Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $160.9200 (-0.59%) ($159.4400 - $162.9200) on Mon. Jul. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $160.9200(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $164.36
5 Day Moving Average   $159.29(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $158.05(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.36(-2.09%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.87% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2010	168.92	164.36	158.05	159.29			160.92(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	9	-55	0.68	49%	-0.05	-23	2.38%	0	-0.4	30	0
2	Jul_9_2010	169	164.9	158.46	157.66			161.88(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	8	-84	0.55	50%	-0.04	-23.8	2.38%	0	-0.4	29	0
3	Jul_8_2010	169.07	165.33	158.57	156.1			161.72(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	6	-114	1.01	50%	-0.03	-29.4	2.39%	0	-0.4	30	0
4	Jul_7_2010	169.12	165.41	159	154.95			159.08(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-34	-10000	2	-140	1.02	50%	-0.06	-35.8	2.38%	0	-0.8	24	0
5	Jul_6_2010	169.22	165.68	159.77	154.53			152.84(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-12	-167	1.61	47%	-0.06	-35	2.32%	0	-1.6	10	0

6	Jul_2_2010	169.32	166.23	161.84	156.7			152.8(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-10000	-14	-149	1.3	49%	-0.06	-31.7	2.32%	0	-1.8	24	0
7	Jul_1_2010	169.42	166.86	164.14	159.37			154.08(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.77	50%	-0.04	-24.8	2.34%	0	-1.9	25	0
8	Jun_30_2010	169.48	167.76	166.3	161.34			155.96(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-12	-100	1.02	50%	-0.02	-8	2.35%	0	-1.9	30	0
9	Jun_29_2010	169.52	168.37	168.42	163.58			156.96(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-11	-64	1.43	52%	0	11.4	2.35%	0	-1.9	48	0
10	Jun_28_2010	169.52	168.53	170.45	165.72			163.68(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-11	-31	1.06	54%	0.04	26.2	2.32%	0	-0.9	54	0

11	Jun_25_2010	169.46	168.59	171.34	167.79			166.16(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-10000	-10	0	1.28	52%	0.05	42.2	2.31%	0	-0.4	60	0
12	Jun_24_2010	169.38	168.54	171.98	169.75			163.96(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-11	28	0.98	52%	-0.01	60.6	2.34%	0	-0.8	55	0
13	Jun_23_2010	169.39	168.24	172.76	172.06			167.16(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-10	50	1.16	52%	-0.01	61.2	2.32%	0	-0.2	46	0
14	Jun_22_2010	169.4	167.7	172.46	174.02			167.64(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-9	62	1.35	52%	0.02	57.4	2.33%	0	-0	53	0
15	Jun_21_2010	169.37	167.1	172.2	175.81			174.04(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	2	94	1.59	55%	0.1	52.6	2.28%	0	0.9	70	0

16	Jun_18_2010	169.2	166.3	171.04	175.35			175.96(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	4	90	1.49	53%	0.08	43.5	2.29%	0	1.3	62	0
17	Jun_17_2010	169.06	165.24	169.8	174.56			175.52(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	83	1.25	53%	0.08	28.8	2.32%	0	1.4	61	0
18	Jun_16_2010	168.93	164.58	169.26	173.58			176.92(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	15	103	1.15	53%	0.07	19.5	2.31%	0	1.8	69	0
19	Jun_15_2010	168.81	163.94	168.17	170.68			176.6(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	13	95	1.22	53%	0.06	6	2.32%	0	2	69	0
20	Jun_14_2010	168.71	163.34	166.28	168.07			171.76(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	10	79	0.94	51%	0.04	-9.3	2.29%	0	1.5	68	0

21	Jun_11_2010	168.65	163.17	165.44	166.07			172(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	9	71	0.91	51%	0.02	-13.4	2.29%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Jun_10_2010	168.62	163.15	164.62	164.37			170.6(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	-0	68	1.15	51%	-0.01	-17.1	2.29%	0	1.3	64	0
23	Jun_9_2010	168.63	163.24	163.18	164.45			162.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-5	60	1.07	49%	-0.07	-15.4	2.21%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Jun_8_2010	168.74	163.56	162.52	165.3			163.56(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	6	57	1.46	49%	-0.03	-17.5	2.21%	0	0	48	0
25	Jun_7_2010	168.79	163.87	161.66	164.13			161.76(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-2	25	1.31	49%		-30.9	2.21%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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