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     Mon. Mar. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)

XOP latest price $155.2400 (2%) ($153.2000 - $155.3600) on Mon. Mar. 19, 2007.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.4% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $155.2400(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XOP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)  
Factors Impacting XOP price  XOP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $153.44(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average  $153.46(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average  $154.36(0.57%)
To recent high  -3.2%
To recent low  9.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

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