Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $100.2400 (-5.15%) ($99.9200 - $108.5600) on Mon. Feb. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $100.2400(-5.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(66%)    USO(66%)    SPY(62%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.9%

Resistance Level   $118.91
5 Day Moving Average   $108.33(-7.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.93(-13.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.91(-15.7%)
To recent high   -25.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 6.12% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2009	119.33	118.91	115.93	108.33			100.24(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-19	-90	0.7	54%	-0.44	-29.4	4.41%	0	-2.6	35	0
2	Feb_20_2009	119.86	119.96	118.75	113.07			105.68(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0.72	54%	-0.43	-11.9	4.75%	0	-2.4	37	0
3	Feb_19_2009	120.38	120.47	120.71	116.55			110.64(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-7	-23	0.65	50%	-0.54	4	5.24%	0	-1.9	39	0
4	Feb_18_2009	121.03	120.89	121.92	118.77			110.24(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.43	50%	-0.59	15	5.35%	0	-2.3	35	0
5	Feb_17_2009	121.75	120.96	123.04	121.58			114.84(-7.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	-1	0.53	50%	-1.08	23.3	5.33%	0	-1.3	47	0

6	Feb_13_2009	123.08	121.09	123.42	124.63			123.96(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-2	13	0.57	58%	-0.65	35.2	5.24%	0	0.6	52	0
7	Feb_12_2009	123.89	120.66	123.01	125.35			123.08(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	18	0.53	54%	-0.62	25.9	5.43%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Feb_11_2009	124.66	120.26	122.87	125.58			121.72(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	-10000	0	26	0.69	54%	-0.64	15.1	5.56%	0	0.3	62	0
9	Feb_10_2009	125.46	120.21	123.2	125.54			124.32(-4.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	3	33	1.07	54%	-0.64	3.2	5.57%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Feb_9_2009	126.27	119.87	122.79	124.62			130.08(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	8	41	0.54	54%	-0.64	-15.3	5.55%	0	2.1	71	0

11	Feb_6_2009	127.08	119.48	121.94	122			127.56(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	5	32	0.65	54%	-0.52	-36.7	5.55%	0	1.9	60	0
12	Feb_5_2009	127.74	119.44	121.04	120.42			124.2(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	2	27	0.95	54%	-0.47	-35.6	5.6%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Feb_4_2009	128.34	119.53	120.01	119.9			121.52(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-2	22	0.94	56%	-0.53	-27.5	5.62%	0	0.4	58	0
14	Feb_3_2009	129.02	120.06	119.63	120.6			119.76(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	-0	24	0.79	56%	-0.5	-3.5	5.71%	0	-0.1	49	0
15	Feb_2_2009	129.67	120.61	118.67	120.67			116.96(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-3	16	0.69	56%	-0.65	12.8	5.73%	0	-0.6	51	0

16	Jan_30_2009	130.52	121.06	118.65	121.78			119.64(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	0	18	0.62	59%	-0.58	31	5.72%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Jan_29_2009	131.28	121.03	118.21	121.64			121.6(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	5	8	0.46	59%	-0.54	36.9	5.83%	0	0.1	44	0
18	Jan_28_2009	131.99	120.81	117.51	120.02			125.04(4.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	4	-10	0.56	62%	-0.44	35.6	5.86%	0	0.7	47	0
19	Jan_27_2009	132.57	120.25	116.98	118.55			120.12(-1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	6	-26	0.32	59%	-0.62	27.9	5.97%	0	-0	39	0
20	Jan_26_2009	133.4	119.83	116.98	116.37			122.48(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.53	59%	-0.62	15.8	6.06%	0	0.4	42	0

21	Jan_23_2009	134.23	119.18	116.7	115.14			118.96(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	2	-55	0.77	59%	-0.63	2.6	6.07%	0	-0	45	0
22	Jan_22_2009	135.08	118.75	117.54	114.35			113.52(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.42	55%	-0.69	-7.4	6.05%	0	-0.7	49	0
23	Jan_21_2009	136.02	118.59	118.87	114.59			117.68(7.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-45	0.51	55%	-0.66	-10	6.21%	0	-0.1	53	0
24	Jan_20_2009	136.92	118.51	120.37	115.26			109.2(-6.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.65	56%	-0.83	-8.1	6.14%	0	-1.2	50	0
25	Jan_16_2009	138.06	118.81	122.67	116.99			116.32(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.38	58%		-4.8	6.24%	0	-0.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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