Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $220.4400 (-1.2%) ($219.4000 - $228.2800) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.49% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $220.4400(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(62%)    SPY(57%)    XAR(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.745% (StdDev 3.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $221.58(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $223.16(-1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $219.33(0.51%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   37.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 3.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2011	214.28	219.33	223.16	221.58			220.44(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	9	2.15	47%	-0.03	59.9	3.49%	0	0.1	46	0
2	Nov_15_2011	214.35	218.61	223.01	220.5			223.12(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.31	49%	0.01	62.1	3.52%	0	0.6	57	0
3	Nov_14_2011	214.32	217.9	221.63	221.93			220.24(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-4	12	1.18	49%	0	73.3	3.55%	0	0.3	60	0
4	Nov_11_2011	214.32	216.99	221.23	223.46			224.12(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	19	0.86	52%	-0	82.1	3.55%	0	0.8	55	0
5	Nov_10_2011	214.33	215.98	221.47	224.14			220(2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	2.06	52%	-0.03	89.7	3.65%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Nov_9_2011	214.39	214.71	222.18	225			215.04(-6.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-1	54	2.26	54%	-0.06	91	3.65%	0	0	58	0
7	Nov_8_2011	214.51	213.67	222.16	225.59			230.24(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	11	69	2.52	52%	0.06	92	3.62%	0	1.3	66	0
8	Nov_7_2011	214.39	211.65	219.86	221.13			227.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	6	45	1.9	52%	0.04	88.4	3.89%	0	1.3	62	0
9	Nov_4_2011	214.31	209.68	218.63	218.62			227.48(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	-0	44	2.01	48%	0.03	85.4	3.91%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Nov_3_2011	214.24	207.15	216.97	218.64			224.32(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-1	48	2.15	48%	0.02	85.3	4.04%	0	1.2	62	0

11	Nov_2_2011	214.2	204.95	215.06	219.3			218(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	62	2.45	47%	-0.04	84.6	4.03%	0	0.9	66	0
12	Nov_1_2011	214.28	202.91	213.79	218.3			207.92(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	1	68	2.31	45%	-0.05	76.2	4.01%	0	0.3	63	0
13	Oct_31_2011	214.39	201.1	213.97	218.07			215.4(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	-0	83	1.55	45%	-0.05	62.1	3.98%	0	0.8	69	0
14	Oct_28_2011	214.5	198.45	212.59	218.25			227.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	8	99	1.83	47%	-0.01	55.2	3.93%	0	1.6	78	0
15	Oct_27_2011	214.52	195.6	210.08	214.98			227.6(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	11	110	3.25	46%	0	51.8	3.93%	0	1.8	83	0

16	Oct_26_2011	214.51	193.04	206.53	210.46			213.04(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	102	1.94	44%	-0.06	47.9	3.85%	0	1.2	74	0
17	Oct_25_2011	214.64	191.3	204.49	208.79			206.76(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	108	2.37	44%	-0.09	42.3	3.83%	0	1	74	0
18	Oct_24_2011	214.83	190.37	202.86	209.14			216.28(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	8	135	1.84	45%	-0.08	40	3.79%	0	1.7	85	0
19	Oct_21_2011	215.01	188.65	200.02	206			211.2(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	4	147	1.53	45%	-0.11	29.2	3.78%	0	1.6	87	0
20	Oct_20_2011	215.25	186.89	196.54	204.44			205.04(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	7	150	2.06	45%	-0.14	16	3.76%	0	1.4	71	0

21	Oct_19_2011	215.56	185.62	194.05	201.95			204.68(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	7	143	1.95	46%	-0.18	-0.5	3.76%	0	1.5	64	0
22	Oct_18_2011	215.95	185.01	191.2	199.42			208.48(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	10	132	2.74	46%	-0.04	-10.3	3.78%	0	1.9	65	0
23	Oct_17_2011	216.03	184.56	187.24	195.59			200.6(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	7	98	1.89	45%	-0.19	-19.3	3.75%	0	1.3	54	0
24	Oct_14_2011	216.44	184.67	183.27	193.11			203.4(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	16	70	1.86	47%	-0.17	-22	3.83%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Oct_13_2011	216.8	184.85	179.93	187.5			192.6(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	7	35	1.87	45%		-29.1	3.77%	0	0.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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