Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $237.2000 (0.2%) ($235.6000 - $239.2400) on Wed. Mar. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $237.2000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $238.49
5 Day Moving Average   $240.81(-1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $241.4(-1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $238.49(-0.54%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2011	209.84	238.49	241.4	240.81			237.2(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-5	21	0.95	64%	0.31	50.5	1.25%	0	-0.3	51	0
2	Mar_8_2011	209.2	238.25	241.86	241.52			236.72(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	43	0.63	62%	0.28	54.8	1.25%	0	-0.3	55	0
3	Mar_7_2011	208.62	238.01	241.81	242.12			241.04(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-8	48	0.69	65%	0.31	60.2	1.23%	0	0.6	56	0
4	Mar_4_2011	207.98	237.48	241.51	243.26			244.08(-0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-3	78	0.7	67%	0.32	73.9	1.21%	0	1.2	64	0
5	Mar_3_2011	207.31	236.76	241.04	243.68			245(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	106	1.21	67%	0.33	87.2	1.22%	0	1.5	65	0

6	Mar_2_2011	206.63	236.02	240.27	242.16			240.76(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-1	106	0.92	67%	0.32	93.4	1.2%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Mar_1_2011	205.97	235.45	239.62	242.26			239.72(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	7	114	1.05	69%	0.32	108.8	1.23%	0	0.8	59	0
8	Feb_28_2011	205.32	234.83	239.29	241.3			246.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	13	123	1.21	74%	0.36	111.9	1.17%	0	2.1	67	0
9	Feb_25_2011	204.59	233.44	237.72	239.46			246.16(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	9	103	1.02	74%	0.37	103.6	1.18%	0	2.2	68	0
10	Feb_24_2011	203.84	232.03	236.15	238.14			237.4(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	0	94	1.35	73%	0.32	100	1.11%	0	0.9	61	0

11	Feb_23_2011	203.19	231.14	235.28	238.15			241.24(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	12	97	1.5	72%	0.35	94.6	1.1%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Feb_22_2011	202.49	229.74	234.28	236.63			234.92(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-2	79	1.19	70%	0.5	75.5	1.1%	0	0.7	61	0
13	Feb_18_2011	201.49	228.79	233.92	236.88			237.6(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	10	99	0.62	74%	0.35	65.6	1.08%	0	1.1	70	0
14	Feb_17_2011	200.79	227.59	233.15	235.6			239.52(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	14	109	0.62	74%	0.36	58.4	1.09%	0	1.4	81	0
15	Feb_16_2011	200.07	226.29	232.13	233.87			237.48(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	15	115	0.89	70%	0.37	53	1.09%	0	1.4	81	0

16	Feb_15_2011	199.33	225.25	231.37	231.99			233.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	3	111	0.75	69%	0.36	50.4	1.11%	0	1.1	77	0
17	Feb_14_2011	198.62	224.55	230.92	231.59			236.16(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	8	148	0.75	69%	0.37	54.8	1.1%	0	1.6	86	0
18	Feb_11_2011	197.89	223.62	229.98	230.57			231.2(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	2	161	0.56	63%	0.36	59.1	1.11%	0	1.1	77	0
19	Feb_10_2011	197.18	222.87	228.84	230.34			230.88(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	2	175	1	65%	0.36	63.2	1.11%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Feb_9_2011	196.48	222.16	227.62	230.11			228.08(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-4	183	0.89	64%	0.34	68.3	1.12%	0	0.9	76	0

21	Feb_8_2011	195.82	221.5	226.77	230.58			231.64(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	4	206	1	67%	0.35	73.6	1.1%	0	1.5	72	0
22	Feb_7_2011	195.14	220.54	224.95	230.1			231.04(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	6	188	1.18	67%	0.36	74.2	1.1%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Feb_4_2011	194.44	219.56	223.35	229.3			230.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10000	18	178	1.01	69%	0.36	75.1	1.1%	0	1.7	66	0
24	Feb_3_2011	193.75	218.58	221.68	227.06			229.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	18	139	0.65	69%	0.34	68.6	1.14%	0	1.9	68	0
25	Feb_2_2011	193.09	217.66	220.03	224.69			230.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	18	101	0.77	70%		64	1.14%	0	2.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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