Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $285.5200 (3.73%) ($275.1200 - $285.5200) on Mon. Jun. 23, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $285.5200(3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $280.95(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $276.54(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $270.86(5.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   38.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2008	234.87	270.86	276.54	280.95			285.52(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	8	66	0.04	69%	0.39	50.6	1.98%	0	1.6	62	0
2	Jun_20_2008	233.96	269.47	275.74	278.61			275.24(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	4	63	0.12	67%	0.36	44.5	1.95%	0	0.6	56	0
3	Jun_19_2008	233.11	268.8	275.43	277.5			276.6(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	6	72	0.17	61%	0.37	45.9	1.95%	0	0.9	62	0
4	Jun_18_2008	232.24	268.16	275.11	275.96			283.88(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	6	81	0.13	65%	0.41	48.5	2.08%	0	1.8	71	0
5	Jun_17_2008	231.29	267.33	272.71	274.19			283.52(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	9	71	0.09	61%	0.43	56.1	2.12%	0	2	63	0

6	Jun_16_2008	230.31	266.28	270.92	271.62			273.8(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-4	62	0.1	59%	0.4	63	2.17%	0	1.1	62	0
7	Jun_13_2008	229.4	265.56	270.31	272.66			269.68(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	79	0.34	61%	0.37	75.6	2.18%	0	0.6	58	0
8	Jun_12_2008	228.55	264.79	269.37	273.06			268.92(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-3	80	0.19	61%	0.4	74.7	2.2%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Jun_11_2008	227.65	263.99	267.84	273.95			275.04(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	11	82	0.29	65%	0.41	76.8	2.19%	0	1.4	56	0
10	Jun_10_2008	226.71	262.96	266.34	270.83			270.68(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	3	52	0.35	65%	0.2	70.8	2.24%	0	1	50	0

11	Jun_9_2008	226.25	261.96	264.87	269.96			278.96(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	8	42	0.17	68%	0.42	71.5	2.21%	0	2.2	58	0
12	Jun_6_2008	225.31	260.48	262.68	267.72			271.68(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	9	29	0.2	64%	0.39	80	2.2%	0	1.6	58	0
13	Jun_5_2008	224.43	259.5	261.59	265.2			273.4(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	15	25	0.59	64%	0.37	89.7	2.23%	0	2.1	63	0
14	Jun_4_2008	223.61	258.24	260.5	260.91			259.44(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-1	5	0.49	61%	0.27	87.2	2.15%	0	0.2	57	0
15	Jun_3_2008	223.01	257.83	261.42	261.06			266.32(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	24	0.26	63%	0.27	98.8	2.14%	0	1.4	59	0

16	Jun_2_2008	222.41	256.63	261.11	258.9			267.76(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	7	25	0.21	63%	0.3	82.3	2.14%	0	1.6	64	0
17	May_30_2008	221.74	255.06	260.24	257			259.08(2.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-2	20	0.35	61%	0.26	61.9	2.12%	0	0.5	59	0
18	May_29_2008	221.17	253.77	259.77	257.54			251.96(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-9	22	0.28	57%	0.22	53.1	2.11%	0	-0.2	51	0
19	May_28_2008	220.68	253.05	259.95	260.01			260.2(1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-7	43	0.85	61%	0.27	54.3	2.09%	0	0.7	63	0
20	May_27_2008	220.08	251.79	259.46	261.84			255.52(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-6	60	0.52	61%	0.3	51.8	2.1%	0	0.4	57	0

21	May_23_2008	219.42	251.14	259.08	263.56			258.24(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-1	83	0.08	64%	0.21	55.7	2.12%	0	0.7	68	0
22	May_22_2008	218.95	250.37	258.36	263.84			261.8(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	6	105	0.57	64%	0.23	55.1	2.12%	0	1.1	76	0
23	May_21_2008	218.44	249.03	257.46	262.18			264.28(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	9	121	0.77	61%	0.22	50.4	2.12%	0	1.4	80	0
24	May_20_2008	217.96	247.78	255.91	259.74			269.36(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	39	-10000	11	122	0.13	61%	0.29	46.3	2.13%	0	2.2	79	0
25	May_19_2008	217.33	246.44	253.91	256.84			264.12(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	10	125	0.16	64%		50.6	2.12%	0	2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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