Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $111.8800 (-8.23%) ($111.8400 - $122.3200) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.78% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $111.8800(-8.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(86%)    IWM(67%)    USO(66%)    SPY(64%)    VWO(61%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -3.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(4%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.39% (StdDev 6.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $104.95(-6.19%)
Resistance Level   $124.3
5 Day Moving Average   $120.88(-7.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.11(-9.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.3(-9.99%)
To recent high   -50.5%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 7.03% (three month std-dev: 6.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2008	183.23	124.3	123.11	120.88			111.88(-8.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-2	-48	0.35	46%	-0.94	-10.8	6.78%	0	-1.4	39	0
2	Nov_18_2008	184.97	124.63	125.36	121.54			121.92(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-2	-40	0.2	47%	-0.86	-3.8	6.73%	0	-0.3	52	0
3	Nov_17_2008	186.58	125.08	127.07	122.54			119.96(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0.15	47%	-0.83	0.6	6.73%	0	-0.6	56	0
4	Nov_14_2008	188.14	125.83	128.13	124.9			122.4(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-3	1	0.4	47%	-0.79	11.6	6.73%	0	-0.4	63	0
5	Nov_13_2008	189.64	125.82	129.49	126.34			128.24(11.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	1	22	0.48	48%	-0.76	24.2	6.71%	0	0.3	59	0

6	Nov_12_2008	191.1	125.26	130.05	125.86			115.16(-9.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-9	28	0.21	46%	-0.85	21.2	6.57%	0	-1	51	0
7	Nov_11_2008	192.74	124.96	131.1	129.64			126.96(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-6	51	0.21	47%	-0.82	22.6	6.48%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Nov_10_2008	194.34	125.03	130.21	132.26			131.76(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	57	0.25	47%	-0.74	31.6	6.47%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Nov_7_2008	195.79	124.83	127.8	131.87			129.6(3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-3	34	0.2	47%	-0.75	23.2	6.47%	0	0.5	48	0
10	Nov_6_2008	197.27	123.71	126.39	133.16			125.8(-6.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-4	36	0.32	48%	-0.8	6.8	6.45%	0	0.2	54	0

11	Nov_5_2008	198.87	123.23	125.75	134.83			134.08(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	5	50	0.26	48%	-0.75	-5.9	6.43%	0	1	60	0
12	Nov_4_2008	200.38	122.83	123.93	132.64			140.04(7.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	12	52	0.38	47%	-0.67	-31.5	6.42%	0	1.7	67	0
13	Nov_3_2008	201.73	122.06	122.78	127.84			129.84(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	12	33	0.09	45%	-0.69	-64.6	6.39%	0	0.8	52	0
14	Oct_31_2008	203.14	122.49	123.13	122.95			136.04(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	11	16	0.21	44%	-0.66	-76.7	6.38%	0	1.1	54	0
15	Oct_30_2008	204.48	123.01	121.53	118.65			134.16(8.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	8	7	0.15	46%	-0.69	-88.1	6.4%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Oct_29_2008	205.91	123.84	119.64	115.55			123.12(6.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	4	-8	0.32	44%	-0.72	-84.8	6.36%	0	-0	56	0
17	Oct_28_2008	207.4	126.11	118.02	114.13			116.04(10.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.2	44%	-0.78	-77.4	6.31%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Oct_27_2008	209.04	129.06	119.25	117.2			105.4(-7.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-16	-24	0.31	41%	-0.8	-72.7	6.17%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Oct_24_2008	210.72	132.26	121.69	123.22			114.52(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0.18	43%	-0.76	-64.5	6.1%	0	-0.7	44	0
20	Oct_23_2008	212.33	136.04	121.07	124.6			118.68(2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.34	42%	-0.66	-58.4	6.09%	0	-0.6	42	0

21	Oct_22_2008	213.75	140	120.84	124.11			116(-11.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	5	-53	0.26	41%	-0.71	-54.1	6.11%	0	-0.8	40	0
22	Oct_21_2008	215.27	143.96	122.02	122.1			131.4(-3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.29	44%	-0.63	-52	5.99%	0	-0.4	39	0
23	Oct_20_2008	216.64	147.14	121.42	121.66			135.48(11.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	4	-126	0.23	44%	-0.57	-48.7	6.01%	0	-0.4	38	0
24	Oct_17_2008	217.89	150.32	121.65	120.37			121.44(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	-10000	9	-152	0.42	40%	-0.6	-45.4	5.82%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Oct_16_2008	219.21	154.54	124.32	117.25			116.24(9.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	0	-189	0.29	40%		-47.2	5.8%	0	-1.1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.