Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $177.6800 (-0.29%) ($177.2000 - $179.5200) on Mon. Apr. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $177.6800(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $176.57(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.84(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $171.44(3.64%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2010	165.87	171.44	173.84	176.57			177.68(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	1	117	1.19	51%	0.16	24.1	1.6%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Apr_9_2010	165.6	171.24	172.4	176.47			178.2(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	7	111	1.53	51%	0.16	28.4	1.62%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Apr_8_2010	165.34	170.99	170.97	175.5			175.12(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	9	90	1.21	49%	0.12	30.6	1.62%	0	1	58	0
4	Apr_7_2010	165.15	170.9	170.31	174.18			175.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	11	64	1.88	49%	0.1	27.2	1.62%	0	1	48	0
5	Apr_6_2010	164.98	170.68	169.67	172.59			176.72(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	14	37	0.73	49%	0.1	21.3	1.62%	0	1.5	51	0

6	Apr_5_2010	164.81	170.33	168.59	170.65			177.2(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	21	4	1.06	49%	0.17	13.3	1.62%	0	1.8	54	0
7	Apr_1_2010	164.53	169.99	167.53	167.74			173.32(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	13	-47	1.07	52%	0.08	0.5	1.69%	0	1	46	0
8	Mar_31_2010	164.4	169.71	167.08	165.86			168.52(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-21	-10000	-0	-84	1.57	49%	0.04	-9	1.67%	0	-0.3	39	0
9	Mar_30_2010	164.33	169.76	167.61	165.93			167.2(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-3	-85	0.87	49%	0.03	-0.5	1.67%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	Mar_29_2010	164.28	169.82	168.24	166.32			167(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	1	-76	1.01	49%	0.05	11.3	1.67%	0	-0.8	43	0

11	Mar_26_2010	164.19	169.83	168.8	166.24			162.68(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-7	-79	1.83	46%	0.02	11.3	1.63%	0	-2	37	0
12	Mar_25_2010	164.16	169.97	170.03	167.2			163.88(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-9	-62	1.91	46%	0.04	13	1.64%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Mar_24_2010	164.1	170.02	171.11	168.38			168.88(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	1	49%	0.07	16	1.61%	0	-0.3	55	0
14	Mar_23_2010	163.98	169.77	171.63	169.56			169.16(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.18	49%	0.09	18.2	1.61%	0	-0.2	52	0
15	Mar_22_2010	163.83	169.43	171.88	170.54			166.6(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-9	4	1.29	49%	0.09	17.4	1.61%	0	-0.7	50	0

16	Mar_19_2010	163.69	169.42	172.34	171.78			167.48(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-11	26	1.66	49%	0.03	29	1.6%	0	-0.5	56	0
17	Mar_18_2010	163.64	169.51	172.78	173.24			169.8(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-6	61	1.6	49%	0.09	47.3	1.61%	0	0.1	66	0
18	Mar_17_2010	163.49	169.44	172.67	174.15			174.76(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	1	88	0.77	53%	0.06	63.9	1.57%	0	1.3	80	0
19	Mar_16_2010	163.39	169.05	172.13	174.02			174.08(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	-10000	4	103	1.01	53%	0.06	75.8	1.57%	0	1.3	80	0
20	Mar_15_2010	163.29	168.73	171.53	173.46			172.8(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	4	112	1.06	53%	0.04	88.3	1.57%	0	1.1	81	0

21	Mar_12_2010	163.23	168.25	170.94	172.98			174.76(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	5	107	1.05	58%	0.02	91.1	1.63%	0	1.7	69	0
22	Mar_11_2010	163.19	167.63	169.89	172.26			174.36(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	9	91	0.82	58%	0.01	96.3	1.64%	0	1.8	58	0
23	Mar_10_2010	163.17	166.9	168.8	170.96			174.08(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	7	66	1.2	60%	0.01	79.9	1.65%	0	2	59	0
24	Mar_9_2010	163.16	166.19	167.69	170			171.32(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	46	1.29	60%	-0.01	65.9	1.66%	0	1.5	57	0
25	Mar_8_2010	163.18	165.49	166.72	169.33			170.36(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	26	0.56	60%		46.8	1.66%	0	1.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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