Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $201.6000 (-2.36%) ($201.1600 - $204.3200) on Mon. May. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $201.6000(-2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $213.9
5 Day Moving Average   $207.26(-2.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $211.77(-4.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $213.9(-5.75%)
To recent high   -17.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2012	224.63	213.9	211.77	207.26			201.6(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.02	35%	-0.04	-25.3	1.6%	0	-1.8	42	0
2	May_11_2012	224.73	214.4	214.16	208.94			206.48(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-5	-82	1.29	37%	-0.03	-27.1	1.59%	0	-1.3	49	0
3	May_10_2012	224.79	214.8	215.87	209.71			208.8(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.44	37%	0	-31.1	1.6%	0	-1	51	0
4	May_9_2012	224.78	215.29	217.26	211.09			209.56(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-14	-31	1.76	37%	0.02	-30.2	1.6%	0	-1	49	0
5	May_8_2012	224.73	215.42	218.24	213.5			209.88(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-10000	-21	1	1.45	37%	0.07	-33.5	1.6%	0	-1	52	0

6	May_7_2012	224.57	215.61	218.6	217.11			210(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-10000	-18	35	1.15	37%	0.04	-31.3	1.6%	0	-1	48	0
7	May_4_2012	224.47	216.06	218.79	220.21			210.32(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	6	-10000	-15	67	1.43	37%	0.07	-23.6	1.62%	0	-1	54	0
8	May_3_2012	224.32	216.65	219.01	222.85			215.68(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	18	-10000	-8	95	1.43	39%	0.08	-14.3	1.6%	0	-0.2	54	0
9	May_2_2012	224.13	217.04	218.77	224.19			221.6(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	4	107	1.44	42%	0.08	-10.8	1.58%	0	0.8	53	0
10	May_1_2012	223.96	217.33	217.71	223.56			227.96(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	19	111	1.27	46%	0.08	-15.8	1.54%	0	1.7	67	0

11	Apr_30_2012	223.79	217.37	216.17	220.34			225.48(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	19	82	1.22	46%	0.03	-31.6	1.53%	0	1.2	63	0
12	Apr_27_2012	223.72	217.38	214.55	217.23			223.52(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	16	35	0.81	46%	0.05	-48.7	1.53%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Apr_26_2012	223.6	217.44	213.44	214.67			222.4(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	7	-10000	12	-7	1.09	42%	0	-60.1	1.54%	0	0.7	48	0
14	Apr_25_2012	223.59	217.66	212.86	212.64			218.44(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-38	1.44	39%	-0.03	-71.3	1.57%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Apr_24_2012	223.66	218.33	212.07	211.08			211.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-88	1.03	33%	-0.06	-73.9	1.56%	0	-0.8	30	0

16	Apr_23_2012	223.79	219.51	212.16	211.41			209.96(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	0	-115	1.65	39%	-0.05	-72	1.55%	0	-1.1	26	0
17	Apr_20_2012	223.91	220.74	213	211.38			210.72(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-3	-129	1.4	39%	-0.04	-74.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	33	0
18	Apr_19_2012	224	221.73	214.08	211.92			212.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-7	-134	1.56	39%	-0.04	-78.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	36	0
19	Apr_18_2012	224.09	223	215.2	213.1			210.64(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-1	-129	1.37	39%	0.01	-72.3	1.6%	0	-1.3	32	0
20	Apr_17_2012	224.06	224.43	216.99	213.19			213.48(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	1	-134	1.44	39%	0.04	-71.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Apr_16_2012	223.97	225.98	218.69	213.06			209.8(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-149	1.29	36%	0.08	-64.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	24	0
22	Apr_13_2012	223.79	227.63	220.5	214.84			213.44(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-10	-146	1.36	38%	-0.05	-59.4	1.61%	0	-1.5	28	0
23	Apr_12_2012	223.9	228.89	221.84	216.56			218.16(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-7	-138	1.49	40%	0.11	-57.4	1.6%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Apr_11_2012	223.66	229.82	222.85	217.78			211.08(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-10000	-21	-153	1.18	33%	0.03	-54.6	1.55%	0	-2.1	24	0
25	Apr_10_2012	223.6	231.3	225.14	221.42			212.8(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-48	-10000	-21	-130	1.61	33%		-44	1.56%	0	-2.3	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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