Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $170.8800 (1.09%) ($169.2400 - $171.7200) on Fri. Oct. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $170.8800(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $167.66(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $165.65(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.57(3.83%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2010	163.08	164.57	165.65	167.66			170.88(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	50	0.7	64%	-0.02	100.6	1.53%	0	2.4	59	0
2	Sep_30_2010	163.11	164.05	164.74	166.4			169.04(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	13	31	1.03	64%	-0.03	119.7	1.54%	0	2.2	60	0
3	Sep_29_2010	163.16	163.56	164.12	164.79			169(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	11	11	0.99	57%	-0.01	120.6	1.54%	0	2.5	64	0
4	Sep_28_2010	163.17	162.83	164.12	163.46			165.2(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	2	-6	0.74	54%	-0.03	85.8	1.6%	0	0.9	57	0
5	Sep_27_2010	163.22	162.36	163.58	163.22			164.16(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.9	54%	0.01	71.1	1.61%	0	0.6	60	0

6	Sep_24_2010	163.2	161.99	163.73	163.34			164.6(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	8	1.18	54%	-0.02	68.5	1.62%	0	0.8	51	0
7	Sep_23_2010	163.23	161.41	163.66	162.84			161(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-3	5	1.05	51%	-0.08	47.2	1.61%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Sep_22_2010	163.36	161.01	163.83	163.3			162.32(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-3	17	1.27	45%	-0.1	35.7	1.61%	0	0.3	59	0
9	Sep_21_2010	163.52	160.6	163.87	163.66			164.04(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	1.09	45%	-0.12	27.1	1.67%	0	0.8	72	0
10	Sep_20_2010	163.71	160.23	163.57	163.98			164.76(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	55	1.1	45%	-0.09	26.1	1.67%	0	1	69	0

11	Sep_17_2010	163.85	159.81	163.45	164.22			162.08(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	74	0.96	45%	-0.1	23.9	1.66%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Sep_16_2010	164.02	159.63	163.39	164.61			163.28(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	2	102	1.02	45%	-0.09	24.8	1.66%	0	0.8	72	0
13	Sep_15_2010	164.17	159.5	163.03	164.39			164.16(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	3	117	1.1	49%	-0.08	22.7	1.66%	0	1.1	74	0
14	Sep_14_2010	164.3	159.37	162.09	164.04			165.6(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	7	117	0.91	49%	-0.1	13.8	1.69%	0	1.5	73	0
15	Sep_13_2010	164.47	159.05	161.08	163.07			166(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	3	102	0.58	49%	-0.11	-4.3	1.69%	0	1.7	64	0

16	Sep_10_2010	164.65	158.74	160.11	162.63			164(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	4	100	0.53	55%	-0.08	-17.9	1.69%	0	1.4	62	0
17	Sep_9_2010	164.79	158.54	158.96	162.03			162.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	4	76	0.44	55%	-0.09	-36.9	1.8%	0	1	54	0
18	Sep_8_2010	164.94	158.52	157.97	161.45			162.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	12	56	0.48	55%	-0.09	-51.8	1.8%	0	1.1	50	0
19	Sep_7_2010	165.09	158.79	157.05	159.78			160.76(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	8	18	0.62	55%	-0.14	-53.6	1.8%	0	0.5	45	0
20	Sep_3_2010	165.32	159.22	156.61	158.69			163.8(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	10	-0	0.58	55%	-0.09	-45.9	1.86%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Sep_2_2010	165.47	159.41	155.78	157.22			161(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	12	-25	0.94	60%	-0.11	-44.3	1.87%	0	0.3	48	0
22	Sep_1_2010	165.65	159.86	155.48	155.46			159.28(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	9	-47	1.25	56%	-0.11	-43.3	2%	0	-0.1	46	0
23	Aug_31_2010	165.83	160.4	155.57	154.03			154.08(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	1	-68	1.16	53%	-0.14	-42.1	2.01%	0	-1	31	0
24	Aug_30_2010	166.07	161.08	156.37	153.88			155.28(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-2	-82	0.88	53%	-0.14	-40.8	2.02%	0	-0.9	25	0
25	Aug_27_2010	166.3	161.67	156.81	154.19			156.48(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	0	-97	0.78	57%		-40.1	2.02%	0	-0.8	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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