Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $176.9200 (0.18%) ($174.7600 - $178.5200) on Wed. Jun. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $176.9200(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $173.58(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.26(4.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.58(7.5%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2010	168.93	164.58	169.26	173.58			176.92(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	15	103	1.15	53%	0.07	19.5	2.31%	0	1.8	69	0
2	Jun_15_2010	168.81	163.94	168.17	170.68			176.6(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	13	95	1.22	53%	0.06	6	2.32%	0	2	69	0
3	Jun_14_2010	168.71	163.34	166.28	168.07			171.76(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	10	79	0.94	51%	0.04	-9.3	2.29%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Jun_11_2010	168.65	163.17	165.44	166.07			172(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	9	71	0.91	51%	0.02	-13.4	2.29%	0	1.6	63	0
5	Jun_10_2010	168.62	163.15	164.62	164.37			170.6(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	-0	68	1.15	51%	-0.01	-17.1	2.29%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Jun_9_2010	168.63	163.24	163.18	164.45			162.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-5	60	1.07	49%	-0.07	-15.4	2.21%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Jun_8_2010	168.74	163.56	162.52	165.3			163.56(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	6	57	1.46	49%	-0.03	-17.5	2.21%	0	0	48	0
8	Jun_7_2010	168.79	163.87	161.66	164.13			161.76(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-2	25	1.31	49%	-0.07	-30.9	2.21%	0	-0.3	46	0
9	Jun_4_2010	168.9	163.91	161.3	164.55			163.48(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	11	1.87	50%	-0.06	-40.9	2.22%	0	-0.1	44	0
10	Jun_3_2010	169	164.11	160.47	164.75			171(2.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	-10000	17	-9	1.99	52%	-0.01	-47.9	2.15%	0	1.1	46	0

11	Jun_2_2010	169.01	164.16	159.55	161.78			166.68(5.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	14	-56	1.62	51%	-0.02	-62	2.13%	0	0.4	41	0
12	Jun_1_2010	169.05	164.63	159.3	159.43			157.72(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	4	-95	1.47	47%	-0.14	-65.4	2.01%	0	-1	39	0
13	May_28_2010	169.29	165.82	160.13	158.74			163.88(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	8	-111	2.1	50%	-0.06	-60.1	1.96%	0	-0.2	42	0
14	May_27_2010	169.4	166.51	160.6	157.55			164.48(5.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	13	-109	1.57	50%	-0.07	-64	1.98%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	May_26_2010	169.52	167.19	161.35	155.62			156.16(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-137	1.66	45%	-0.11	-68.4	1.87%	0	-1.3	40	0

16	May_25_2010	169.7	168.29	163.13	157.07			154.92(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-14	-124	1.74	45%	-0.11	-66.2	1.87%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	May_24_2010	169.88	169.41	164.62	159.22			154.28(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-16	-118	0.87	45%	-0.09	-61.8	1.87%	0	-1.8	31	0
18	May_21_2010	170.04	170.85	166.32	161.67			157.92(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-16	-114	1.75	44%	-0.05	-52.6	1.87%	0	-1.6	30	0
19	May_20_2010	170.12	172.13	166.89	164.09			154.8(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-10000	-24	-122	1.64	42%	-0.07	-43.2	1.86%	0	-2.4	31	0
20	May_19_2010	170.24	173.37	168.33	167.87			163.44(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-105	1.83	46%	-0.02	-35.8	1.76%	0	-1.6	36	0

21	May_18_2010	170.28	174.08	169.37	170.1			165.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-5	-86	1.44	46%	-0.01	-30.1	1.75%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	May_17_2010	170.3	174.69	170.54	170.83			166.52(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-5	-78	1.6	46%	-0.02	-28.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	41	0
23	May_14_2010	170.34	175.11	172.07	171.63			170(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	11	-63	1.74	50%	0.01	-29.8	1.76%	0	-1	38	0
24	May_13_2010	170.33	175.38	172.91	170.05			173.72(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	8	-91	2.11	52%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.3	40	0
25	May_12_2010	170.27	175.63	173.36	168.86			174.56(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-26	-10000	1	-106	1.45	52%		-45.6	1.76%	0	-0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.