Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $218.4400 (3.12%) ($213.2400 - $218.8400) on Wed. Apr. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $218.4400(3.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $209.69(-4.01%)
5 Day Moving Average   $212.64(2.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $212.86(2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.66(0.36%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2012	223.59	217.66	212.86	212.64			218.44(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-38	1.44	39%	-0.03	-71.3	1.57%	0	0.1	42	0
2	Apr_24_2012	223.66	218.33	212.07	211.08			211.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-88	1.03	33%	-0.06	-73.9	1.56%	0	-0.8	30	0
3	Apr_23_2012	223.79	219.51	212.16	211.41			209.96(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	0	-115	1.65	39%	-0.05	-72	1.55%	0	-1.1	26	0
4	Apr_20_2012	223.91	220.74	213	211.38			210.72(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-3	-129	1.4	39%	-0.04	-74.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	33	0
5	Apr_19_2012	224	221.73	214.08	211.92			212.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-7	-134	1.56	39%	-0.04	-78.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	36	0

6	Apr_18_2012	224.09	223	215.2	213.1			210.64(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-1	-129	1.37	39%	0.01	-72.3	1.6%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	Apr_17_2012	224.06	224.43	216.99	213.19			213.48(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	1	-134	1.44	39%	0.04	-71.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	30	0
8	Apr_16_2012	223.97	225.98	218.69	213.06			209.8(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-149	1.29	36%	0.08	-64.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	24	0
9	Apr_13_2012	223.79	227.63	220.5	214.84			213.44(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-10	-146	1.36	38%	-0.05	-59.4	1.61%	0	-1.5	28	0
10	Apr_12_2012	223.9	228.89	221.84	216.56			218.16(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-7	-138	1.49	40%	0.11	-57.4	1.6%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Apr_11_2012	223.66	229.82	222.85	217.78			211.08(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-10000	-21	-153	1.18	33%	0.03	-54.6	1.55%	0	-2.1	24	0
12	Apr_10_2012	223.6	231.3	225.14	221.42			212.8(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-48	-10000	-21	-130	1.61	33%	0.03	-44	1.56%	0	-2.3	24	0
13	Apr_9_2012	223.54	232.51	227.54	225.14			218.72(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-35	-10000	-10	-108	1.06	37%	0.09	-36.3	1.53%	0	-2	23	0
14	Apr_5_2012	223.33	233.55	229.22	226.93			222.04(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-5	-103	0.97	37%	0	-31.8	1.52%	0	-1.9	30	0
15	Apr_4_2012	223.32	234.35	230.11	227.82			224.24(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-5	-108	1.34	37%	0.01	-34.8	1.51%	0	-1.9	38	0

16	Apr_3_2012	223.3	234.85	231.49	228.65			229.32(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-101	0.95	49%	0.04	-36.6	1.49%	0	-1.1	44	0
17	Apr_2_2012	223.21	234.88	232.46	229.49			231.4(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-6	-91	0.78	49%	0.04	-45.2	1.55%	0	-0.7	42	0
18	Mar_30_2012	223.13	234.99	233.74	230.49			227.64(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-8	-71	0.7	45%	0.04	-51.2	1.55%	0	-1.5	44	0
19	Mar_29_2012	223.05	235.46	235.23	231.98			226.48(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-4	-50	1.16	45%	0.05	-53.3	1.55%	0	-1.9	40	0
20	Mar_28_2012	222.94	236.22	236.46	232.71			228.4(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-11	-46	1.27	45%	-0	-58.4	1.55%	0	-1.9	43	0

21	Mar_27_2012	222.95	236.71	237.34	234.64			233.52(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-7	-23	0.9	50%	0.02	-53.6	1.56%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Mar_26_2012	222.9	237.11	237.94	235.84			236.4(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-10000	-10	2	0.53	50%	0.04	-45.5	1.56%	0	-0.2	60	0
23	Mar_23_2012	222.8	237.49	237.87	237.62			235.12(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-8	22	1.25	50%	0.05	-29.3	1.57%	0	-0.5	53	0
24	Mar_22_2012	222.69	237.98	238.24	239.11			230.12(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	4	-10000	-8	41	1.16	44%	0.06	-16.2	1.55%	0	-1.7	46	0
25	Mar_21_2012	222.56	238.71	239.04	240.67			238.04(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	2	56	0.94	53%		0	1.49%	0	-0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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