Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $237.6000 (-0.8%) ($237.0400 - $240.2400) on Fri. Feb. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $237.6000(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $236.88(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $233.92(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $228.79(3.85%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2011	201.49	228.79	233.92	236.88			237.6(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	10	99	0.62	74%	0.35	65.6	1.08%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Feb_17_2011	200.79	227.59	233.15	235.6			239.52(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	14	109	0.62	74%	0.36	58.4	1.09%	0	1.4	81	0
3	Feb_16_2011	200.07	226.29	232.13	233.87			237.48(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	15	115	0.89	70%	0.37	53	1.09%	0	1.4	81	0
4	Feb_15_2011	199.33	225.25	231.37	231.99			233.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	3	111	0.75	69%	0.36	50.4	1.11%	0	1.1	77	0
5	Feb_14_2011	198.62	224.55	230.92	231.59			236.16(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	8	148	0.75	69%	0.37	54.8	1.1%	0	1.6	86	0

6	Feb_11_2011	197.89	223.62	229.98	230.57			231.2(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	2	161	0.56	63%	0.36	59.1	1.11%	0	1.1	77	0
7	Feb_10_2011	197.18	222.87	228.84	230.34			230.88(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	2	175	1	65%	0.36	63.2	1.11%	0	1.2	78	0
8	Feb_9_2011	196.48	222.16	227.62	230.11			228.08(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-4	183	0.89	64%	0.34	68.3	1.12%	0	0.9	76	0
9	Feb_8_2011	195.82	221.5	226.77	230.58			231.64(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	4	206	1	67%	0.35	73.6	1.1%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Feb_7_2011	195.14	220.54	224.95	230.1			231.04(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	6	188	1.18	67%	0.36	74.2	1.1%	0	1.6	64	0

11	Feb_4_2011	194.44	219.56	223.35	229.3			230.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10000	18	178	1.01	69%	0.36	75.1	1.1%	0	1.7	66	0
12	Feb_3_2011	193.75	218.58	221.68	227.06			229.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	18	139	0.65	69%	0.34	68.6	1.14%	0	1.9	68	0
13	Feb_2_2011	193.09	217.66	220.03	224.69			230.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	18	101	0.77	70%	0.35	64	1.14%	0	2.3	67	0
14	Feb_1_2011	192.42	216.66	218.59	222.35			229.24(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	26	79	1.35	71%	0.33	63.3	1.15%	0	2.6	68	0
15	Jan_31_2011	191.78	215.81	217.53	219.04			227(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	27	-10000	19	49	1.07	71%	0.33	62.1	1.15%	0	2.9	69	0

16	Jan_28_2011	191.14	214.96	216.54	216.63			218.84(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	29	1.06	68%	0.3	61.8	1.07%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Jan_27_2011	190.56	214.55	216.27	215.5			217.92(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	8	26	0.67	68%	0.3	54.4	1.07%	0	1.2	64	0
18	Jan_26_2011	189.99	214.19	216.16	214.61			218.76(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	3	23	0.72	68%	0.31	51.1	1.07%	0	1.6	62	0
19	Jan_25_2011	189.4	213.68	215.76	214.28			212.69(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10000	-14	22	1.04	65%	0.13	52.6	1.03%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Jan_24_2011	189.16	213.46	215.83	215.78			214.92(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-6	48	0.67	68%	0.28	69.3	1.02%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Jan_21_2011	188.63	213.17	215.56	216.47			213.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-6	62	0.74	68%	0.29	83.7	1.01%	0	0	57	0
22	Jan_20_2011	188.09	212.96	215.42	217.11			213.48(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-6	74	0.68	68%	0.29	95.7	1.03%	0	0.2	59	0
23	Jan_19_2011	187.54	212.72	215.33	217.82			217.12(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	4	96	0.71	66%	0.35	108.4	1%	0	1.2	66	0
24	Jan_18_2011	186.89	212.15	214.76	217.4			220.2(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	13	99	0.44	69%	0.53	108.4	1.04%	0	2.3	79	0
25	Jan_14_2011	185.91	211.26	214.01	215.89			218.36(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	12	92	0.47	69%		91	1.03%	0	1.9	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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