Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $173.3200 (0.46%) ($171.8400 - $173.3200) on Fri. Apr. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $173.3200(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.66(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.01(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.22(5.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2007	156.83	164.22	168.01	170.66			173.32(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	13	126	0.01	68%	0.11	83.3	1.18%	0	1.7	89	0
2	Apr_12_2007	156.66	163.24	167.04	169.41			172.52(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	14	113	0	71%	0.11	77.2	1.19%	0	1.7	89	0
3	Apr_11_2007	156.49	162.31	166.07	167.99			169.76(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	-10000	10	98	0.09	70%	0.08	72.3	1.24%	0	1.4	90	0
4	Apr_10_2007	156.36	161.43	165.4	167.01			170(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	-10000	11	103	0.01	66%	0.12	66.9	1.24%	0	1.6	93	0
5	Apr_9_2007	156.18	160.59	164.69	165.9			167.68(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	9	106	0.01	64%	0.12	67.6	1.26%	0	1.4	93	0

6	Apr_5_2007	156	159.9	164.12	164.95			167.08(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	6	118	0	64%	0.07	67.1	1.26%	0	1.4	94	0
7	Apr_4_2007	155.89	159.23	163.55	164.32			165.44(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	4	132	0	64%	0.08	66.1	1.26%	0	1.3	85	0
8	Apr_3_2007	155.76	158.66	162.92	163.86			164.84(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	3	138	0	57%	0.08	63.6	1.28%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Apr_2_2007	155.64	157.98	162.11	163.53			164.48(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	2	138	0.02	57%	0.08	57.2	1.37%	0	1.3	84	0
10	Mar_30_2007	155.51	157.2	161.23	163.29			162.92(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	142	0	57%	0.05	46.6	1.38%	0	1.2	75	0

11	Mar_29_2007	155.44	156.62	160.22	163.13			163.92(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	4	139	0	57%	0.07	40.3	1.38%	0	1.6	74	0
12	Mar_28_2007	155.33	156.13	159.21	162.64			163.12(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	0.01	57%	0.08	36.4	1.39%	0	1.6	74	0
13	Mar_27_2007	155.2	155.67	158.3	161.8			163.22(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	126	0.01	57%	0.07	30.9	1.4%	0	1.9	73	0
14	Mar_26_2007	155.09	155.21	157.18	160.44			163.28(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	14	110	0	57%	0.07	22.7	1.4%	0	2.2	78	0
15	Mar_23_2007	154.98	154.99	156.15	158.83			162.12(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	39	-10000	18	101	0.02	57%	0.09	17.2	1.4%	0	2.1	80	0

16	Mar_22_2007	154.84	154.78	155.31	156.85			161.44(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	-10000	14	77	0.14	57%	0.09	7.3	1.41%	0	2.1	69	0
17	Mar_21_2007	154.7	154.59	154.49	155.29			158.96(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	9	50	0	55%	0.06	-3.8	1.4%	0	1.5	56	0
18	Mar_20_2007	154.61	154.45	153.96	154.32			156.4(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	8	34	0	53%	0.05	-13.1	1.39%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Mar_19_2007	154.53	154.36	153.46	153.44			155.24(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	10	0.06	56%	0.03	-20.8	1.4%	0	0.3	50	0
20	Mar_16_2007	154.48	154.4	152.82	153.08			152.2(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0	47%	-0.01	-25.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	33	0

21	Mar_15_2007	154.49	154.56	152.76	153.49			153.64(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0	47%	0	-24.6	1.48%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Mar_14_2007	154.49	154.69	152.85	153.49			154.12(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-47	0	47%	0.02	-23.9	1.49%	0	-0.2	40	0
23	Mar_13_2007	154.46	154.8	152.87	153.54			152(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	1	-53	0	47%	0.03	-23.7	1.49%	0	-1	40	0
24	Mar_12_2007	154.42	154.94	153.14	153.43			153.44(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	8	-53	0	47%	0.04	-30.2	1.49%	0	-0.6	48	0
25	Mar_9_2007	154.36	155.1	153.76	152.48			154.24(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	5	-60	0.01	47%		-42.4	1.48%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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