Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $131.4000 (-3.01%) ($128.7200 - $137.1600) on Tue. Oct. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.99% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $131.4000(-3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -2.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.995% (StdDev 5.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $143.96
5 Day Moving Average   $122.1(7.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.02(7.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.96(-8.72%)
To recent high   -46%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 21.85% (three month std-dev: 5.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2008	215.27	143.96	122.02	122.1			131.4(-3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.29	44%	-0.63	-52	5.99%	0	-0.4	39	0
2	Oct_20_2008	216.64	147.14	121.42	121.66			135.48(11.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	4	-126	0.23	44%	-0.57	-48.7	6.01%	0	-0.4	38	0
3	Oct_17_2008	217.89	150.32	121.65	120.37			121.44(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	-10000	9	-152	0.42	40%	-0.6	-45.4	5.82%	0	-0.8	36	0
4	Oct_16_2008	219.21	154.54	124.32	117.25			116.24(9.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	0	-189	0.29	40%	-0.66	-47.2	5.8%	0	-1.1	30	0
5	Oct_15_2008	220.67	158.37	128.04	117.12			105.96(-17.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-65	-10000	-13	-222	0.29	36%	-0.68	-49.3	5.65%	0	-1.5	23	0

6	Oct_14_2008	222.18	162.4	134.64	121.52			129.16(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-56	-10000	1	-226	0.39	39%	-0.43	-50.7	5.26%	0	-1	29	0
7	Oct_13_2008	223.13	165.37	139.3	121.11			129.04(21.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-65	-10000	-8	-237	0.22	39%	-0.58	-52.4	5.26%	0	-1.2	29	0
8	Oct_10_2008	224.44	168.21	143.31	123.6			105.84(-8.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-98	-10000	-31	-299	0.27	33%	-0.71	-54.1	4.42%	0	-2	11	0
9	Oct_9_2008	226.04	173.13	152.14	132.61			115.6(-9.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-87	-10000	-26	-268	0.25	35%	-0.66	-54.5	4.39%	0	-2.1	12	0
10	Oct_8_2008	227.55	177.27	160.82	140.59			127.97(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-10000	-29	-238	0.49	37%	-0.63	-56.3	4.25%	0	-2	25	0

11	Oct_7_2008	229	180.6	167.9	149.7			127.12(-10.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-10000	-31	-194	0.3	36%	-0.6	-56.9	4.25%	0	-2.5	31	0
12	Oct_6_2008	230.39	183.62	175.3	160.14			141.48(-6.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-10000	-17	-145	0.38	38%	-0.52	-59.7	4.11%	0	-2.4	34	0
13	Oct_3_2008	231.6	186.73	181.64	166			150.88(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-24	-112	0.35	39%	-0.45	-65.9	4.09%	0	-2.4	39	0
14	Oct_2_2008	232.65	189.5	187.5	174.69			155.48(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-10000	-25	-72	0.17	38%	-0.42	-66.8	4.09%	0	-2.6	35	0
15	Oct_1_2008	233.63	191.93	191.5	184.11			173.52(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-13	-32	0.28	41%	-0.35	-69.4	3.91%	0	-1.7	44	0

16	Sep_30_2008	234.46	193.5	192.72	189.05			179.32(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-10	-14	0.13	42%	-0.31	-68.2	3.91%	0	-1.4	48	0
17	Sep_29_2008	235.19	194.81	193.7	192.96			170.8(-12.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-12	-10000	-17	4	0.27	40%	-0.34	-64.2	3.86%	0	-2.5	49	0
18	Sep_26_2008	236	197.28	195.3	199.46			194.32(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-8	27	0.2	44%	-0.25	-46.2	3.59%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Sep_25_2008	236.59	198.55	195.83	202.22			202.6(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	6	44	0.15	45%	-0.2	-33.9	3.56%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Sep_24_2008	237.06	199.56	194.85	200.06			198.2(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	9	30	0.15	44%	-0.23	-31.9	3.55%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Sep_23_2008	237.6	200.54	194.03	196.94			198.88(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.4	45%	-0.18	-33.7	3.56%	0	-0.1	48	0
22	Sep_22_2008	238.03	201.19	192.33	194.53			203.32(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	12	-25	0.19	45%	-0.14	-35.2	3.59%	0	0.2	49	0
23	Sep_19_2008	238.36	201.75	191.81	190.46			208.08(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	5	-62	0.43	45%	-0.1	-39.9	3.59%	0	0.5	44	0
24	Sep_18_2008	238.6	202.28	191.08	188.86			191.84(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-91	0.31	41%	-0.19	-38.9	3.42%	0	-0.7	35	0
25	Sep_17_2008	239.05	203.57	191.9	189.18			182.6(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0.51	40%		-37.6	3.34%	0	-1.5	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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