Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 28, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $138.2800 (-1.79%) ($135.3600 - $139.6800) on Tue. Jul. 28, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $138.2800(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $138.19(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.41(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.35(8.58%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 6.72% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2009	126.96	127.35	134.41	138.19			138.28(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	5	176	0.55	69%	0.35	44.9	2.83%	0	1.3	88	0
2	Jul_27_2009	126.52	126.69	132.8	137.3			140.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-10000	9	186	0.15	69%	0.36	46.6	2.82%	0	1.7	90	0
3	Jul_24_2009	126.06	125.81	130.63	135.66			140.56(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	12	177	0.33	69%	0.36	41	2.83%	0	2	79	0
4	Jul_23_2009	125.61	125.01	128.22	133.49			138.32(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	11	150	0.66	69%	0.3	32.3	2.85%	0	2	69	0
5	Jul_22_2009	125.24	124.18	126.11	131.52			133(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	119	0.5	67%	0.3	18	2.83%	0	1.5	55	0

6	Jul_21_2009	124.86	123.62	124.24	130.04			133.84(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	14	88	0.57	67%	0.33	-0.9	2.84%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Jul_20_2009	124.45	123	122.34	127.55			132.56(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	16	48	0.36	61%	0.23	-32.3	2.85%	0	1.9	56	0
8	Jul_17_2009	124.16	122.82	120.83	124.78			129.72(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	15	11	1.19	61%	0.19	-62.3	2.97%	0	1.4	55	0
9	Jul_16_2009	123.92	122.91	119.92	122.12			128.48(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	12	-22	0.43	61%	0.19	-83.9	2.98%	0	1.1	51	0
10	Jul_15_2009	123.69	123.14	119.58	119.91			125.6(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	13	-37	0.34	61%	0.18	-94.7	2.97%	0	0.4	53	0

11	Jul_14_2009	123.47	123.67	119.56	117.6			121.4(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.48	59%	0.18	-95.8	2.94%	0	-0.4	48	0
12	Jul_13_2009	123.25	124.62	119.96	116.35			118.72(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.35	59%	0.11	-87.9	2.93%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Jul_10_2009	123.12	125.88	120.54	116.28			116.4(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-6	-79	0.65	59%	0.05	-77.2	2.92%	0	-1.1	29	0
14	Jul_9_2009	123.06	127.37	121.53	117.38			117.44(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.59	61%	0.06	-67.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	27	0
15	Jul_8_2009	122.99	128.7	122.15	119.26			114.04(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-10000	-14	-83	0.7	59%	-0.01	-59.5	2.96%	0	-1.5	19	0

16	Jul_7_2009	123	130.18	123.1	121.83			115.16(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-30	-10000	-12	-83	0.63	59%	-0.06	-57.3	2.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
17	Jul_6_2009	123.08	131.6	123.94	124.05			118.36(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-7	-89	0.57	59%	-0.04	-58.6	3%	0	-1.4	17	0
18	Jul_2_2009	123.13	132.87	125.2	125.32			121.92(-3.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-5	-98	0.42	62%	0	-56.9	2.98%	0	-1.2	17	0
19	Jul_1_2009	123.13	134.03	126.31	126.22			126.84(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	4	-105	0.87	66%	0.02	-55.6	3.01%	0	-0.8	18	0
20	Jun_30_2009	123.11	134.74	127.03	125.48			126.88(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	4	-124	0.77	62%	-0.02	-53.9	3.03%	0	-0.9	24	0

21	Jun_29_2009	123.14	135.88	128.04	124.63			126.24(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	4	-137	0.69	62%	-0.01	-48.4	3.08%	0	-1	26	0
22	Jun_26_2009	123.15	137.19	129.5	123.89			124.72(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-41	-10000	-6	-146	0.52	58%	0	-43.4	3.14%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Jun_25_2009	123.15	138.22	131.48	125.13			126.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-7	-136	0.67	58%	0.04	-37.3	3.14%	0	-1.3	25	0
24	Jun_24_2009	123.1	139.06	133.47	126.54			123.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-12	-127	0.33	58%	0.03	-33.5	3.12%	0	-1.9	16	0
25	Jun_23_2009	123.06	139.85	135.64	128.89			122.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0.62	62%		-29.8	3.15%	0	-2.2	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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