Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $120.8400 (2.58%) ($118.3000 - $121.4800) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $120.8400(2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(66%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(62%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.08(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.54(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.54(2.81%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   29%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.04% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2009	114.65	117.54	120.54	120.08			120.84(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	20	0.44	47%	0.06	23.8	3.6%	0	0.7	57	0
2	Apr_22_2009	114.58	117.32	120.13	120.4			117.8(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-3	30	0.77	47%	0.04	32.3	3.64%	0	0.1	62	0
3	Apr_21_2009	114.53	117.24	119.8	120.98			119.48(2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	45	0.55	51%	0.09	43.1	3.66%	0	0.5	68	0
4	Apr_20_2009	114.43	117.23	119.67	121.15			116.84(-6.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-3	58	0.44	51%	-0.07	60.3	3.78%	0	-0.1	63	0
5	Apr_17_2009	114.51	116.94	120.01	121.95			125.44(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	4	78	0.26	55%	0.1	70.5	3.76%	0	1.7	64	0

6	Apr_16_2009	114.39	116.42	119.08	121.09			122.44(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.59	55%	-0.04	84.5	3.78%	0	1.3	53	0
7	Apr_15_2009	114.44	115.83	117.91	119.86			120.68(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	54	0.32	55%	0.03	89.8	3.77%	0	1.1	54	0
8	Apr_14_2009	114.4	115.26	116.56	118.43			120.36(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	30	0.39	55%	0.05	90.2	3.77%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Apr_13_2009	114.34	114.47	115.38	117.96			120.84(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	1	12	0.19	55%	0.34	89	3.83%	0	1.3	50	0
10	Apr_9_2009	113.95	113.59	114.56	117.78			121.12(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	15	0.31	55%	0.09	85.8	3.87%	0	1.4	60	0

11	Apr_8_2009	113.85	112.74	114.19	116.86			116.28(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	5	12	0.42	53%	-0.05	83.2	3.86%	0	0.6	51	0
12	Apr_7_2009	113.91	111.98	114.2	115.66			113.56(-3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	6	11	0.6	53%	-0.06	71.5	3.85%	0	0.3	54	0
13	Apr_6_2009	113.98	111.36	114.45	114.23			118(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	10	0.51	53%	-0.04	60.7	3.87%	0	0.9	59	0
14	Apr_3_2009	114.02	110.26	114.54	112.27			119.96(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	0.69	53%	-0.08	50.8	3.89%	0	1.3	65	0
15	Apr_2_2009	114.11	109.04	113.56	110.92			116.48(5.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-2	10	0.79	53%	0.01	40.4	3.9%	0	1	64	0

16	Apr_1_2009	114.1	108.08	113.44	111.36			110.32(3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-6	27	0.93	50%	-0.15	37.5	3.92%	0	0.3	59	0
17	Mar_31_2009	114.27	107.66	113.54	112.68			106.4(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-9	50	0.26	50%	-0.23	38.7	3.92%	0	-0.2	60	0
18	Mar_30_2009	114.53	107.21	113.96	114.64			108.2(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-10	79	0.59	50%	-0.2	39.1	3.92%	0	0.1	62	0
19	Mar_27_2009	114.76	106.54	113.72	116.96			113.2(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-10000	3	120	1	53%	-0.11	44	3.88%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Mar_26_2009	114.89	106.05	112.77	116.39			118.68(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	2	130	1.09	56%	-0.14	42.3	3.86%	0	1.5	78	0

21	Mar_25_2009	115.05	105.34	111.33	115.84			116.92(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	6	142	0.75	56%	-0.21	40.7	3.87%	0	1.5	74	0
22	Mar_24_2009	115.29	104.72	109.69	114.58			116.2(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	6	133	0.51	56%	-0.12	36	3.9%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Mar_23_2009	115.43	104.06	108.08	113.19			119.8(8.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	15	135	0.84	56%	-0.15	25.3	3.88%	0	2.4	73	0
24	Mar_20_2009	115.6	103.01	105.6	110.06			110.36(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	8	114	0.53	50%	-0.22	-4.6	3.77%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Mar_19_2009	115.85	102.71	104.12	108.5			115.92(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.81	54%		-25.8	3.75%	0	2.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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