Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $220.6800 (6.01%) ($215.6400 - $220.8400) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $220.6800(6.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(62%)    SPY(57%)    XAR(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $198.74(-9.94%)
5 Day Moving Average   $204.42(7.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.59(6.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $214.91(2.68%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   38%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.8% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2011	211.36	214.91	207.59	204.42			220.68(6.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-8	-10000	9	-59	1.14	50%	-0.07	-35.6	3.5%	0	0.6	53	0
2	Nov_29_2011	211.5	214.28	207.52	201.31			208.16(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	1	-83	1.4	49%	-0.12	-43.5	3.42%	0	-0.6	36	0
3	Nov_28_2011	211.76	214.68	208.61	201.08			204.92(6.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-3	-91	1.32	49%	-0.18	-45.3	3.47%	0	-1	35	0
4	Nov_25_2011	212.14	215.8	210.43	202.3			192.56(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-32	-10000	-11	-95	0.53	47%	-0.39	-35.4	3.4%	0	-2.3	24	0
5	Nov_23_2011	212.96	217.63	213.31	206.05			195.76(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-14	-84	1.43	49%	-0.21	-18.9	3.38%	0	-2.5	30	0

6	Nov_22_2011	213.41	218.65	215.44	210.98			205.16(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-10	-64	1.39	50%	-0.04	0.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	42	0
7	Nov_21_2011	213.5	218.87	217.93	214.58			207(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-7	-32	1.51	50%	-0.14	13.5	3.42%	0	-1.6	53	0
8	Nov_18_2011	213.81	219.42	220.07	217.22			211(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-7	-12	1.56	47%	-0.12	35.1	3.42%	0	-1.2	50	0
9	Nov_17_2011	214.06	219.52	221.76	219.85			211.32(-4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-4	1	2.55	47%	-0.1	48.5	3.53%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Nov_16_2011	214.28	219.33	223.16	221.58			220.44(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	9	2.15	47%	-0.03	59.9	3.49%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Nov_15_2011	214.35	218.61	223.01	220.5			223.12(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.31	49%	0.01	62.1	3.52%	0	0.6	57	0
12	Nov_14_2011	214.32	217.9	221.63	221.93			220.24(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-4	12	1.18	49%	0	73.3	3.55%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Nov_11_2011	214.32	216.99	221.23	223.46			224.12(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	19	0.86	52%	-0	82.1	3.55%	0	0.8	55	0
14	Nov_10_2011	214.33	215.98	221.47	224.14			220(2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	2.06	52%	-0.03	89.7	3.65%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Nov_9_2011	214.39	214.71	222.18	225			215.04(-6.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-1	54	2.26	54%	-0.06	91	3.65%	0	0	58	0

16	Nov_8_2011	214.51	213.67	222.16	225.59			230.24(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	11	69	2.52	52%	0.06	92	3.62%	0	1.3	66	0
17	Nov_7_2011	214.39	211.65	219.86	221.13			227.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	6	45	1.9	52%	0.04	88.4	3.89%	0	1.3	62	0
18	Nov_4_2011	214.31	209.68	218.63	218.62			227.48(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	-0	44	2.01	48%	0.03	85.4	3.91%	0	1.3	66	0
19	Nov_3_2011	214.24	207.15	216.97	218.64			224.32(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-1	48	2.15	48%	0.02	85.3	4.04%	0	1.2	62	0
20	Nov_2_2011	214.2	204.95	215.06	219.3			218(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	62	2.45	47%	-0.04	84.6	4.03%	0	0.9	66	0

21	Nov_1_2011	214.28	202.91	213.79	218.3			207.92(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	1	68	2.31	45%	-0.05	76.2	4.01%	0	0.3	63	0
22	Oct_31_2011	214.39	201.1	213.97	218.07			215.4(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	-0	83	1.55	45%	-0.05	62.1	3.98%	0	0.8	69	0
23	Oct_28_2011	214.5	198.45	212.59	218.25			227.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	8	99	1.83	47%	-0.01	55.2	3.93%	0	1.6	78	0
24	Oct_27_2011	214.52	195.6	210.08	214.98			227.6(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	11	110	3.25	46%	0	51.8	3.93%	0	1.8	83	0
25	Oct_26_2011	214.51	193.04	206.53	210.46			213.04(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	102	1.94	44%		47.9	3.85%	0	1.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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