Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $233.2400 (1.18%) ($229.2800 - $234.0000) on Tue. Apr. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $233.2400(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $229.53(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $227.24(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $219.38(6.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2008	206.45	219.38	227.24	229.53			233.24(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	3	87	0.04	53%	0.2	44.8	2.3%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Apr_14_2008	206.04	217.99	225.72	228.77			230.52(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	4	91	0.04	55%	0.17	42.7	2.34%	0	1.3	79	0
3	Apr_11_2008	205.7	217.15	224.21	227.7			225.52(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	1	94	0.03	55%	0.1	44.1	2.35%	0	0.9	79	0
4	Apr_10_2008	205.49	216.75	223.09	227.54			229.6(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	6	113	0.03	55%	0.18	47.9	2.34%	0	1.5	90	0
5	Apr_9_2008	205.12	215.87	221.42	225.9			228.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	5	118	0.06	55%	0.16	42	2.34%	0	1.6	90	0

6	Apr_8_2008	204.8	215.19	220.05	224.55			229.44(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	9	116	0.04	55%	0.16	41.1	2.34%	0	1.9	64	0
7	Apr_7_2008	204.47	214.07	218.1	222.24			225.2(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	8	108	0.06	55%	0.13	27.7	2.34%	0	1.6	68	0
8	Apr_4_2008	204.2	213.31	216.25	220.2			224.72(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	9	86	0.04	53%	0.14	16.3	2.35%	0	1.8	56	0
9	Apr_3_2008	203.92	212.68	213.9	217.95			221.4(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	7	52	0.02	53%	0.1	-0.4	2.37%	0	1.5	51	0
10	Apr_2_2008	203.71	212.51	211.84	216.23			222(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	5	26	0.04	54%	0.11	-7.8	2.37%	0	1.7	56	0

11	Apr_1_2008	203.49	212.14	210.84	214.91			217.88(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	6	15	0.02	54%	0.11	-20.3	2.37%	0	1.1	50	0
12	Mar_31_2008	203.27	212.18	209.57	213.36			215(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	7	2	0.08	54%	0.05	-27.5	2.38%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Mar_28_2008	203.17	212.28	209.46	211.65			213.48(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-10000	10	-4	0.03	54%	0.02	-30.8	2.38%	0	0.2	52	0
14	Mar_27_2008	203.13	212.7	209.85	209.12			212.78(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	10	-15	0.02	54%	0.02	-29.8	2.38%	0	0	50	0
15	Mar_26_2008	203.09	212.96	209.85	206.65			215.4(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.03	54%	0.01	-37.9	2.38%	0	0.4	47	0

16	Mar_25_2008	203.07	213.23	209.83	206.26			210.12(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	4	-44	0.03	53%	0.01	-32.5	2.36%	0	-0.5	47	0
17	Mar_24_2008	203.05	213.69	209.64	205.37			206.48(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-68	0.02	53%	-0.03	-24.5	2.37%	0	-1.1	42	0
18	Mar_20_2008	203.12	214.01	210.13	207.09			200.8(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-15	-70	0.27	51%	-0.06	-13.7	2.33%	0	-2.1	40	0
19	Mar_19_2008	203.24	214.53	211.48	210.7			200.44(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-10000	-10	-55	0.1	51%	-0.02	5.4	2.34%	0	-2.5	36	0
20	Mar_18_2008	203.28	215.32	213.47	213.25			213.48(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.08	55%	0.02	35.2	2.2%	0	-0.4	47	0

21	Mar_17_2008	203.24	215.34	213.69	213.9			205.64(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-12	-10000	-2	-40	0.12	53%	-0.01	49.3	2.16%	0	-2.1	39	0
22	Mar_14_2008	203.27	215.32	215.19	214.38			215.08(-1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.07	56%	0.06	54.5	2.09%	0	-0	46	0
23	Mar_13_2008	203.14	214.88	215.45	213.58			218.84(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	5	-34	0.09	56%	0.1	58.5	2.09%	0	0.7	57	0
24	Mar_12_2008	202.94	214.24	215.77	212.52			213.2(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.05	56%	0.08	65.4	2.07%	0	-0.2	56	0
25	Mar_11_2008	202.77	213.74	216.31	213.82			216.76(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.03	55%		74.2	2.08%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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