Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $157.7200 (-4.46%) ($157.7200 - $163.7600) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $157.7200(-4.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

Resistance Level   $167.85
5 Day Moving Average   $162.62(-3.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.49(-3.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.85(-6.04%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2010	161.56	167.85	163.49	162.62			157.72(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-6	-95	1.16	54%	-0.01	-40.4	1.73%	0	-1.9	31	0
2	Feb_3_2010	161.57	168.78	164.65	163.42			165.08(-1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	2	-95	0.81	62%	0.07	-31.4	1.63%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Feb_2_2010	161.46	169.23	165.24	163.09			167.84(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-20	-10000	5	-95	0.62	65%	0.1	-28.4	1.65%	0	-0.3	46	0
4	Feb_1_2010	161.3	169.46	165.67	162.46			164.6(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-10000	-4	-111	0.76	63%	0.09	-29	1.63%	0	-1	36	0
5	Jan_29_2010	161.16	169.52	166.37	162.96			157.84(-2.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-11	-115	1.42	55%	0.06	-29	1.67%	0	-2.3	21	0

6	Jan_28_2010	161.07	170.04	167.98	164.52			161.76(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-11	-99	1.15	52%	0.11	-22.9	1.71%	0	-1.9	28	0
7	Jan_27_2010	160.9	170.38	169.03	166.01			163.4(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-11	-86	1.35	52%	0.12	-12.3	1.83%	0	-1.7	28	0
8	Jan_26_2010	160.7	170.68	169.77	167.66			164.68(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-11	-76	0.74	52%	0.02	6.4	1.83%	0	-1.6	35	0
9	Jan_25_2010	160.66	170.94	170.76	169.38			167.12(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.82	52%	0.17	31.4	1.84%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Jan_22_2010	160.38	171.01	171.67	170.35			165.64(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-10	-27	1.33	50%	0.19	48.5	1.85%	0	-1.6	55	0

11	Jan_21_2010	160.08	171.05	172.64	171.93			169.2(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.75	52%	0.21	74.6	1.84%	0	-0.6	57	0
12	Jan_20_2010	159.74	170.87	173.32	172.47			171.64(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	2	29	0.35	52%	0.22	86.6	1.83%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Jan_19_2010	159.39	170.45	173.58	172.18			173.28(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	-1	35	0.58	52%	0.31	91.4	1.83%	0	0.8	59	0
14	Jan_15_2010	158.9	169.84	173.52	172.39			172(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-5	43	0.59	55%	0.18	90.5	1.82%	0	0.5	57	0
15	Jan_14_2010	158.61	169.34	172.91	173.25			173.52(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-2	49	0.99	55%	0.2	99.6	1.85%	0	0.9	61	0

16	Jan_13_2010	158.3	168.68	172.26	173.53			171.92(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-5	55	0.92	55%	0.18	106.6	1.85%	0	0.7	63	0
17	Jan_12_2010	158.01	168.05	171.85	174.34			170.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-5	70	0.64	55%	0.15	111	1.84%	0	0.4	62	0
18	Jan_11_2010	157.77	167.23	171.71	175.1			174.32(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	94	0.72	57%	0.19	109	1.83%	0	1.3	75	0
19	Jan_8_2010	157.47	166.19	171.16	174.74			176.28(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	-10000	15	113	0.56	60%	0.23	96	1.82%	0	1.6	81	0
20	Jan_7_2010	157.11	164.88	170.27	172.46			174.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	11	98	0.59	60%	0.23	79	1.86%	0	1.5	77	0

21	Jan_6_2010	156.75	163.65	169.3	170.77			175.96(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	11	92	0.92	62%	0.25	63.2	1.86%	0	1.8	82	0
22	Jan_5_2010	156.36	162.48	168.15	169.03			174(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	7	83	1.5	64%	0.26	55.9	1.88%	0	1.6	81	0
23	Jan_4_2010	155.96	161.39	166.96	167.9			172.56(4.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	5	88	0.74	64%	0.3	52.5	1.92%	0	1.6	86	0
24	Dec_31_2009	155.5	160.38	165.76	167.16			164.84(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	97	0.24	57%	0.16	47.3	1.84%	0	0.7	80	0
25	Dec_30_2009	155.25	159.88	165.46	167.74			166.48(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	1	127	0.2	57%		50.6	1.9%	0	1	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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