Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $221.8000 (-1.95%) ($215.1600 - $227.7200) on Thu. Aug. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $221.8000(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(67%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $219.32(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $216(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.59(4.33%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2008	244.47	212.59	216	219.32			221.8(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	0	51	0.63	48%	-0.03	12.4	2.98%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Aug_27_2008	244.54	212.24	214.98	219.22			226.2(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	5	58	0.44	48%	-0.01	11.5	2.98%	0	1.9	64	0
3	Aug_26_2008	244.57	212.16	213.72	217.58			219.68(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	53	0.15	48%	-0.02	12.9	2.96%	0	1.1	56	0
4	Aug_25_2008	244.63	211.74	212.42	215.66			212.92(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	6	46	0.18	46%	-0.05	-7.6	2.95%	0	0.2	58	0
5	Aug_22_2008	244.75	211.9	211.71	213.72			216(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	39	0.77	46%	-0.02	-34.2	2.95%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Aug_21_2008	244.8	211.77	210.66	211.97			221.32(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	6	19	0.51	46%	-0	-54.8	2.94%	0	1.5	50	0
7	Aug_20_2008	244.81	211.41	209.2	210.1			217.96(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	2	-0	1.03	46%	0	-75.9	2.94%	0	1.1	50	0
8	Aug_19_2008	244.81	211.32	208.46	209.52			210.12(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.98	45%	-0.02	-83	2.91%	0	-0.2	38	0
9	Aug_18_2008	244.86	212.23	207.94	208.86			203.2(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.17	43%	-0.04	-72.3	2.88%	0	-0.9	46	0
10	Aug_15_2008	244.96	214.12	207.97	209.26			207.24(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.6	44%	-0.02	-75.3	2.89%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Aug_14_2008	245.02	215.35	209	208.89			212(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	3	-38	1.36	44%	-0.01	-84.5	2.88%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Aug_13_2008	245.05	216.24	209.33	208.06			215.04(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.03	44%	0.02	-87.2	2.88%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Aug_12_2008	245	217.5	210.36	207.42			206.8(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.4	42%	0	-80	2.85%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Aug_11_2008	245	219.49	210.92	207.02			205.2(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-58	0.36	42%	-0.17	-71.4	2.84%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Aug_8_2008	245.41	222.1	212.11	206.46			205.4(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.23	42%	0.02	-67.3	2.84%	0	-1	31	0

16	Aug_7_2008	245.36	224.66	213.05	209.08			207.84(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-90	0.7	42%	0.03	-63.2	2.85%	0	-0.9	39	0
17	Aug_6_2008	245.28	227.1	213.87	210.78			211.84(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-11	-97	0.52	44%	-0.01	-65.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Aug_5_2008	245.3	228.86	214.42	213.98			204.8(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-101	0.52	44%	-0	-69.6	2.85%	0	-1.3	33	0
19	Aug_4_2008	245.31	231.26	216.92	215.45			202.4(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-9	-110	0.82	44%	-0.05	-75.1	2.87%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Aug_1_2008	245.44	234.1	220.92	218.34			218.52(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	3	-110	0.44	47%	0	-80	2.73%	0	-0.9	31	0

21	Jul_31_2008	245.44	236.48	222.28	217.46			216.32(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	0	-136	0.79	47%	0.01	-78.4	2.75%	0	-1.1	31	0
22	Jul_30_2008	245.41	239.39	223.74	217.32			227.84(7.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-35	-10000	7	-161	0.72	49%	0.04	-74	2.68%	0	-0.6	34	0
23	Jul_29_2008	245.3	242.05	224.99	215.25			212.16(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-10000	-13	-196	0.84	43%	0.02	-68.7	2.52%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Jul_28_2008	245.26	245.49	228.56	218.83			216.88(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-19	-184	0.58	43%	0.02	-65.2	2.54%	0	-1.3	32	0
25	Jul_25_2008	245.2	248.38	232.7	224.1			214.12(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-13	-155	0.55	45%		-61.1	2.53%	0	-1.6	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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