Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $176.6000 (2.82%) ($173.3600 - $177.0400) on Tue. Jun. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $176.6000(2.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.68(3.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.17(5.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $163.94(7.72%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2010	168.81	163.94	168.17	170.68			176.6(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	13	95	1.22	53%	0.06	6	2.32%	0	2	69	0
2	Jun_14_2010	168.71	163.34	166.28	168.07			171.76(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	10	79	0.94	51%	0.04	-9.3	2.29%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Jun_11_2010	168.65	163.17	165.44	166.07			172(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	9	71	0.91	51%	0.02	-13.4	2.29%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Jun_10_2010	168.62	163.15	164.62	164.37			170.6(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	-0	68	1.15	51%	-0.01	-17.1	2.29%	0	1.3	64	0
5	Jun_9_2010	168.63	163.24	163.18	164.45			162.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-5	60	1.07	49%	-0.07	-15.4	2.21%	0	-0.1	50	0

6	Jun_8_2010	168.74	163.56	162.52	165.3			163.56(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	6	57	1.46	49%	-0.03	-17.5	2.21%	0	0	48	0
7	Jun_7_2010	168.79	163.87	161.66	164.13			161.76(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-2	25	1.31	49%	-0.07	-30.9	2.21%	0	-0.3	46	0
8	Jun_4_2010	168.9	163.91	161.3	164.55			163.48(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	11	1.87	50%	-0.06	-40.9	2.22%	0	-0.1	44	0
9	Jun_3_2010	169	164.11	160.47	164.75			171(2.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	-10000	17	-9	1.99	52%	-0.01	-47.9	2.15%	0	1.1	46	0
10	Jun_2_2010	169.01	164.16	159.55	161.78			166.68(5.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	14	-56	1.62	51%	-0.02	-62	2.13%	0	0.4	41	0

11	Jun_1_2010	169.05	164.63	159.3	159.43			157.72(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	4	-95	1.47	47%	-0.14	-65.4	2.01%	0	-1	39	0
12	May_28_2010	169.29	165.82	160.13	158.74			163.88(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	8	-111	2.1	50%	-0.06	-60.1	1.96%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	May_27_2010	169.4	166.51	160.6	157.55			164.48(5.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	13	-109	1.57	50%	-0.07	-64	1.98%	0	-0.2	53	0
14	May_26_2010	169.52	167.19	161.35	155.62			156.16(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-137	1.66	45%	-0.11	-68.4	1.87%	0	-1.3	40	0
15	May_25_2010	169.7	168.29	163.13	157.07			154.92(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-14	-124	1.74	45%	-0.11	-66.2	1.87%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	May_24_2010	169.88	169.41	164.62	159.22			154.28(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-16	-118	0.87	45%	-0.09	-61.8	1.87%	0	-1.8	31	0
17	May_21_2010	170.04	170.85	166.32	161.67			157.92(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-16	-114	1.75	44%	-0.05	-52.6	1.87%	0	-1.6	30	0
18	May_20_2010	170.12	172.13	166.89	164.09			154.8(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-10000	-24	-122	1.64	42%	-0.07	-43.2	1.86%	0	-2.4	31	0
19	May_19_2010	170.24	173.37	168.33	167.87			163.44(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-105	1.83	46%	-0.02	-35.8	1.76%	0	-1.6	36	0
20	May_18_2010	170.28	174.08	169.37	170.1			165.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-5	-86	1.44	46%	-0.01	-30.1	1.75%	0	-1.5	39	0

21	May_17_2010	170.3	174.69	170.54	170.83			166.52(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-5	-78	1.6	46%	-0.02	-28.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	41	0
22	May_14_2010	170.34	175.11	172.07	171.63			170(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	11	-63	1.74	50%	0.01	-29.8	1.76%	0	-1	38	0
23	May_13_2010	170.33	175.38	172.91	170.05			173.72(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	8	-91	2.11	52%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.3	40	0
24	May_12_2010	170.27	175.63	173.36	168.86			174.56(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-26	-10000	1	-106	1.45	52%	0.06	-45.6	1.76%	0	-0.2	47	0
25	May_11_2010	170.17	175.83	173.64	168.71			169.36(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-11	-115	2.45	51%		-43.6	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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