Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $245.1200 (1.78%) ($243.4400 - $246.5200) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $245.1200(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $240.2(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $233.21(5.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $228.39(7.33%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2011	238.69	228.39	233.21	240.2			245.12(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	11	135	1.28	39%	0.03	40.1	1.9%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Jul_6_2011	238.61	227.34	231.24	237.81			240.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	128	0.86	39%	0.03	30.5	1.88%	0	1.9	76	0
3	Jul_5_2011	238.54	226.54	229.74	235.12			241.32(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	19	113	1.47	39%	0.05	10	1.89%	0	2.3	67	0
4	Jul_1_2011	238.41	225.67	227.46	230.92			238.6(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	-10000	17	81	1.71	39%	0.03	-22.2	1.87%	0	2.4	70	0
5	Jun_30_2011	238.33	225.31	225.5	227.3			235.12(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	10	43	1.85	41%	0.03	-48.5	1.85%	0	1.9	57	0

6	Jun_29_2011	238.26	225.19	223.95	225.2			233.16(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	7	12	2.36	41%	0	-62	1.86%	0	1.5	51	0
7	Jun_28_2011	238.25	225.21	222.63	223.82			227.4(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	1	-8	0.81	39%	-0.01	-55.6	1.84%	0	0.4	51	0
8	Jun_27_2011	238.28	225.91	222.33	223.67			220.32(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	1	-11	1.12	35%	-0.04	-45.4	1.79%	0	-0.9	44	0
9	Jun_24_2011	238.38	226.89	222.29	223.38			220.48(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	-10000	1	-21	1.05	37%	-0.04	-39.1	1.81%	0	-0.9	45	0
10	Jun_23_2011	238.48	227.82	222.85	223.21			224.64(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	4	-33	1.96	38%	-0.03	-34.1	1.8%	0	-0.4	39	0

11	Jun_22_2011	238.54	228.44	223.27	222.36			226.28(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	6	-46	1.17	38%	-0.01	-33.5	1.8%	0	-0.3	39	0
12	Jun_21_2011	238.57	228.73	223.18	221.26			226.64(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	1	-70	1.29	41%	0	-33.2	1.8%	0	-0.3	39	0
13	Jun_20_2011	238.57	228.85	223.07	220.99			218.84(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-25	-10000	-1	-98	1.15	38%	0	-32.7	1.79%	0	-1.3	23	0
14	Jun_17_2011	238.57	229.64	223.78	221.1			219.64(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-7	-120	2.35	41%	0.01	-30.4	1.79%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	Jun_16_2011	238.55	230.33	225.15	222.41			220.4(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-9	-117	1.96	41%	0	-25.5	1.83%	0	-1.5	31	0

16	Jun_15_2011	238.54	230.98	226.56	224.3			220.8(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-5	-107	2.11	41%	0.04	-18.5	1.83%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	Jun_14_2011	238.45	231.25	228.02	225.33			225.28(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-1	-95	1.7	44%	0.04	-27.8	1.82%	0	-1	45	0
18	Jun_13_2011	238.35	231.33	229.74	225.53			219.36(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-6	-79	2.7	41%	0.03	-36.9	1.8%	0	-2	44	0
19	Jun_10_2011	238.28	231.86	231.91	226.77			226.2(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-7	-63	1.88	43%	0.05	-38.1	1.79%	0	-1	43	0
20	Jun_9_2011	238.15	232.07	233.24	228.3			229.84(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-41	1.15	43%	0.05	-31.2	1.84%	0	-0.4	49	0

21	Jun_8_2011	238.02	232.17	234.02	229.3			225.96(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-9	-29	1.23	42%	0.02	-28.7	1.82%	0	-1.2	45	0
22	Jun_7_2011	237.97	232.95	234.77	231.21			226.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-16	-8	1.38	41%	-0.05	-18.5	1.84%	0	-1.2	56	0
23	Jun_6_2011	238.09	233.6	235.17	234.67			225.56(-3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-5	-10000	-14	24	1.59	41%	0.03	-10.6	1.84%	0	-1.5	54	0
24	Jun_3_2011	238.01	233.97	236.15	237.73			233.88(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-5	62	2.04	45%	0.08	-14.9	1.79%	0	-0	58	0
25	Jun_2_2011	237.83	233.76	236.06	238.86			234.8(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-3	77	2.09	45%		-26.5	1.8%	0	0.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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