Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $220.2000 (0.84%) ($217.1600 - $220.4400) on Tue. Jan. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $220.2000(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $217.4(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $214.76(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.15(3.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2011	186.89	212.15	214.76	217.4			220.2(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	13	99	0.44	69%	0.53	108.4	1.04%	0	2.3	79	0
2	Jan_14_2011	185.91	211.26	214.01	215.89			218.36(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	12	92	0.47	69%	0.36	91	1.03%	0	1.9	79	0
3	Jan_13_2011	185.24	210.48	213.24	214.57			216.4(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	79	0.7	70%	0.36	82.3	1.03%	0	1.6	71	0
4	Jan_12_2011	184.58	209.73	212.64	213.49			217.04(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	9	67	0.62	70%	0.35	71.4	1.04%	0	1.8	73	0
5	Jan_11_2011	183.93	208.97	211.98	212.49			215(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	7	58	0.53	70%	0.32	64.6	1.04%	0	1.5	71	0

6	Jan_10_2011	183.34	208.4	211.33	211.75			212.63(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-1	53	0.86	69%	0.32	62.3	1.04%	0	1.1	74	0
7	Jan_7_2011	182.76	207.89	210.84	211.86			211.76(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	18	-10000	1	69	0.68	71%	0.3	62.4	1.05%	0	1	78	0
8	Jan_6_2011	182.22	207.39	210.55	211.71			211(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	84	0.65	71%	0.28	60.2	1.05%	0	0.9	76	0
9	Jan_5_2011	181.72	206.9	210.33	211.61			212.04(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	2	104	0.41	73%	0.28	62.4	1.05%	0	1.3	82	0
10	Jan_4_2011	181.21	206.45	209.96	211.37			211.32(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	5	115	0.91	73%	0.29	75.4	1.09%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Jan_3_2011	180.69	206.06	209.4	210.8			213.2(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	10	116	0.49	73%	0.3	87	1.09%	0	1.9	75	0
12	Dec_31_2010	180.15	205.5	208.34	209.68			211(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	4	99	0.43	73%	0.28	100.6	1.1%	0	1.6	74	0
13	Dec_30_2010	179.64	205.03	207.52	209.23			210.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	3	96	0.27	73%	0.27	114.5	1.1%	0	1.7	75	0
14	Dec_29_2010	179.15	204.39	206.61	208.87			210.84(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-10000	4	94	0.34	74%	0.23	118.2	1.1%	0	1.9	77	0
15	Dec_28_2010	178.73	203.52	205.72	208.37			208.48(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	5	85	0.19	74%	0.21	98.9	1.12%	0	1.3	63	0

16	Dec_27_2010	178.35	202.8	205.23	207.76			207.6(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	9	79	0.35	74%	0.26	86.4	1.12%	0	1.2	59	0
17	Dec_23_2010	177.89	202.09	204.7	206.73			208.76(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	11	64	0.48	75%	0.21	75.2	1.14%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Dec_22_2010	177.51	201.37	203.96	205.5			208.69(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	13	47	0.76	75%	0.24	73.9	1.15%	0	1.6	67	0
19	Dec_21_2010	177.09	200.49	203.16	203.98			208.32(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	11	33	0.48	75%	0.23	65.9	1.16%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Dec_20_2010	176.68	199.8	202.6	202.73			205.44(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	11	-10000	3	36	0.34	74%	0.25	66.1	1.16%	0	1.3	78	0

21	Dec_17_2010	176.24	199.24	202.38	202.38			202.44(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	0	55	0.68	73%	0.23	68.7	1.16%	0	0.7	72	0
22	Dec_16_2010	175.84	198.77	202.41	202.36			202.6(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	79	0.51	73%	0.23	64.3	1.17%	0	0.9	74	0
23	Dec_15_2010	175.43	198.11	202.33	202.18			201.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	95	0.68	73%	0.22	53.9	1.17%	0	0.6	67	0
24	Dec_14_2010	175.04	197.47	202.04	202.14			202.04(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-10000	-2	112	1.21	73%	0.21	46.8	1.17%	0	0.9	75	0
25	Dec_13_2010	174.68	196.92	201.22	202.4			203.72(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	-0	115	0.61	73%		50.7	1.17%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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