Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $167.7600 (1.48%) ($165.1200 - $167.9200) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $167.7600(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.15(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.89(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.34(6.62%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2009	154.08	157.34	160.89	164.15			167.76(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	8	132	0.26	53%	0.15	52	1.92%	0	2	80	0
2	Dec_22_2009	153.85	156.64	159.09	162.86			165.32(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	7	110	0.43	54%	0.13	46.9	1.93%	0	1.9	69	0
3	Dec_21_2009	153.65	156.03	157.58	161.76			164.8(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	8	89	0.21	54%	0.17	37.4	1.94%	0	2.1	64	0
4	Dec_18_2009	153.39	155.37	156.34	160.58			162.32(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	13	78	0.63	54%	0.16	26.7	1.94%	0	1.9	66	0
5	Dec_17_2009	153.15	154.9	155.34	158.61			160.56(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	10	53	0.39	54%	0.17	8.5	1.94%	0	1.7	62	0

6	Dec_16_2009	152.89	154.69	154.51	157.06			161.32(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	16	27	0.55	56%	0.15	-10.5	1.94%	0	2.1	52	0
7	Dec_15_2009	152.66	154.52	153.79	154.7			159.8(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	10	-10000	13	0	0.43	56%	0.13	-38.7	1.96%	0	1.8	57	0
8	Dec_14_2009	152.46	154.51	153.35	152.78			158.88(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	1	-10000	8	-19	0.86	56%	0.12	-57.5	1.97%	0	1.5	57	0
9	Dec_11_2009	152.28	154.4	152.76	151.57			152.48(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-0	-34	0.49	53%	0.09	-72.2	1.9%	0	-0.7	52	0
10	Dec_10_2009	152.14	154.62	152.93	151.62			152.84(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-10000	0	-33	0.61	55%	0.13	-76.6	1.9%	0	-0.6	50	0

11	Dec_9_2009	151.94	155.02	153.46	151.59			149.52(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.44	54%	0.11	-67.2	1.92%	0	-1.7	36	0
12	Dec_8_2009	151.78	155.63	154.03	152.69			150.16(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.7	56%	0.12	-51.7	1.92%	0	-1.7	35	0
13	Dec_7_2009	151.6	156.24	154.46	153.94			152.84(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0.5	56%	0.15	-30.4	1.95%	0	-1	35	0
14	Dec_4_2009	151.37	156.52	154.44	154.1			152.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.94	56%	0.17	-23.8	1.96%	0	-1.2	43	0
15	Dec_3_2009	151.12	156.89	154.55	154.42			152.72(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-8	-40	0.64	56%	0.18	-24.2	1.98%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Dec_2_2009	150.85	157.16	155.01	155.62			155(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.4	56%	0.23	-12.3	1.96%	0	-0.7	40	0
17	Dec_1_2009	150.51	157.32	155.38	155.59			156.44(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	3	-36	0.43	56%	0.25	-22.8	1.97%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Nov_30_2009	150.13	157.22	155.75	155.09			153.64(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.56	54%	0.25	-42.6	1.99%	0	-1.2	35	0
19	Nov_27_2009	149.75	157.27	156.15	154.81			154.28(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	1	-50	0.37	54%	0.48	-65.6	1.99%	0	-1	45	0
20	Nov_25_2009	149.03	157.65	156.44	154.64			158.72(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.84	56%	0.3	-80.1	1.94%	0	0.4	47	0

21	Nov_24_2009	148.59	157.52	156.6	154.38			154.88(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-6	-60	0.72	55%	0.25	-95.8	1.93%	0	-0.8	46	0
22	Nov_23_2009	148.22	157.99	157.28	155.22			153.92(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.65	55%	0.03	-95.6	1.94%	0	-1.1	44	0
23	Nov_20_2009	148.17	158.51	158.11	156.6			152.24(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0.87	57%	0.21	-88.6	1.96%	0	-1.6	50	0
24	Nov_19_2009	147.86	159.25	158.78	157.66			153.44(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.55	57%	0.18	-77	1.96%	0	-1.3	53	0
25	Nov_18_2009	147.59	160.11	159.5	158.37			157.44(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.85	59%		-66.6	1.94%	0	-0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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