Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $120.6800 (0.27%) ($117.8800 - $121.4000) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $120.6800(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(66%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(62%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.86(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.91(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.83(4.19%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2009	114.44	115.83	117.91	119.86			120.68(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	54	0.32	55%	0.03	89.8	3.77%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Apr_14_2009	114.4	115.26	116.56	118.43			120.36(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	30	0.39	55%	0.05	90.2	3.77%	0	1.1	55	0
3	Apr_13_2009	114.34	114.47	115.38	117.96			120.84(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	1	12	0.19	55%	0.34	89	3.83%	0	1.3	50	0
4	Apr_9_2009	113.95	113.59	114.56	117.78			121.12(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	15	0.31	55%	0.09	85.8	3.87%	0	1.4	60	0
5	Apr_8_2009	113.85	112.74	114.19	116.86			116.28(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	5	12	0.42	53%	-0.05	83.2	3.86%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Apr_7_2009	113.91	111.98	114.2	115.66			113.56(-3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	6	11	0.6	53%	-0.06	71.5	3.85%	0	0.3	54	0
7	Apr_6_2009	113.98	111.36	114.45	114.23			118(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	10	0.51	53%	-0.04	60.7	3.87%	0	0.9	59	0
8	Apr_3_2009	114.02	110.26	114.54	112.27			119.96(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	0.69	53%	-0.08	50.8	3.89%	0	1.3	65	0
9	Apr_2_2009	114.11	109.04	113.56	110.92			116.48(5.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-2	10	0.79	53%	0.01	40.4	3.9%	0	1	64	0
10	Apr_1_2009	114.1	108.08	113.44	111.36			110.32(3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-6	27	0.93	50%	-0.15	37.5	3.92%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Mar_31_2009	114.27	107.66	113.54	112.68			106.4(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-9	50	0.26	50%	-0.23	38.7	3.92%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Mar_30_2009	114.53	107.21	113.96	114.64			108.2(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-10	79	0.59	50%	-0.2	39.1	3.92%	0	0.1	62	0
13	Mar_27_2009	114.76	106.54	113.72	116.96			113.2(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-10000	3	120	1	53%	-0.11	44	3.88%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Mar_26_2009	114.89	106.05	112.77	116.39			118.68(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	2	130	1.09	56%	-0.14	42.3	3.86%	0	1.5	78	0
15	Mar_25_2009	115.05	105.34	111.33	115.84			116.92(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	6	142	0.75	56%	-0.21	40.7	3.87%	0	1.5	74	0

16	Mar_24_2009	115.29	104.72	109.69	114.58			116.2(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	6	133	0.51	56%	-0.12	36	3.9%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Mar_23_2009	115.43	104.06	108.08	113.19			119.8(8.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	15	135	0.84	56%	-0.15	25.3	3.88%	0	2.4	73	0
18	Mar_20_2009	115.6	103.01	105.6	110.06			110.36(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	8	114	0.53	50%	-0.22	-4.6	3.77%	0	1.3	71	0
19	Mar_19_2009	115.85	102.71	104.12	108.5			115.92(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.81	54%	-0.06	-25.8	3.75%	0	2.3	60	0
20	Mar_18_2009	115.92	102.33	102.15	106.16			110.64(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	11	59	0.81	50%	-0.05	-50.4	3.71%	0	1.6	53	0

21	Mar_17_2009	115.98	102.22	101.13	104.06			109.24(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	33	0.79	50%	0.03	-68.1	3.77%	0	1.3	52	0
22	Mar_16_2009	115.94	102.4	99.77	102.22			104.12(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	5	0.46	45%	-0.09	-89.7	3.71%	0	0.3	50	0
23	Mar_13_2009	116.05	103.27	98.73	100.45			102.6(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-21	0.76	45%	-0.15	-77.3	3.73%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Mar_12_2009	116.22	104.19	98.77	98.98			104.2(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	8	-37	0.76	45%	-0.1	-72.3	3.76%	0	0	48	0
25	Mar_11_2009	116.34	104.98	98.81	97.52			100.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.6	40%		-70.6	3.72%	0	-0.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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