	14	1.02	55%	0.05	39.1	2.01%	0	2.9	57	0

6	Sep_6_2012	202.85	212.87	211.62	211.63			216.96(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.2	-2	-10000	5	-22	1.67	56%	0.03	49.6	1.99%	0	1.7	48	0
7	Sep_5_2012	202.79	212.58	211.29	210.62			211.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.98	56%	-0.01	54.3	2.02%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Sep_4_2012	202.81	212.6	211.54	211.06			210.72(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-28	1.12	56%	-0.05	74.3	2.04%	0	-0.8	46	0
9	Aug_31_2012	202.91	212.43	211.95	211.25			210.96(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.77	52%	-0.03	51.7	2.13%	0	-0.5	53	0
10	Aug_30_2012	202.98	212.11	212.46	211.22			208.16(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0.88	50%	-0.01	34.6	2.13%	0	-0.9	42	0

11	Aug_29_2012	203.01	211.68	213.35	211.5			211.88(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.5	51%	-0	33	2.18%	0	0	46	0
12	Aug_28_2012	203.02	211.38	213.6	212.02			213.6(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.92	51%	-0.02	43.8	2.2%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Aug_27_2012	203.07	210.96	213.57	212.14			211.64(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	1	51%	0.04	52	2.22%	0	0.1	52	0
14	Aug_24_2012	202.98	210.79	213.51	212.82			210.84(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-5	5	0.9	51%	-0.06	61.6	2.22%	0	0	61	0
15	Aug_23_2012	203.1	210.58	213.8	213.92			209.52(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-6	24	0.8	51%	-0.07	62	2.23%	0	-0.2	64	0

16	Aug_22_2012	203.25	210.19	214.32	215.42			214.52(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	0	58	0.72	53%	-0.07	57.2	2.21%	0	0.7	81	0
17	Aug_21_2012	203.4	209.33	214.04	215.37			214.2(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	66	0.93	56%	-0.09	47.2	2.22%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Aug_20_2012	203.58	208.51	213.79	215.18			215(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	4	73	1.12	56%	-0.06	42.2	2.29%	0	1	64	0
19	Aug_17_2012	203.7	207.87	212.98	214.26			216.36(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	66	1.15	55%	-0.05	41.1	2.29%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Aug_16_2012	203.81	207.37	211.74	213.67			217(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	60	1.18	55%	-0.05	46.8	2.3%	0	1.6	62	0

21	Aug_15_2012	203.92	206.82	209.88	213.12			214.28(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	54	1.34	53%	-0.1	58.4	2.31%	0	1.4	66	0
22	Aug_14_2012	204.12	206.35	208.96	212.56			213.24(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	1.34	51%	-0.12	66	2.34%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Aug_13_2012	204.36	205.86	208.11	212.21			210.44(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	3	69	0.87	51%	-0.12	75.3	2.35%	0	0.9	66	0
24	Aug_10_2012	204.61	205.37	207.84	211.4			213.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	73	0.65	51%	-0.08	70.2	2.35%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Aug_9_2012	204.78	204.65	207.06	209.41			214.24(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	14	62	0.72	51%		57.1	2.35%	0	1.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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