Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $186.5400 (0.27%) ($184.6000 - $186.5600) on Fri. Nov. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $186.5400(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(4%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $182.33(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178.83(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $178.01(4.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2010	166.09	178.01	178.83	182.33			186.54(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	-10000	18	89	1.07	68%	0.07	70.3	1.35%	0	2.5	60	0
2	Nov_4_2010	165.98	177.45	177.64	180.1			186.04(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	28	-10000	20	52	1.01	68%	0.05	69.3	1.35%	0	2.9	62	0
3	Nov_3_2010	165.89	176.79	176.43	177.73			181(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	-10000	12	7	1.45	64%	0.03	70.1	1.33%	0	1.9	53	0
4	Nov_2_2010	165.84	176.44	175.94	176.35			180.24(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	-10000	9	-20	0.56	68%	0.05	67.2	1.33%	0	1.8	50	0
5	Nov_1_2010	165.76	176.07	175.41	175.28			177.84(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	4	-40	0.92	66%	0.04	60.1	1.37%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Oct_29_2010	165.7	175.64	175.58	174.82			175.4(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	0	-41	0.9	65%	0.03	59.9	1.36%	0	-0.1	46	0
7	Oct_28_2010	165.65	175.44	175.89	174.79			174.16(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-37	0.75	65%	0.07	63.5	1.36%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Oct_27_2010	165.53	175.22	176.36	174.91			174.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.7	65%	0.06	71.5	1.37%	0	-0.3	55	0
9	Oct_26_2010	165.43	175	176.88	175.42			174.88(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.72	65%	0.08	73.2	1.38%	0	-0	54	0
10	Oct_25_2010	165.29	174.57	177.08	175.54			175.56(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-10000	-8	2	1.38	65%	0.07	66.4	1.4%	0	0.2	59	0

11	Oct_22_2010	165.17	174.05	177.22	176.47			175.24(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-6	34	1.46	65%	0.02	66.4	1.4%	0	0.2	68	0
12	Oct_21_2010	165.13	173.56	177.35	177.19			174.76(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-7	55	1.11	65%	0.05	65.4	1.42%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Oct_20_2010	165.05	172.92	177.27	178.02			176.64(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-4	78	0.77	68%	0.12	64	1.42%	0	0.6	67	0
14	Oct_19_2010	164.86	172.24	177.07	178.55			175.48(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-2	98	1.11	68%	0.07	64	1.45%	0	0.5	66	0
15	Oct_18_2010	164.75	171.69	176.87	178.77			180.24(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	6	128	0.67	74%	0.1	63.8	1.41%	0	1.4	83	0

16	Oct_15_2010	164.58	170.89	175.75	178.08			178.84(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	4	126	0.72	66%	0.09	60.9	1.47%	0	1.3	84	0
17	Oct_14_2010	164.43	170.05	174.96	177.54			178.92(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	9	137	0.68	66%	0.14	59.1	1.47%	0	1.5	82	0
18	Oct_13_2010	164.2	169.25	173.98	176.42			179.28(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	8	142	1.13	66%	0.15	58.1	1.48%	0	1.8	86	0
19	Oct_12_2010	163.95	168.46	172.93	175.4			176.56(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	6	147	1.18	64%	0.13	60.7	1.47%	0	1.6	79	0
20	Oct_11_2010	163.73	167.88	171.82	174.67			176.8(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	13	146	0.61	64%	0.12	66.1	1.48%	0	1.9	73	0

21	Oct_8_2010	163.53	167.29	170.57	173.05			176.12(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	8	124	0.81	64%	0.13	65.1	1.48%	0	2.1	70	0
22	Oct_7_2010	163.32	166.65	169.41	172			173.32(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	118	0.74	67%	0.06	68.4	1.48%	0	1.7	71	0
23	Oct_6_2010	163.22	166.08	168.21	171.14			174.2(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	8	100	1.08	67%	0.06	71.3	1.55%	0	2.3	70	0
24	Oct_5_2010	163.13	165.46	167	170.1			172.92(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	12	86	0.84	67%	0.04	83.4	1.55%	0	2.3	65	0
25	Oct_4_2010	163.06	164.83	166.06	168.56			168.68(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	7	62	0.69	64%		91	1.54%	0	1.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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