Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $154.8000 (2%) ($150.8400 - $155.0000) on Fri. Nov. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $154.8000(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.82(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.56(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.1(1.78%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2006	150.65	152.1	153.56	153.82			154.8(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	45	0.01	53%	0.01	53.1	1.78%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Nov_16_2006	150.64	151.77	153.31	153.44			151.76(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	41	0.03	51%	0.01	56.7	1.77%	0	-0	52	0
3	Nov_15_2006	150.62	151.73	153.08	154.2			156.48(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	4	49	0.01	54%	0.06	76.3	1.73%	0	1.9	55	0
4	Nov_14_2006	150.53	151.26	152.23	153.65			153.48(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	4	31	0.01	50%	0.05	90	1.72%	0	0.9	48	0
5	Nov_13_2006	150.45	150.97	151.95	153.18			152.56(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-1	22	0	50%	0.05	98.7	1.74%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Nov_10_2006	150.38	150.81	151.58	153.25			152.92(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	1	25	0	50%	0.1	110.3	1.75%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Nov_9_2006	150.23	150.44	151.36	153.13			155.56(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	10	34	0.01	50%	0.03	103.9	1.74%	0	1.7	63	0
8	Nov_8_2006	150.18	149.8	151.03	151.78			153.72(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	9	21	0.01	50%	0.03	84.7	1.74%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Nov_7_2006	150.14	149.11	150.98	150.62			151.16(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	17	0.01	50%	0.01	76.1	1.72%	0	0.5	58	0
10	Nov_6_2006	150.13	148.65	150.99	150.52			152.88(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	27	0	50%	0.02	74.6	1.72%	0	1	60	0

11	Nov_3_2006	150.1	147.96	150.48	149.68			152.32(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	2	11	0.01	50%	0.01	64.6	1.73%	0	1	55	0
12	Nov_2_2006	150.08	147.32	150.07	149.38			148.84(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-6	10	0.01	48%	-0.01	58	1.7%	0	0.3	58	0
13	Nov_1_2006	150.09	146.86	150.26	150.2			147.92(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-9	38	0.02	48%	-0.02	55.1	1.7%	0	0.2	61	0
14	Oct_31_2006	150.12	146.33	150.25	151.38			150.64(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	75	0.02	50%	0.01	50.5	1.7%	0	0.8	70	0
15	Oct_30_2006	150.11	145.54	149.96	151.51			148.68(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	2	94	0.02	50%	-0.01	46.7	1.7%	0	0.5	63	0

16	Oct_27_2006	150.13	145.1	150.05	151.32			150.84(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	4	118	0.01	48%	0.01	49.1	1.7%	0	1	71	0
17	Oct_26_2006	150.12	144.65	149.53	150.78			152.92(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.01	51%	0.02	52.6	1.71%	0	1.5	72	0
18	Oct_25_2006	150.09	144.07	148.51	150.34			153.84(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	10	131	0.01	51%	0.03	57.3	1.77%	0	1.9	74	0
19	Oct_24_2006	150.04	143.48	147.1	149.01			151.28(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	6	122	0.01	54%	0.01	62	1.77%	0	1.7	75	0
20	Oct_23_2006	150.03	142.91	146.11	148.26			147.72(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	-3	125	0	52%	-0.01	61	1.8%	0	1.1	75	0

21	Oct_20_2006	150.05	142.36	145.24	148.6			148.12(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	132	0.01	50%	-0.02	57.1	1.83%	0	1.3	62	0
22	Oct_19_2006	150.08	141.78	144.37	148.02			150.72(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	12	125	0	50%	0.01	52.6	1.82%	0	2.1	60	0
23	Oct_18_2006	150.07	141.14	143.17	146.38			147.2(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	12	101	0	48%	-0.03	45.7	1.79%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Oct_17_2006	150.11	140.61	142.08	144.83			147.52(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	9	65	0.01	46%	-0.02	28.1	1.8%	0	1.9	55	0
25	Oct_16_2006	150.14	140.19	140.76	143.62			149.44(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	17	39	0.01	46%		18.3	1.82%	0	2.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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