Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $155.9200 (2.46%) ($153.4900 - $156.0800) on Tue. Jan. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $155.9200(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.07(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.03(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.41(5.06%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2007	150.19	148.41	151.03	153.07			155.92(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	117	0.02	63%	0.09	-0.7	1.6%	0	1.9	67	0
2	Jan_29_2007	150.05	148.25	149.92	152.56			152.18(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	5	110	0.01	60%	0.03	-7.4	1.58%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Jan_26_2007	150.01	148.31	149.34	151.93			152.36(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	5	104	0	60%	0	-17.7	1.59%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Jan_25_2007	150.01	148.3	148.31	151.32			150.84(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	10	93	0.02	60%	-0.01	-24.8	1.58%	0	0.7	61	0
5	Jan_24_2007	150.03	148.3	147.49	150.16			154.04(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	13	69	0.02	66%	-0.03	-40	1.58%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Jan_23_2007	150.07	148.44	146.53	148.64			153.36(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	15	32	0.01	66%	0.02	-61.9	1.6%	0	1.2	49	0
7	Jan_22_2007	150.04	148.52	145.77	146.94			149.06(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	5	-15	0.01	63%	-0.05	-83.3	1.56%	0	0.1	40	0
8	Jan_19_2007	150.12	148.95	145.43	146.4			149.32(2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	13	-39	0.02	65%	-0.03	-83.5	1.58%	0	0.1	39	0
9	Jan_18_2007	150.17	149.24	144.92	144.87			145.04(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	5	-86	0.06	63%	-0.06	-92.7	1.56%	0	-0.9	35	0
10	Jan_17_2007	150.26	150.06	145.05	144.34			146.44(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	2	-115	0	63%	-0.07	-91.6	1.56%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Jan_16_2007	150.37	150.91	145.55	144.08			144.84(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-3	-129	0.02	65%	-0.16	-84.6	1.56%	0	-1.1	30	0
12	Jan_12_2007	150.61	151.76	146.41	144.44			146.36(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	1	-126	0.07	68%	-0.07	-77.5	1.6%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Jan_11_2007	150.72	152.5	147.15	144.37			141.68(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-40	-10000	-5	-143	0.01	66%	-0.09	-73.1	1.57%	0	-1.7	14	0
14	Jan_10_2007	150.86	153.55	148.31	144.96			142.4(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-7	-143	0.1	68%	-0.11	-73.9	1.58%	0	-1.7	25	0
15	Jan_9_2007	151.02	154.59	149.54	145.79			145.12(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	-10000	-12	-151	0.01	70%	-0.08	-76.3	1.59%	0	-1.5	21	0

16	Jan_8_2007	151.14	155.54	150.56	147.22			146.64(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-13	-155	0.03	70%	-0.06	-73.5	1.58%	0	-1.5	21	0
17	Jan_5_2007	151.23	156.45	151.52	148.74			146(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-14	-151	0.05	72%	-0.06	-68.1	1.58%	0	-1.8	25	0
18	Jan_4_2007	151.32	157.42	152.8	150.43			144.64(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-14	-135	0.06	72%	-0.07	-59.3	1.6%	0	-2.3	25	0
19	Jan_3_2007	151.43	158.44	154	152.14			146.56(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-13	-128	0.07	66%	-0.15	-50.3	1.59%	0	-2.4	25	0
20	Dec_29_2006	151.66	159.42	155.59	153.75			152.28(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-105	0.04	69%	-0.06	-38.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	29	0

21	Dec_28_2006	151.75	160.07	156.75	154.34			154.2(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-4	-98	0	69%	-0.05	-28.3	1.6%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Dec_27_2006	151.83	160.57	157.54	154.77			154.48(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0.01	70%	-0.05	-19.8	1.6%	0	-1.5	29	0
23	Dec_26_2006	151.9	160.82	158.24	155.63			153.16(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-4	-97	0	72%	-0.09	-9.4	1.61%	0	-2	25	0
24	Dec_22_2006	152.04	161	159.17	156.18			154.64(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-12	-98	0	72%	-0.04	-5.6	1.63%	0	-1.7	30	0
25	Dec_21_2006	152.1	161.16	160.02	157.71			155.24(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-14	-86	0.01	72%		12.2	1.64%	0	-1.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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