Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $215.0000 (-0.63%) ($213.7200 - $216.8000) on Mon. Aug. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $215.0000(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $215.18(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $213.79(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $208.51(3.11%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2012	203.58	208.51	213.79	215.18			215(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	4	73	1.12	56%	-0.06	42.2	2.29%	0	1	64	0
2	Aug_17_2012	203.7	207.87	212.98	214.26			216.36(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	66	1.15	55%	-0.05	41.1	2.29%	0	1.4	60	0
3	Aug_16_2012	203.81	207.37	211.74	213.67			217(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	60	1.18	55%	-0.05	46.8	2.3%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Aug_15_2012	203.92	206.82	209.88	213.12			214.28(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	54	1.34	53%	-0.1	58.4	2.31%	0	1.4	66	0
5	Aug_14_2012	204.12	206.35	208.96	212.56			213.24(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	1.34	51%	-0.12	66	2.34%	0	1.3	69	0

6	Aug_13_2012	204.36	205.86	208.11	212.21			210.44(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	3	69	0.87	51%	-0.12	75.3	2.35%	0	0.9	66	0
7	Aug_10_2012	204.61	205.37	207.84	211.4			213.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	73	0.65	51%	-0.08	70.2	2.35%	0	1.6	61	0
8	Aug_9_2012	204.78	204.65	207.06	209.41			214.24(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	14	62	0.72	51%	-0.12	57.1	2.35%	0	1.9	55	0
9	Aug_8_2012	205.02	203.7	205.67	206.09			211.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	11	-10000	5	28	0.74	51%	-0.14	32.6	2.34%	0	1.7	53	0
10	Aug_7_2012	205.31	202.99	204.17	204.84			211.48(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	5	9	1.42	51%	-0.17	14	2.34%	0	1.8	55	0

11	Aug_6_2012	205.65	202.16	202.73	203.53			206.4(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0.66	50%	-0.18	-1	2.32%	0	1	52	0
12	Aug_3_2012	206.02	201.89	202.28	203.87			203.44(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-6	1.18	47%	-0.17	1	2.34%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Aug_2_2012	206.37	201.8	202.6	204.42			197.64(-3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	0	-10000	-2	7	1.25	44%	-0.19	13.8	2.33%	0	-1	50	0
14	Aug_1_2012	206.77	202.18	203.59	205			205.24(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	29	1.29	46%	-0.16	33.2	2.31%	0	0.7	65	0
15	Jul_31_2012	207.11	202.34	203.57	203.22			204.92(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	25	0.8	46%	-0.15	46.5	2.33%	0	0.6	60	0

16	Jul_30_2012	207.42	202.2	203.47	201.7			208.12(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	5	25	0.6	46%	-0.15	60.1	2.33%	0	1.4	67	0
17	Jul_27_2012	207.73	201.84	202.69	200.54			206.16(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	3	-10000	-1	14	0.87	46%	-0.15	73.4	2.32%	0	1.1	55	0
18	Jul_26_2012	208.05	201.24	202.02	200.76			200.56(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-6	11	0.96	46%	-0.16	85.6	2.3%	0	-0.2	48	0
19	Jul_25_2012	208.38	200.84	201.59	202.12			196.32(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-8	9	1.31	47%	-0.16	86.3	2.29%	0	-0.9	39	0
20	Jul_24_2012	208.71	200.34	201.81	203.96			197.32(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-6	9	1.23	47%	-0.17	72.8	2.33%	0	-0.5	35	0

21	Jul_23_2012	209.07	199.65	201.69	205.31			202.32(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	1	14	1.62	49%	-0.17	61.5	2.31%	0	0.4	50	0
22	Jul_20_2012	209.42	198.87	201.6	204.97			207.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	7	14	0.82	50%	-0.16	52.4	2.29%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Jul_19_2012	209.76	197.6	200.99	203.42			207.36(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	10	13	0.72	50%	-0.15	40.8	2.29%	0	1.2	65	0
24	Jul_18_2012	210.07	196.76	200.64	201.02			205.52(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	7	11	0.64	50%	-0.18	39	2.29%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Jul_17_2012	210.44	196.09	200.89	199.43			204.08(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	30	0.66	51%		37.9	2.3%	0	1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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