Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $204.3200 (-0.41%) ($202.4000 - $206.1600) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $204.3200(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-2%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $203.8(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.71(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.76(4.91%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2007	184.49	194.76	199.71	203.8			204.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	13	138	0.06	58%	0.11	78.2	1.63%	0	1.6	74	0
2	Oct_16_2007	184.28	193.98	198.4	201.64			205.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	123	0.05	56%	0.12	78.1	1.63%	0	1.9	77	0
3	Oct_15_2007	184.06	193.1	197.05	200.28			205.2(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	-10000	14	121	0.03	56%	0.12	83.5	1.65%	0	2.2	77	0
4	Oct_12_2007	183.84	191.99	195.57	198.06			202.8(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	9	102	0.02	56%	0.13	88.3	1.65%	0	2.2	71	0
5	Oct_11_2007	183.61	191.05	194.08	196.67			201.52(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	10	85	0.07	56%	0.1	95.8	1.65%	0	2.3	64	0

6	Oct_10_2007	183.42	190.11	192.74	195.09			193.52(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	3	69	0.08	52%	0.05	100.5	1.57%	0	0.8	58	0
7	Oct_9_2007	183.33	189.59	192.14	194.58			198.36(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	9	64	0.03	55%	0.07	92.5	1.54%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Oct_8_2007	183.2	188.63	190.98	193.3			194.12(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	47	0.05	53%	0.07	82	1.52%	0	1.1	64	0
9	Oct_5_2007	183.08	187.75	190.41	192.63			195.84(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	11	52	0.12	53%	0.09	77.3	1.52%	0	1.6	77	0
10	Oct_4_2007	182.92	186.81	189.85	191.09			193.6(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	46	0.05	53%	0.1	78.1	1.51%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Oct_3_2007	182.74	186.11	189.4	190.07			190.96(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	46	0.04	53%	0.08	81.9	1.52%	0	1	70	0
12	Oct_2_2007	182.59	185.49	189.23	189.29			192(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	51	0.03	53%	0.09	87.5	1.52%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Oct_1_2007	182.43	184.77	188.83	188.31			190.76(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	17	-10000	3	57	0.02	53%	0.08	91.7	1.52%	0	1.2	77	0
14	Sep_28_2007	182.29	183.88	188.14	187.86			188.12(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-4	66	0.04	53%	0.09	81.7	1.51%	0	0.8	79	0
15	Sep_27_2007	182.13	183.01	187.82	188.45			188.52(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-1	90	0.02	54%	0.07	76.2	1.52%	0	0.9	77	0

16	Sep_26_2007	182	182.15	187.31	188.65			187.04(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-3	101	0.03	50%	0.05	73.7	1.53%	0	0.8	65	0
17	Sep_25_2007	181.9	181.18	186.93	189.13			187.12(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-2	114	0.02	49%	0.06	68.1	1.59%	0	0.8	68	0
18	Sep_24_2007	181.79	180.38	186.2	189.35			188.52(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	7	125	0.03	49%	0.06	69	1.61%	0	1.1	72	0
19	Sep_21_2007	181.69	179.61	185.01	188.36			191.04(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	9	124	0.03	49%	0.08	67.9	1.61%	0	1.6	83	0
20	Sep_20_2007	181.55	178.55	183.59	187.07			189.52(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	9	125	0.03	47%	0.07	68.1	1.62%	0	1.6	84	0

21	Sep_19_2007	181.43	177.57	182.57	185.78			189.44(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	9	128	0.03	47%	0.09	68.2	1.65%	0	1.8	81	0
22	Sep_18_2007	181.27	176.5	181.42	184.46			188.24(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	12	139	0.03	47%	0.08	63.5	1.65%	0	1.9	83	0
23	Sep_17_2007	181.12	175.53	180.3	182.63			183.56(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	10	136	0.08	45%	0.04	55.4	1.62%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Sep_14_2007	181.04	174.94	179.22	181.1			184.6(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	11	119	0.07	47%	0.05	47.1	1.63%	0	1.9	64	0
25	Sep_13_2007	180.95	174.06	177.78	179.54			183.08(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	5	99	0.1	48%		34	1.64%	0	1.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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