Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $194.4400 (-2.95%) ($193.5200 - $202.0000) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $194.4400(-2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    SPY(56%)    XAR(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

Resistance Level   $209.03
5 Day Moving Average   $198.78(-2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.67(-6.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $209.03(-6.98%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 5.08% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2011	206.15	209.03	207.67	198.78			194.44(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-9	-86	1.6	47%	-0.27	-44.1	3.54%	0	-1.4	44	0
2	Dec_16_2011	206.7	209.93	210.65	202.16			200.36(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-10	-60	1.97	47%	-0.24	-43.5	3.53%	0	-1	50	0
3	Dec_15_2011	207.2	210.53	212.78	205.92			196.68(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-8	-24	2.1	47%	-0.26	-38.8	3.52%	0	-1.4	58	0
4	Dec_14_2011	207.75	211.74	215.19	208.88			196.76(-4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-13	4	2.45	47%	-0.29	-29.6	3.54%	0	-1.6	55	0
5	Dec_13_2011	208.36	213.09	217.76	213.86			205.64(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-10	39	1.55	49%	-0.26	-19.5	3.5%	0	-0.8	53	0

6	Dec_12_2011	208.91	213.82	218.26	217.82			211.36(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-7	61	1.37	49%	-0.24	-11.7	3.49%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Dec_9_2011	209.41	214.42	217.83	220.38			219.16(3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	73	1.26	49%	-0.19	-5.5	3.46%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Dec_8_2011	209.81	214.4	215.4	220.81			211.48(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-4	62	1.49	47%	-0.21	-6.4	3.46%	0	-0.3	51	0
9	Dec_7_2011	210.26	214.6	214.06	222.38			221.68(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	55	1.69	51%	-0.16	-3.4	3.42%	0	0.8	50	0
10	Dec_6_2011	210.59	214.6	212.39	222.18			225.44(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	9	44	1.44	51%	-0.1	6.3	3.47%	0	1.1	50	0

11	Dec_5_2011	210.8	214.9	210.42	218.73			224.16(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	10	19	1.2	51%	-0.12	2.1	3.47%	0	0.9	51	0
12	Dec_2_2011	211.05	214.95	208.92	214.88			221.28(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-10000	16	-6	1.36	50%	-0.06	-8.4	3.5%	0	0.6	46	0
13	Dec_1_2011	211.18	215.02	207.75	209.14			219.36(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	13	-39	1.3	50%	-0.09	-25	3.52%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Nov_30_2011	211.36	214.91	207.59	204.42			220.68(6.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-8	-10000	9	-59	1.14	50%	-0.07	-35.6	3.5%	0	0.6	53	0
15	Nov_29_2011	211.5	214.28	207.52	201.31			208.16(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	1	-83	1.4	49%	-0.12	-43.5	3.42%	0	-0.6	36	0

16	Nov_28_2011	211.76	214.68	208.61	201.08			204.92(6.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-3	-91	1.32	49%	-0.18	-45.3	3.47%	0	-1	35	0
17	Nov_25_2011	212.14	215.8	210.43	202.3			192.56(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-32	-10000	-11	-95	0.53	47%	-0.39	-35.4	3.4%	0	-2.3	24	0
18	Nov_23_2011	212.96	217.63	213.31	206.05			195.76(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-14	-84	1.43	49%	-0.21	-18.9	3.38%	0	-2.5	30	0
19	Nov_22_2011	213.41	218.65	215.44	210.98			205.16(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-10	-64	1.39	50%	-0.04	0.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	42	0
20	Nov_21_2011	213.5	218.87	217.93	214.58			207(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-7	-32	1.51	50%	-0.14	13.5	3.42%	0	-1.6	53	0

21	Nov_18_2011	213.81	219.42	220.07	217.22			211(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-7	-12	1.56	47%	-0.12	35.1	3.42%	0	-1.2	50	0
22	Nov_17_2011	214.06	219.52	221.76	219.85			211.32(-4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-4	1	2.55	47%	-0.1	48.5	3.53%	0	-1.1	42	0
23	Nov_16_2011	214.28	219.33	223.16	221.58			220.44(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	9	2.15	47%	-0.03	59.9	3.49%	0	0.1	46	0
24	Nov_15_2011	214.35	218.61	223.01	220.5			223.12(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.31	49%	0.01	62.1	3.52%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Nov_14_2011	214.32	217.9	221.63	221.93			220.24(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-4	12	1.18	49%		73.3	3.55%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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