Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $204.0800 (1.73%) ($197.5600 - $204.4000) on Tue. Jul. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $204.0800(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $199.43(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $200.89(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $196.09(4.07%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.04% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2012	210.44	196.09	200.89	199.43			204.08(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	30	0.66	51%	-0.19	37.9	2.3%	0	1	71	0
2	Jul_16_2012	210.85	195.28	200.68	197.6			200.6(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	-10000	-1	39	0.6	50%	-0.22	34.1	2.3%	0	0.7	71	0
3	Jul_13_2012	211.31	194.85	200.77	197.78			199.52(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-2	60	0.9	49%	-0.22	37.1	2.3%	0	0.6	64	0
4	Jul_12_2012	211.77	194.23	200.29	198.26			195.4(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-8	79	0.84	51%	-0.22	36.5	2.3%	0	0.1	66	0
5	Jul_11_2012	212.24	193.62	200.04	200.19			197.56(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-10	94	0.93	51%	-0.22	36.4	2.34%	0	0.5	56	0

6	Jul_10_2012	212.71	193.14	198.88	202.58			194.92(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-6	107	0.85	49%	-0.08	46.5	2.33%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Jul_9_2012	212.89	192.63	197.72	204.1			201.48(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	-0	116	0.69	51%	-0.2	52.8	2.32%	0	1	61	0
8	Jul_6_2012	213.31	192.01	196.2	204.12			201.96(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	7	114	1.12	51%	-0.19	60	2.33%	0	1.2	57	0
9	Jul_5_2012	213.72	191.39	194.18	202.48			205.04(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	12	98	1.01	51%	-0.25	56.3	2.34%	0	1.7	63	0
10	Jul_3_2012	214.26	190.67	192.68	199.76			209.52(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	-10000	22	95	1.23	50%	-0.11	51.6	2.33%	0	2.7	69	0

11	Jul_2_2012	214.5	189.38	190.79	194.67			202.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	20	64	0.86	49%	-0.13	25.6	2.28%	0	2.2	60	0
12	Jun_29_2012	214.78	188.26	189.21	190.41			201.6(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	20	-10000	15	34	1.47	49%	-0.14	-6.1	2.28%	0	2.6	62	0
13	Jun_28_2012	215.08	187.23	188.11	187.22			193.76(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	12	11	1.68	45%	-0.18	-40.5	2.22%	0	1.5	52	0
14	Jun_27_2012	215.47	187.06	187.37	184.68			191.44(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-5	-10000	0	-18	1.52	45%	-0.19	-63.8	2.22%	0	1	50	0
15	Jun_26_2012	215.87	187.08	186.46	184.62			184.08(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	1.48	43%	-0.21	-56.8	2.16%	0	-0.6	44	0

16	Jun_25_2012	216.32	187.87	186.85	186.37			181.16(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-7	-19	1.15	43%	-0.2	-45.5	2.15%	0	-1.3	49	0
17	Jun_22_2012	216.75	188.57	187.24	187.72			185.68(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-4	1.29	44%	-0.16	-33.7	2.15%	0	-0.6	56	0
18	Jun_21_2012	217.1	189	187.65	189.07			181.04(-5.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-6	19	1.67	42%	-0.17	-22.7	2.16%	0	-1.5	52	0
19	Jun_20_2012	217.48	189.83	188.65	190.23			191.16(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	9	34	1.29	44%	-0.13	-13.8	2.07%	0	0.3	49	0
20	Jun_19_2012	217.76	190.02	188.72	188.46			192.8(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	5	17	0.88	44%	-0.12	-22.7	2.08%	0	0.5	49	0

21	Jun_18_2012	218.03	190.24	187.95	187.48			187.92(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	4	-13	1.2	42%	-0.16	-29.2	2.06%	0	-0.4	39	0
22	Jun_15_2012	218.38	190.31	187.31	186.7			192.44(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	3	-40	2.78	45%	-0.13	-47.3	2.06%	0	0.4	47	0
23	Jun_14_2012	218.67	190.21	186.24	186.2			186.84(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-4	-67	1.64	43%	-0.19	-64.3	2.02%	0	-0.6	44	0
24	Jun_13_2012	219.08	190.55	186.67	186.94			182.32(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-11	-74	1.87	41%	-0.18	-74	1.99%	0	-1.5	38	0
25	Jun_12_2012	219.47	191.24	187.72	188.98			187.88(2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	3	-56	1.57	42%		-79.5	1.98%	0	-0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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