Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $211.4800 (4.82%) ($205.1600 - $211.9200) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $211.4800(4.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(63%)    SPY(58%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(3%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $201.65(4.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.47(4.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.05(2.14%)
To recent high   -18.9%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 7.89% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2011	231.64	207.05	201.47	201.65			211.48(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	15	-19	1.32	45%	-0.2	-67.8	3.19%	0	0.3	57	0
2	Aug_26_2011	232.1	208.71	202.03	197.06			201.76(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	5	-21	1.56	43%	-0.24	-69.4	3.13%	0	-0.4	59	0
3	Aug_25_2011	232.65	210.9	202.87	195.66			195.8(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-2	-33	1.19	44%	-0.27	-68.8	3.1%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Aug_24_2011	233.27	213.48	204.34	196.2			200.52(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-8	-40	1.34	44%	-0.26	-67	3.11%	0	-0.6	43	0
5	Aug_23_2011	233.88	215.91	204	198.8			198.68(5.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-8	-63	2.61	43%	-0.26	-61.4	3.11%	0	-0.8	36	0

6	Aug_22_2011	234.5	218.75	204.18	201.45			188.56(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-20	-90	2.66	40%	-0.31	-56	3.04%	0	-1.3	31	0
7	Aug_19_2011	235.22	222.26	204.52	207.75			194.72(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-10	-106	2.17	41%	-0.27	-47.4	3.02%	0	-1.2	30	0
8	Aug_18_2011	235.86	225.54	206.33	211.01			198.52(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-7	-118	2.37	43%	-0.25	-42.4	3.02%	0	-1.1	32	0
9	Aug_17_2011	236.46	228.57	208.34	213.36			213.52(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10000	12	-129	1.66	46%	-0.17	-36.3	2.92%	0	-0.6	35	0
10	Aug_16_2011	236.87	230.65	210.51	209.78			211.92(-3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	-10000	8	-158	2.95	46%	-0.16	-37.2	2.92%	0	-0.8	33	0

11	Aug_15_2011	237.25	232.78	213	207.26			220.08(4.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-29	-10000	22	-180	1.41	48%	-0.14	-37.3	2.89%	0	-0.5	33	0
12	Aug_12_2011	237.58	234.11	215.52	200.94			211(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-58	-10000	-1	-230	1.88	46%	-0.16	-42.5	2.84%	0	-1	28	0
13	Aug_11_2011	237.96	236.06	219.05	201.23			210.28(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-65	-10000	-6	-240	2.59	43%	-0.16	-42.8	2.84%	0	-1.1	27	0
14	Aug_10_2011	238.33	237.41	222.8	202.98			195.64(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-88	-10000	-30	-260	3.78	39%	-0.22	-45	2.72%	0	-1.9	16	0
15	Aug_9_2011	238.86	239.78	228.44	211.64			199.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-10000	-27	-224	3.3	41%	-0.2	-39.6	2.72%	0	-2.1	20	0

16	Aug_8_2011	239.34	241.8	234.36	219.74			188.48(-11.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-79	-10000	-40	-195	3.19	37%	-0.22	-34.4	2.65%	0	-3.1	10	0
17	Aug_5_2011	239.87	244.43	241.78	231.98			212.44(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-56	-10000	-27	-141	4.44	41%	-0.12	-23.4	2.27%	0	-2.5	27	0
18	Aug_4_2011	240.16	246.14	246.81	239.25			219.04(-8.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-10000	-22	-89	3.78	41%	-0.07	-6.1	2.25%	0	-2.6	29	0
19	Aug_3_2011	240.32	247.61	251.05	245.33			238.92(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-28	2.46	44%	0.01	18.4	2.04%	0	-1	60	0
20	Aug_2_2011	240.29	247.79	252.86	247.8			239.84(-3.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-9	-10000	-14	5	1.95	43%	0.01	34.4	2.08%	0	-0.9	56	0

21	Aug_1_2011	240.27	247.94	254.49	251.36			249.64(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-8	54	1.26	45%	0.06	58.1	2.03%	0	0.2	67	0
22	Jul_29_2011	240.12	247.42	254.3	253.31			248.8(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-9	81	1.24	47%	0.09	73.7	2.05%	0	0.2	67	0
23	Jul_28_2011	239.91	246.79	254.41	255.72			249.44(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-7	106	1.21	47%	0.05	84.8	2.06%	0	0.3	57	0
24	Jul_27_2011	239.78	246.03	253.1	257.66			251.28(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-3	112	2	47%	0.06	91.5	2.06%	0	0.6	56	0
25	Jul_26_2011	239.63	244.89	251.93	258.6			257.64(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	2	121	1.21	49%		89.7	2.04%	0	1.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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