Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $117.4400 (2.98%) ($115.0400 - $119.2800) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $117.4400(2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $108.95(-7.23%)
Resistance Level   $127.37
5 Day Moving Average   $117.38(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.53(-3.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.37(-7.8%)
To recent high   -23.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 7.35% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2009	123.06	127.37	121.53	117.38			117.44(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.59	61%	0.06	-67.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	27	0
2	Jul_8_2009	122.99	128.7	122.15	119.26			114.04(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-10000	-14	-83	0.7	59%	-0.01	-59.5	2.96%	0	-1.5	19	0
3	Jul_7_2009	123	130.18	123.1	121.83			115.16(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-30	-10000	-12	-83	0.63	59%	-0.06	-57.3	2.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
4	Jul_6_2009	123.08	131.6	123.94	124.05			118.36(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-7	-89	0.57	59%	-0.04	-58.6	3%	0	-1.4	17	0
5	Jul_2_2009	123.13	132.87	125.2	125.32			121.92(-3.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-5	-98	0.42	62%	0	-56.9	2.98%	0	-1.2	17	0

6	Jul_1_2009	123.13	134.03	126.31	126.22			126.84(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	4	-105	0.87	66%	0.02	-55.6	3.01%	0	-0.8	18	0
7	Jun_30_2009	123.11	134.74	127.03	125.48			126.88(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	4	-124	0.77	62%	-0.02	-53.9	3.03%	0	-0.9	24	0
8	Jun_29_2009	123.14	135.88	128.04	124.63			126.24(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	4	-137	0.69	62%	-0.01	-48.4	3.08%	0	-1	26	0
9	Jun_26_2009	123.15	137.19	129.5	123.89			124.72(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-41	-10000	-6	-146	0.52	58%	0	-43.4	3.14%	0	-1.3	24	0
10	Jun_25_2009	123.15	138.22	131.48	125.13			126.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-7	-136	0.67	58%	0.04	-37.3	3.14%	0	-1.3	25	0

11	Jun_24_2009	123.1	139.06	133.47	126.54			123.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-12	-127	0.33	58%	0.03	-33.5	3.12%	0	-1.9	16	0
12	Jun_23_2009	123.06	139.85	135.64	128.89			122.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0.62	62%	0.04	-29.8	3.15%	0	-2.2	26	0
13	Jun_22_2009	123.01	140.67	137.81	131.97			122.52(-6.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-35	-10000	-17	-90	0.77	62%	0.02	-21.9	3.32%	0	-2.7	20	0
14	Jun_19_2009	122.98	141.37	140	135.86			130.92(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-29	-10000	-13	-75	0.45	66%	0.08	-5	3.27%	0	-1.9	22	0
15	Jun_18_2009	122.88	141.62	141.33	138.75			133.44(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-12	-56	0.33	66%	0.07	9.4	3.31%	0	-1.5	40	0

16	Jun_17_2009	122.8	141.95	142.54	141.49			134.92(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-8	-33	1.03	67%	0.13	30.9	3.31%	0	-1.4	45	0
17	Jun_16_2009	122.64	142.18	143.26	143.42			138.04(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.68	67%	0.12	43.1	3.34%	0	-0.8	55	0
18	Jun_15_2009	122.49	142.17	144.47	144.5			141.96(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-1	10	0.35	67%	0.2	46.3	3.31%	0	-0	59	0
19	Jun_12_2009	122.25	141.65	145.52	144.7			145.4(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	0.3	69%	0.26	30.1	3.3%	0	0.7	66	0
20	Jun_11_2009	121.93	141.11	145.44	144.3			147.12(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	2	45	0.67	69%	0.25	24.4	3.32%	0	1.1	68	0

21	Jun_10_2009	121.62	140.39	144.96	143.86			144.6(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	47	0.87	70%	0.3	15	3.32%	0	0.7	57	0
22	Jun_9_2009	121.26	140.09	144.27	143.14			143.44(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-6	38	0.36	70%	0.18	15.2	3.36%	0	0.6	57	0
23	Jun_8_2009	121.04	139.9	143.67	144.49			142.96(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-8	47	0.3	70%	0.23	24.1	3.37%	0	0.5	59	0
24	Jun_5_2009	120.76	139.98	142.84	146.5			143.4(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-1	70	0.41	67%	0.24	47.1	3.38%	0	0.6	66	0
25	Jun_4_2009	120.47	139.73	141.96	146.72			144.92(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	2	74	0.41	69%		61.4	3.43%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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