Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $215.0800 (-1.72%) ($211.8000 - $222.4000) on Fri. Mar. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $215.0800(-1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

Resistance Level   $215.32
5 Day Moving Average   $214.38(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $215.19(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $215.32(-0.11%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2008	203.27	215.32	215.19	214.38			215.08(-1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.07	56%	0.06	54.5	2.09%	0	-0	46	0
2	Mar_13_2008	203.14	214.88	215.45	213.58			218.84(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	5	-34	0.09	56%	0.1	58.5	2.09%	0	0.7	57	0
3	Mar_12_2008	202.94	214.24	215.77	212.52			213.2(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.05	56%	0.08	65.4	2.07%	0	-0.2	56	0
4	Mar_11_2008	202.77	213.74	216.31	213.82			216.76(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.03	55%	0.1	74.2	2.08%	0	0.5	52	0
5	Mar_10_2008	202.57	213.08	216.76	213.66			208(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-11	-11	0.09	52%	0.05	74	2.02%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Mar_7_2008	202.47	212.64	218.01	216.12			211.08(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	31	0.05	52%	0.02	77.1	2.01%	0	-0.2	60	0
7	Mar_6_2008	202.42	211.75	218.22	217.49			213.56(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-9	50	0.1	54%	0.04	69.7	2.01%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Mar_5_2008	202.33	210.57	217.93	219.41			219.72(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	1	75	0.05	58%	0.08	65.4	2.03%	0	0.9	64	0
9	Mar_4_2008	202.17	209.16	217.42	219.17			215.96(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-5	89	0.1	58%	0.05	61.8	2.03%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Mar_3_2008	202.06	208.27	217.22	220.35			220.28(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	0	117	0.19	58%	0.09	69.6	2.02%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Feb_29_2008	201.88	207.06	215.57	220.23			217.92(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	6	131	0.61	58%	0.08	76.6	2%	0	1	71	0
12	Feb_28_2008	201.71	205.78	214.36	218.98			223.16(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	13	149	0.24	61%	0.15	75.7	1.97%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Feb_27_2008	201.4	204.14	212.58	216.18			218.52(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	4	152	0.09	59%	0.1	76.5	1.96%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Feb_26_2008	201.19	202.73	210.93	215.39			221.88(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	8	167	0.15	57%	0.14	80.8	1.96%	0	1.9	78	0
15	Feb_25_2008	200.9	200.99	208.98	213.7			219.68(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	16	166	0.11	57%	0.12	81.8	1.98%	0	2	66	0

16	Feb_22_2008	200.65	199.2	206.68	210.3			211.68(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	6	141	0.19	54%	0.09	75	1.93%	0	1.4	64	0
17	Feb_21_2008	200.46	197.93	204.69	209			209.12(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	4	130	0.19	53%	0.09	68.5	1.94%	0	1.3	66	0
18	Feb_20_2008	200.28	196.53	202.65	208.3			214.6(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	13	127	0.1	55%	0.12	54.3	1.93%	0	2	72	0
19	Feb_19_2008	200.04	194.88	200.22	205.74			213.4(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	11	107	0.24	55%	0.18	36	1.93%	0	2.2	71	0
20	Feb_15_2008	199.68	193.52	198.53	203.65			202.72(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	0.13	48%	0.07	24.7	1.82%	0	1.2	68	0

21	Feb_14_2008	199.54	192.66	197.86	202.49			205.16(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	16	123	0.14	48%	0.1	9.5	1.83%	0	1.7	74	0
22	Feb_13_2008	199.35	192.05	196.52	199.62			205.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	20	108	0.21	50%	0.1	-8.3	1.83%	0	2	70	0
23	Feb_12_2008	199.16	191.68	194.99	196.03			201.76(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	13	90	0.19	45%	0.07	-25.5	1.83%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Feb_11_2008	199.02	191.84	193.84	193.8			202.96(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	5	77	0.07	45%	0.06	-30.4	1.91%	0	1.6	71	0
25	Feb_8_2008	198.9	191.7	192.27	192.81			196.92(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	1	69	0.09	40%		-37.4	1.88%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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