Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $110.3600 (-4.8%) ($109.8000 - $116.7200) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $110.3600(-4.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(66%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(62%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.06(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.6(4.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.01(7.14%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 5.48% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2009	115.6	103.01	105.6	110.06			110.36(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	8	114	0.53	50%	-0.22	-4.6	3.77%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Mar_19_2009	115.85	102.71	104.12	108.5			115.92(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.81	54%	-0.06	-25.8	3.75%	0	2.3	60	0
3	Mar_18_2009	115.92	102.33	102.15	106.16			110.64(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	11	59	0.81	50%	-0.05	-50.4	3.71%	0	1.6	53	0
4	Mar_17_2009	115.98	102.22	101.13	104.06			109.24(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	33	0.79	50%	0.03	-68.1	3.77%	0	1.3	52	0
5	Mar_16_2009	115.94	102.4	99.77	102.22			104.12(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	5	0.46	45%	-0.09	-89.7	3.71%	0	0.3	50	0

6	Mar_13_2009	116.05	103.27	98.73	100.45			102.6(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-21	0.76	45%	-0.15	-77.3	3.73%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Mar_12_2009	116.22	104.19	98.77	98.98			104.2(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	8	-37	0.76	45%	-0.1	-72.3	3.76%	0	0	48	0
8	Mar_11_2009	116.34	104.98	98.81	97.52			100.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.6	40%	-0.27	-70.6	3.72%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Mar_10_2009	116.66	106.12	99.31	97.79			100.04(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	4	-63	0.74	49%	-0.32	-63.3	3.72%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Mar_9_2009	117.03	107.54	99.68	97.02			95.24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-10000	2	-83	0.97	44%	-0.24	-54.6	3.81%	0	-1.1	30	0

11	Mar_6_2009	117.31	109.13	100.23	96.7			95.24(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-9	-117	1.95	52%	-0.18	-51.4	3.93%	0	-1.2	26	0
12	Mar_5_2009	117.52	110.59	101.29	98.46			96.92(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-9	-125	0.94	52%	-0.09	-47.6	3.96%	0	-1.2	27	0
13	Mar_4_2009	117.62	111.85	102.62	100.27			101.52(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-5	-126	1.13	47%	-0.25	-46.5	3.91%	0	-0.9	31	0
14	Mar_3_2009	117.91	112.78	103.44	101.17			96.16(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-10000	-8	-132	0.81	41%	-0.29	-45.8	4.1%	0	-1.5	23	0
15	Mar_2_2009	118.25	113.9	105.29	102.8			93.64(-10%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-39	-10000	-6	-137	0.66	41%	-0.11	-47.8	4.08%	0	-2	16	0

16	Feb_27_2009	118.38	115.3	108.28	104.12			104.04(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-129	0.93	40%	-0.1	-50.5	4.12%	0	-1.3	25	0
17	Feb_26_2009	118.5	116.21	110.1	104.45			106(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-129	0.51	48%	-0.19	-48.2	4.15%	0	-1.2	32	0
18	Feb_25_2009	118.73	117.18	111.61	105.38			106(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-4	-119	0.96	48%	-0.18	-43.1	4.31%	0	-1.3	36	0
19	Feb_24_2009	118.95	117.94	113.4	106.22			104.32(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-9	-113	0.66	54%	-0.32	-37.2	4.31%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	Feb_23_2009	119.33	118.91	115.93	108.33			100.24(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-19	-90	0.7	54%	-0.44	-29.4	4.41%	0	-2.6	35	0

21	Feb_20_2009	119.86	119.96	118.75	113.07			105.68(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0.72	54%	-0.43	-11.9	4.75%	0	-2.4	37	0
22	Feb_19_2009	120.38	120.47	120.71	116.55			110.64(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-7	-23	0.65	50%	-0.54	4	5.24%	0	-1.9	39	0
23	Feb_18_2009	121.03	120.89	121.92	118.77			110.24(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.43	50%	-0.59	15	5.35%	0	-2.3	35	0
24	Feb_17_2009	121.75	120.96	123.04	121.58			114.84(-7.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	-1	0.53	50%	-1.08	23.3	5.33%	0	-1.3	47	0
25	Feb_13_2009	123.08	121.09	123.42	124.63			123.96(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-2	13	0.57	58%		35.2	5.24%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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