Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 1, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $176.6000 (0.5%) ($172.2800 - $179.0800) on Wed. Aug. 1, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $176.6000(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $185.4
5 Day Moving Average   $176.33(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.42(-2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.4(-4.75%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2007	178.37	185.4	181.42	176.33			176.6(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-10000	-8	-163	0.07	49%	0.14	-37.7	1.45%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	Jul_31_2007	178.12	185.97	182.98	177.38			175.72(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-8	-145	0.03	49%	0.12	-30.2	1.46%	0	-1.8	34	0
3	Jul_30_2007	177.9	186.53	184.29	178.44			177.56(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-16	-139	0.09	47%	0.14	-29.4	1.46%	0	-1.7	36	0
4	Jul_27_2007	177.66	186.89	185.42	180.55			174.64(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-10000	-25	-123	0.25	46%	0.12	-26.3	1.46%	0	-2.5	30	0
5	Jul_26_2007	177.45	187.37	187.25	183.86			177.12(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-38	-10000	-25	-77	0.14	46%	0.14	-20.8	1.45%	0	-2.4	37	0

6	Jul_25_2007	177.21	187.76	188.69	187.26			181.88(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-16	-28	0.03	50%	0.18	-6.6	1.41%	0	-1.6	44	0
7	Jul_24_2007	176.9	187.75	189.51	189.42			181(-3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-7	-10000	-11	5	0.07	50%	0.19	-7.9	1.43%	0	-1.8	43	0
8	Jul_23_2007	176.57	188.1	190.42	190.9			188.12(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	10	-10000	-0	38	0.01	54%	0.21	-8.6	1.34%	0	0	58	0
9	Jul_20_2007	176.2	188.2	190.67	190.94			191.2(-1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-2	53	0.01	57%	0.21	-13.2	1.33%	0	0.8	69	0
10	Jul_19_2007	175.83	188.26	190.36	191.16			194.12(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	23	-10000	6	73	0.03	57%	0.23	-10.8	1.32%	0	1.6	78	0

11	Jul_18_2007	175.42	188	189.65	190.45			192.64(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	5	74	0.07	57%	0.22	-17	1.33%	0	1.4	73	0
12	Jul_17_2007	175.04	188.05	189.09	189.77			188.44(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	80	0.08	55%	0.17	-9.9	1.32%	0	0.1	73	0
13	Jul_16_2007	174.75	188.4	188.84	189.89			188.32(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-3	79	0.02	55%	0.17	3.3	1.32%	0	-0	52	0
14	Jul_13_2007	174.45	188.68	188.41	190.28			192.28(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	76	0.01	57%	0.2	16	1.29%	0	0.8	51	0
15	Jul_12_2007	174.11	188.66	187.43	189.41			190.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	5	40	0.02	59%	0.2	19.8	1.29%	0	0.4	43	0

16	Jul_11_2007	173.77	188.58	186.69	188.74			189.24(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	0.07	59%	0.2	16.8	1.3%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Jul_10_2007	173.42	188.42	185.83	188.33			189.04(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	6	-22	0.02	60%	0.09	7.9	1.3%	0	0.1	40	0
18	Jul_9_2007	173.26	188.27	185.58	187.62			190.28(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	11	-51	0.05	60%	0.2	-3	1.3%	0	0.5	39	0
19	Jul_6_2007	172.91	188	185.49	186.26			187.92(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	9	-80	0.09	60%	0.2	-15	1.3%	0	-0	40	0
20	Jul_5_2007	172.57	187.82	185.92	185.14			187.24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	7	-96	0.03	60%	0.28	-23.8	1.31%	0	-0.1	42	0

21	Jul_3_2007	172.09	187.87	186.13	184.33			187.16(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	12	-106	0.01	60%	0.2	-27.4	1.3%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Jul_2_2007	171.75	188.08	186.8	182.95			185.48(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.09	60%	0.17	-27.1	1.3%	0	-0.6	51	0
23	Jun_29_2007	171.46	188.41	187.82	183.28			183.48(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0.01	60%	0.16	-16.4	1.29%	0	-1.1	49	0
24	Jun_28_2007	171.19	188.66	188.91	184.69			182.32(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-18	-56	0.1	60%	0.16	0	1.29%	0	-1.5	50	0
25	Jun_27_2007	170.92	188.9	190.01	186.87			183.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.09	60%		17.2	1.29%	0	-1.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.