Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $152.9200 (-1.7%) ($152.5200 - $154.0800) on Fri. Nov. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $152.9200(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(8%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.25(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.58(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.81(1.4%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2006	150.38	150.81	151.58	153.25			152.92(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	1	25	0	50%	0.1	110.3	1.75%	0	0.8	60	0
2	Nov_9_2006	150.23	150.44	151.36	153.13			155.56(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	10	34	0.01	50%	0.03	103.9	1.74%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Nov_8_2006	150.18	149.8	151.03	151.78			153.72(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	9	21	0.01	50%	0.03	84.7	1.74%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Nov_7_2006	150.14	149.11	150.98	150.62			151.16(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	17	0.01	50%	0.01	76.1	1.72%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Nov_6_2006	150.13	148.65	150.99	150.52			152.88(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	27	0	50%	0.02	74.6	1.72%	0	1	60	0

6	Nov_3_2006	150.1	147.96	150.48	149.68			152.32(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	2	11	0.01	50%	0.01	64.6	1.73%	0	1	55	0
7	Nov_2_2006	150.08	147.32	150.07	149.38			148.84(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-6	10	0.01	48%	-0.01	58	1.7%	0	0.3	58	0
8	Nov_1_2006	150.09	146.86	150.26	150.2			147.92(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-9	38	0.02	48%	-0.02	55.1	1.7%	0	0.2	61	0
9	Oct_31_2006	150.12	146.33	150.25	151.38			150.64(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	75	0.02	50%	0.01	50.5	1.7%	0	0.8	70	0
10	Oct_30_2006	150.11	145.54	149.96	151.51			148.68(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	2	94	0.02	50%	-0.01	46.7	1.7%	0	0.5	63	0

11	Oct_27_2006	150.13	145.1	150.05	151.32			150.84(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	4	118	0.01	48%	0.01	49.1	1.7%	0	1	71	0
12	Oct_26_2006	150.12	144.65	149.53	150.78			152.92(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.01	51%	0.02	52.6	1.71%	0	1.5	72	0
13	Oct_25_2006	150.09	144.07	148.51	150.34			153.84(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	10	131	0.01	51%	0.03	57.3	1.77%	0	1.9	74	0
14	Oct_24_2006	150.04	143.48	147.1	149.01			151.28(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	6	122	0.01	54%	0.01	62	1.77%	0	1.7	75	0
15	Oct_23_2006	150.03	142.91	146.11	148.26			147.72(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	-3	125	0	52%	-0.01	61	1.8%	0	1.1	75	0

16	Oct_20_2006	150.05	142.36	145.24	148.6			148.12(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	132	0.01	50%	-0.02	57.1	1.83%	0	1.3	62	0
17	Oct_19_2006	150.08	141.78	144.37	148.02			150.72(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	12	125	0	50%	0.01	52.6	1.82%	0	2.1	60	0
18	Oct_18_2006	150.07	141.14	143.17	146.38			147.2(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	12	101	0	48%	-0.03	45.7	1.79%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Oct_17_2006	150.11	140.61	142.08	144.83			147.52(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	9	65	0.01	46%	-0.02	28.1	1.8%	0	1.9	55	0
20	Oct_16_2006	150.14	140.19	140.76	143.62			149.44(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	17	39	0.01	46%	-0.01	18.3	1.82%	0	2.7	62	0

21	Oct_13_2006	150.15	139.81	139.69	141.42			145.2(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	10	15	0.28	44%	-0.04	1.6	1.78%	0	2	63	0
22	Oct_12_2006	150.21	139.52	139.29	140.22			142.56(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	6	9	0	42%	-0.07	-26.9	1.78%	0	1.3	61	0
23	Oct_11_2006	150.31	139.37	139.18	139.5			139.44(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	5	6	0.01	40%	-0.09	-55.2	1.75%	0	0	52	0
24	Oct_10_2006	150.45	139.59	139.51	138.86			141.44(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	12	14	0.02	40%	-0.08	-77	1.75%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Oct_9_2006	150.57	139.58	139.39	137.42			138.48(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0	38%		-118.8	1.73%	0	-0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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