Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $148.6800 (-1.74%) ($148.6800 - $150.7200) on Mon. Mar. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $148.6800(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $155.75
5 Day Moving Average   $152.87(-2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.32(-4.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.75(-4.54%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2007	154.16	155.75	155.32	152.87			148.68(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-29	-10000	-21	-52	0.02	41%	0.02	-36.3	1.45%	0	-2.8	41	0
2	Mar_2_2007	154.13	156.23	156.14	155.21			151.32(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-15	-10000	-14	-17	0.05	44%	0.06	-1.6	1.42%	0	-2.6	40	0
3	Mar_1_2007	154.03	156.57	156.6	156.81			154.88(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.02	47%	0.1	46	1.41%	0	-1.1	46	0
4	Feb_28_2007	153.87	156.68	156.78	157.58			154.64(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-10000	-4	18	0.03	56%	0.09	71.9	1.46%	0	-1.4	46	0
5	Feb_27_2007	153.73	156.76	156.78	158.04			154.84(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2.2	7	-10000	-0	27	0.03	56%	0.11	93.5	1.48%	0	-1.3	48	0

6	Feb_26_2007	153.56	156.66	156.98	158.06			160.36(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	7	26	0	62%	0.14	88.1	1.42%	0	2.2	60	0
7	Feb_23_2007	153.34	156.26	156.57	157.22			159.32(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	7	11	0.05	62%	0.14	82	1.42%	0	1.8	53	0
8	Feb_22_2007	153.12	155.84	156.28	156.41			158.72(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	4	-5	0.01	62%	0.15	75.8	1.43%	0	1.5	52	0
9	Feb_21_2007	152.89	155.6	156.02	155.94			156.96(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	1	-14	0	65%	0.16	91.6	1.42%	0	0.7	50	0
10	Feb_20_2007	152.65	155.43	155.93	155.82			154.96(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	1	-15	0	65%	0.18	110.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	47	0

11	Feb_16_2007	152.38	155.17	156.13	155.7			156.16(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.01	61%	0.1	84.9	1.45%	0	0.4	67	0
12	Feb_15_2007	152.23	154.85	156.28	155.8			155.24(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.03	63%	0.08	79.2	1.5%	0	0.1	64	0
13	Feb_14_2007	152.11	154.39	156.51	156.1			156.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-0	27	0.01	63%	0.11	77.3	1.52%	0	0.5	72	0
14	Feb_13_2007	151.94	153.92	156.56	156.12			156.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	35	0.01	63%	0.13	71.8	1.52%	0	0.6	57	0
15	Feb_12_2007	151.74	153.37	156.53	156.08			154.36(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-4	40	0.01	63%	0.13	69.6	1.51%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Feb_9_2007	151.55	153	156.38	156.6			156.68(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-2	56	0	63%	0.12	70.6	1.52%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Feb_8_2007	151.37	152.29	155.98	156.82			156.72(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-1	68	0	63%	0.14	62.1	1.53%	0	0.9	71	0
18	Feb_7_2007	151.16	151.6	155.43	156.99			156.48(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-1	86	0	63%	0.11	56.6	1.54%	0	0.9	78	0
19	Feb_6_2007	150.99	151.03	155.19	157.07			156.16(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	0	106	0.01	63%	0.09	50.9	1.55%	0	1	72	0
20	Feb_5_2007	150.85	150.54	154.91	157.02			156.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10000	8	132	0	63%	0.12	45.2	1.55%	0	1.3	76	0

21	Feb_2_2007	150.67	149.98	154.15	156.07			157.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	9	127	0.01	65%	0.12	33.8	1.57%	0	1.6	72	0
22	Feb_1_2007	150.49	149.3	153.3	154.98			157.56(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	11	133	0.01	63%	0.09	21.2	1.57%	0	1.8	78	0
23	Jan_31_2007	150.35	148.71	152.08	153.64			156.88(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	5	119	0.03	63%	0.11	6.2	1.59%	0	1.9	75	0
24	Jan_30_2007	150.19	148.41	151.03	153.07			155.92(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	117	0.02	63%	0.09	-0.7	1.6%	0	1.9	67	0
25	Jan_29_2007	150.05	148.25	149.92	152.56			152.18(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	5	110	0.01	60%		-7.4	1.58%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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