Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $173.2000 (-0.07%) ($172.0000 - $173.5600) on Mon. Apr. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $173.2000(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $171.76(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.03(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.25(4.81%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2007	157.01	165.25	169.03	171.76			173.2(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	11	140	0.01	68%	0.11	96.7	1.17%	0	1.6	87	0
2	Apr_13_2007	156.83	164.22	168.01	170.66			173.32(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	13	126	0.01	68%	0.11	83.3	1.18%	0	1.7	89	0
3	Apr_12_2007	156.66	163.24	167.04	169.41			172.52(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	14	113	0	71%	0.11	77.2	1.19%	0	1.7	89	0
4	Apr_11_2007	156.49	162.31	166.07	167.99			169.76(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	-10000	10	98	0.09	70%	0.08	72.3	1.24%	0	1.4	90	0
5	Apr_10_2007	156.36	161.43	165.4	167.01			170(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	-10000	11	103	0.01	66%	0.12	66.9	1.24%	0	1.6	93	0

6	Apr_9_2007	156.18	160.59	164.69	165.9			167.68(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	9	106	0.01	64%	0.12	67.6	1.26%	0	1.4	93	0
7	Apr_5_2007	156	159.9	164.12	164.95			167.08(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	6	118	0	64%	0.07	67.1	1.26%	0	1.4	94	0
8	Apr_4_2007	155.89	159.23	163.55	164.32			165.44(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	4	132	0	64%	0.08	66.1	1.26%	0	1.3	85	0
9	Apr_3_2007	155.76	158.66	162.92	163.86			164.84(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	3	138	0	57%	0.08	63.6	1.28%	0	1.3	81	0
10	Apr_2_2007	155.64	157.98	162.11	163.53			164.48(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	2	138	0.02	57%	0.08	57.2	1.37%	0	1.3	84	0

11	Mar_30_2007	155.51	157.2	161.23	163.29			162.92(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	142	0	57%	0.05	46.6	1.38%	0	1.2	75	0
12	Mar_29_2007	155.44	156.62	160.22	163.13			163.92(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	4	139	0	57%	0.07	40.3	1.38%	0	1.6	74	0
13	Mar_28_2007	155.33	156.13	159.21	162.64			163.12(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	0.01	57%	0.08	36.4	1.39%	0	1.6	74	0
14	Mar_27_2007	155.2	155.67	158.3	161.8			163.22(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	126	0.01	57%	0.07	30.9	1.4%	0	1.9	73	0
15	Mar_26_2007	155.09	155.21	157.18	160.44			163.28(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	14	110	0	57%	0.07	22.7	1.4%	0	2.2	78	0

16	Mar_23_2007	154.98	154.99	156.15	158.83			162.12(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	39	-10000	18	101	0.02	57%	0.09	17.2	1.4%	0	2.1	80	0
17	Mar_22_2007	154.84	154.78	155.31	156.85			161.44(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	-10000	14	77	0.14	57%	0.09	7.3	1.41%	0	2.1	69	0
18	Mar_21_2007	154.7	154.59	154.49	155.29			158.96(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	9	50	0	55%	0.06	-3.8	1.4%	0	1.5	56	0
19	Mar_20_2007	154.61	154.45	153.96	154.32			156.4(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	8	34	0	53%	0.05	-13.1	1.39%	0	0.7	52	0
20	Mar_19_2007	154.53	154.36	153.46	153.44			155.24(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	10	0.06	56%	0.03	-20.8	1.4%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Mar_16_2007	154.48	154.4	152.82	153.08			152.2(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0	47%	-0.01	-25.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	33	0
22	Mar_15_2007	154.49	154.56	152.76	153.49			153.64(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0	47%	0	-24.6	1.48%	0	-0.3	37	0
23	Mar_14_2007	154.49	154.69	152.85	153.49			154.12(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-47	0	47%	0.02	-23.9	1.49%	0	-0.2	40	0
24	Mar_13_2007	154.46	154.8	152.87	153.54			152(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	1	-53	0	47%	0.03	-23.7	1.49%	0	-1	40	0
25	Mar_12_2007	154.42	154.94	153.14	153.43			153.44(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	8	-53	0	47%		-30.2	1.49%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.