Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $155.2400 (2%) ($153.2000 - $155.3600) on Mon. Mar. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $155.2400(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.44(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.46(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $154.36(0.57%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2007	154.53	154.36	153.46	153.44			155.24(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	10	0.06	56%	0.03	-20.8	1.4%	0	0.3	50	0
2	Mar_16_2007	154.48	154.4	152.82	153.08			152.2(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0	47%	-0.01	-25.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	33	0
3	Mar_15_2007	154.49	154.56	152.76	153.49			153.64(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0	47%	0	-24.6	1.48%	0	-0.3	37	0
4	Mar_14_2007	154.49	154.69	152.85	153.49			154.12(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-47	0	47%	0.02	-23.9	1.49%	0	-0.2	40	0
5	Mar_13_2007	154.46	154.8	152.87	153.54			152(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	1	-53	0	47%	0.03	-23.7	1.49%	0	-1	40	0

6	Mar_12_2007	154.42	154.94	153.14	153.43			153.44(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	8	-53	0	47%	0.04	-30.2	1.49%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Mar_9_2007	154.36	155.1	153.76	152.48			154.24(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	5	-60	0.01	47%	0.03	-42.4	1.48%	0	-0.3	46	0
8	Mar_8_2007	154.32	155.22	154.21	151.9			153.92(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-17	-10000	-2	-62	0.03	47%	0.05	-50	1.49%	0	-0.5	48	0
9	Mar_7_2007	154.25	155.35	154.65	152.09			154.12(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.02	47%	0.05	-49.7	1.49%	0	-0.5	46	0
10	Mar_6_2007	154.18	155.45	154.92	152.19			151.44(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-6	-56	0.05	44%	0.01	-48.8	1.47%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	Mar_5_2007	154.16	155.75	155.32	152.87			148.68(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-29	-10000	-21	-52	0.02	41%	0.02	-36.3	1.45%	0	-2.8	41	0
12	Mar_2_2007	154.13	156.23	156.14	155.21			151.32(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-15	-10000	-14	-17	0.05	44%	0.06	-1.6	1.42%	0	-2.6	40	0
13	Mar_1_2007	154.03	156.57	156.6	156.81			154.88(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.02	47%	0.1	46	1.41%	0	-1.1	46	0
14	Feb_28_2007	153.87	156.68	156.78	157.58			154.64(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-10000	-4	18	0.03	56%	0.09	71.9	1.46%	0	-1.4	46	0
15	Feb_27_2007	153.73	156.76	156.78	158.04			154.84(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2.2	7	-10000	-0	27	0.03	56%	0.11	93.5	1.48%	0	-1.3	48	0

16	Feb_26_2007	153.56	156.66	156.98	158.06			160.36(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	7	26	0	62%	0.14	88.1	1.42%	0	2.2	60	0
17	Feb_23_2007	153.34	156.26	156.57	157.22			159.32(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	7	11	0.05	62%	0.14	82	1.42%	0	1.8	53	0
18	Feb_22_2007	153.12	155.84	156.28	156.41			158.72(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	4	-5	0.01	62%	0.15	75.8	1.43%	0	1.5	52	0
19	Feb_21_2007	152.89	155.6	156.02	155.94			156.96(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	1	-14	0	65%	0.16	91.6	1.42%	0	0.7	50	0
20	Feb_20_2007	152.65	155.43	155.93	155.82			154.96(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	1	-15	0	65%	0.18	110.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	47	0

21	Feb_16_2007	152.38	155.17	156.13	155.7			156.16(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.01	61%	0.1	84.9	1.45%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Feb_15_2007	152.23	154.85	156.28	155.8			155.24(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.03	63%	0.08	79.2	1.5%	0	0.1	64	0
23	Feb_14_2007	152.11	154.39	156.51	156.1			156.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-0	27	0.01	63%	0.11	77.3	1.52%	0	0.5	72	0
24	Feb_13_2007	151.94	153.92	156.56	156.12			156.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	35	0.01	63%	0.13	71.8	1.52%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Feb_12_2007	151.74	153.37	156.53	156.08			154.36(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-4	40	0.01	63%		69.6	1.51%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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